NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	89		Excitement	6.4 [550]		MVP	Rajon Rondo (BOS): +20.1%
Boston Celtics	96		Comeback	1.1 [1052]		LVP	Victor Oladipo (ORL): -20.3%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Maurice Harkless	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.02	-0.00	5	64%	0.08	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Glen Davis	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06	0.04	0.04	0.03	12	58%	0.08	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Tobias Harris	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	-0.02	0.00	12	54%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle O'Quinn	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	0.00	3	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.03
Doron Lamb	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Arron Afflalo	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.02	-0.03	0.02	12	56%	0.06	3	-0.10	8	62%	-0.03
E'Twaun Moore	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Nicholson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Vucevic	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09	-0.01	-0.08	-0.00	14	50%	-0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Victor Oladipo	-0.20	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.13,-0.19,-0.19,-0.2	-0.14	-0.06	-0.00	16	32%	-0.15	3	-0.06	6	83%	0.03

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rajon Rondo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.21,0.21,0.2	0.20	0.08	0.10	-0.02	11	86%	0.30	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Jared Sullinger	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.10	0.09	0.01	15	70%	0.24	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Avery Bradley	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.04	0.08	0.02	12	57%	0.12	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.02
Brandon Bass	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.10	0.00	0.02	15	61%	0.08	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Kelly Olynyk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jerryd Bayless	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	7	43%	-0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Chris Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.05	-0.00	3	50%	-0.00	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Phil Pressey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kris Humphries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Green	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.17	-0.01	-0.04	13	28%	-0.06	4	-0.08	3	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.5	2.8	28.0	16.4	21.6	2.4	33.5	128.3
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +65.1%

ORL -8.9%

ORL -1.7%

ORL -8.1%

BOS +3.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	BOS	NBA	ORL	BOS	NBA
this game	15.6	15.9	15.1	96.7	105.5	105.2
season	15.3	15.4		100.4	101.2
opponent	15.0	15.0		106.0	105.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	15.9	15.6	15.6	15.4	15.6
BOS	18.4	14.4	16.5	14.6	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
E'Twaun Moore	21	19	0.08	-0.58	0.66	0.02	2	-9	11	14.5	15.9	-1.47	17.5	15.4	2.03
Doron Lamb	26	25	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.08	2	-9	11	15.4	15.7	-0.31	16.7	15.6	1.12
Maurice Harkless	43	41	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.07	-4	-3	-1	14.9	16.2	-1.32	15.4	16.3	-0.87
Glen Davis	65	65	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.24	5	-12	17	15.5	15.9	-0.34	15.3	17.2	-1.91
Andrew Nicholson	16	14	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	0.02	-7	0	-7	14.4	15.9	-1.49	19.4	15.2	4.21
Kyle O'Quinn	41	40	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.09	-5	-2	-3	15.4	15.8	-0.39	16.7	15.2	1.53
Tobias Harris	52	53	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.24	-4	-3	-1	15.7	15.5	0.15	16.2	15.5	0.68
Nikola Vucevic	57	58	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.34	-4	-3	-1	16.5	14.1	2.46	15.2	17.0	-1.73
Victor Oladipo	71	72	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.32	-9	2	-11	15.9	14.5	1.47	15.4	17.5	-2.03
Arron Afflalo	68	68	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.28	-11	4	-15	15.8	15.0	0.82	15.5	17.1	-1.63

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Avery Bradley	62	63	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.34	6	1	5	15.5	16.7	-1.21	16.2	14.2	2.00
Brandon Bass	69	69	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.23	6	1	5	15.8	16.0	-0.23	15.6	15.5	0.12
Chris Johnson	34	35	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.21	6	1	5	17.0	15.2	1.76	16.1	15.3	0.82
Rajon Rondo	52	51	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.23	3	4	-1	15.2	16.8	-1.67	15.9	15.3	0.61
Jared Sullinger	77	77	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.27	0	7	-7	14.7	22.1	-7.42	15.6	15.9	-0.31
Kris Humphries	22	23	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.06	7	0	7	20.1	14.5	5.63	15.2	15.8	-0.58
Jerryd Bayless	36	39	0.17	0.33	-0.17	-0.04	7	0	7	18.2	14.4	3.80	15.6	15.6	0.06
Jeff Green	71	71	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.13	1	6	-5	15.7	16.4	-0.75	14.6	18.9	-4.21
Kelly Olynyk	14	15	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.04	1	6	-5	15.7	15.9	-0.18	16.4	15.5	0.95
Phil Pressey	18	17	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	0.01	-2	9	-11	13.2	16.5	-3.30	15.4	15.7	-0.31

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.62,0.58,0.66,0.66,0.6,0.64,0.73,0.69,0.72,0.75,0.76,0.78,0.75,0.73,0.75,0.77,0.82,0.78,0.73,0.61,0.68,0.74,0.62,0.73,0.8,0.85,0.78,0.87,0.85,0.83,0.81,0.64,0.6,0.73,0.86,0.78,0.9,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 95, OKC 103	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.59,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.65,0.68,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.6,0.68,0.75,0.73,0.71,0.74,0.75,0.8,0.79,0.75,0.72,0.7,0.58,0.55,0.72,0.59,0.69,0.86,0.87,0.81,0.78,0.67,0.67,0.81,0.83,0.76,0.83,0.85,0.78,0.9,1,1	93.4%
NJN 86, NYK 97	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.55,0.63,0.66,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.65,0.58,0.66,0.73,0.75,0.76,0.74,0.77,0.78,0.77,0.77,0.84,0.8,0.78,0.82,0.83,0.78,0.67,0.74,0.71,0.81,0.83,0.86,0.8,0.94,0.89,0.85,0.84,0.77,0.74,0.65,0.67,0.8,0.85,0.98,1,1	93.3%
TOR 89, MIA 92	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.63,0.58,0.66,0.62,0.67,0.65,0.72,0.7,0.78,0.72,0.81,0.83,0.84,0.83,0.82,0.72,0.73,0.73,0.71,0.8,0.82,0.79,0.8,0.71,0.74,0.81,0.85,0.83,0.81,0.83,0.71,0.78,0.69,0.84,0.91,0.96,1	93.1%