NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Oklahoma City Thunder	101		Excitement	3.6 [1089]		MVP	Serge Ibaka (OKC): +12.8%
Boston Celtics	83		Comeback	1.5 [934]		LVP	Jared Sullinger (BOS): -10.2%

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Serge Ibaka	0.13	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.15	0.01	0.04	13	75%	0.13	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Thabo Sefolosha	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.01	0.01	6	108%	0.16	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Lamb	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.03	0.01	-0.05	17	56%	0.09	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	4	87%	0.02	3	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Nick Collison	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	-0.00	-0.03	7	43%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Andre Roberson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Royal Ivey	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hasheem Thabeet	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Perry Jones	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.07	0.00	0.09	6	71%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Steven Adams	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	4	30%	-0.03	1	-0.00	2	50%	0.00
Kendrick Perkins	-0.04	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	5	43%	-0.01	2	-0.03	4	50%	-0.02
Reggie Jackson	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.04	-0.00	14	45%	-0.00	4	-0.09	3	100%	0.01

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brandon Bass	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.07	0.00	0.02	7	73%	0.07	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Kris Humphries	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	-0.00	0.01	5	67%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Chris Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	7	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Vander Blue	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Vitor Faverani	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Phil Pressey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	6	56%	-0.01	2	-0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Joel Anthony	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	2	0%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Wallace	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	6	72%	0.08	5	-0.11	6	67%	-0.01
Kelly Olynyk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	5	40%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Green	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	0.03	17	44%	-0.03	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Rajon Rondo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.08	-0.01	-0.03	7	36%	-0.02	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jared Sullinger	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.03	0.00	10	30%	-0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	2.4	26.5	15.5	25.5	2.6	25.4	122.2
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC +37.0%

BOS -2.2%

OKC +5.8%

OKC +8.0%

OKC +1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	OKC	BOS	NBA	OKC	BOS	NBA
this game	15.8	16.0	15.1	111.0	92.2	105.2
season	14.4	15.4		107.8	101.2
opponent	15.0	15.4		106.0	102.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
OKC	16.8	16.5	12.4	18.0	15.8
BOS	16.7	15.6	16.4	15.4	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Serge Ibaka	54	54	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.16	20	-2	22	14.9	17.1	-2.23	16.9	14.7	2.10
Perry Jones	59	59	0.43	0.07	0.35	-0.13	19	-1	20	15.5	16.3	-0.82	16.7	14.6	2.08
Reggie Jackson	54	54	0.41	0.09	0.33	-0.17	20	-2	22	15.0	17.0	-2.00	17.1	14.4	2.70
Thabo Sefolosha	51	52	0.36	0.14	0.21	-0.11	16	2	14	15.2	16.6	-1.36	16.7	15.1	1.66
Kendrick Perkins	41	41	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.04	9	9	0	15.4	16.1	-0.68	17.2	15.0	2.26
Nick Collison	46	46	0.19	0.31	-0.12	-0.10	10	8	2	15.4	16.2	-0.77	15.0	17.1	-2.16
Andre Roberson	15	14	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.03	3	15	-12	16.6	15.7	0.94	16.9	15.9	1.00
Jeremy Lamb	58	56	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.10	0	18	-18	16.8	14.1	2.65	14.4	18.6	-4.19
Derek Fisher	33	33	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.12	-1	19	-20	16.2	15.6	0.53	14.3	17.0	-2.70
Steven Adams	37	36	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.13	-2	20	-22	17.1	14.9	2.23	14.7	16.9	-2.10
Royal Ivey	4	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	19	-20	24.0	15.4	8.56	15.3	16.0	-0.70
Hasheem Thabeet	3	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	21	-24	20.0	15.7	4.33	14.0	16.1	-2.06

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vander Blue	13	15	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.07	2	-20	22	12.1	16.7	-4.60	18.7	15.2	3.42
Kelly Olynyk	31	33	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	-0.12	2	-20	22	14.2	17.0	-2.82	17.4	14.9	2.48
Joel Anthony	7	6	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	0.15	-8	-10	2	15.9	16.0	-0.17	12.8	16.0	-3.19
Vitor Faverani	20	21	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.04	-3	-15	12	14.5	16.4	-1.94	15.0	16.1	-1.06
Brandon Bass	46	48	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	0.07	-8	-10	2	15.3	16.7	-1.45	15.1	16.6	-1.41
Jared Sullinger	44	42	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.03	-5	-13	8	17.7	14.4	3.22	16.1	15.6	0.48
Chris Johnson	47	47	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.04	-5	-13	8	15.1	17.0	-1.89	16.1	15.5	0.69
Phil Pressey	58	60	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.04	-8	-10	2	14.3	19.1	-4.73	16.4	14.6	1.87
Rajon Rondo	40	39	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.04	-9	-9	0	18.0	14.4	3.58	14.8	16.6	-1.74
Gerald Wallace	55	55	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	0.06	-14	-4	-10	16.7	14.9	1.79	15.3	16.6	-1.37
Kris Humphries	32	32	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.02	-14	-4	-10	17.5	15.2	2.36	15.9	15.7	0.19
Jeff Green	57	57	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	0.14	-20	2	-22	17.3	13.8	3.51	15.3	16.6	-1.33

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.52,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.44,0.37,0.44,0.36,0.29,0.36,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.4,0.39,0.25,0.19,0.18,0.12,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
IND 101, SEA 94	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.43,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.39,0.31,0.31,0.39,0.44,0.5,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.3,0.21,0.13,0.09,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0	95.9%
NOK 87, HOU 74	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.37,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.36,0.46,0.4,0.32,0.36,0.27,0.21,0.13,0.15,0.16,0.11,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.5%
NYK 109, SAC 87	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.33,0.36,0.37,0.38,0.31,0.33,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.13,0.08,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.3%