NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	93		Excitement	7.5 [336]		MVP	D.J. Augustin (CHI): +16.9%
Washington Wizards	96		Comeback	3.5 [508]		LVP	Nene (WAS): -28.2%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
D.J. Augustin	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.21,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.12	0.05	-0.00	10	73%	0.17	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Tony Snell	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.00	0.08	-0.00	8	44%	0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Kirk Hinrich	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	-0.02	-0.01	15	60%	0.07	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Nazr Mohammed	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Taj Gibson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	10	60%	0.06	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Boozer	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.05	-0.01	9	60%	0.03	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Joakim Noah	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,-0.08,-0.08	-0.01	-0.08	-0.00	5	56%	0.01	2	-0.10	6	83%	0.01
Mike Dunleavy	-0.15	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.08,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.10	-0.06	0.00	9	39%	-0.02	4	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Jimmy Butler	-0.24	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.16,-0.24	-0.05	-0.17	0.02	9	41%	-0.17	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.02

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bradley Beal	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.18,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.08	0.09	0.02	10	70%	0.19	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Martell Webster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.11	0.03	0.00	8	87%	0.17	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Marcin Gortat	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	0.05	0.01	12	52%	0.11	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.01
Garrett Temple	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	0.00	5	60%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Wall	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	-0.01	0.01	15	64%	0.18	4	-0.14	6	83%	0.01
Trevor Booker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	-0.03	0.00	9	67%	0.06	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Seraphin	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Otto Porter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Ariza	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	0.00	0.00	5	40%	0.02	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Nene	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.18,-0.18,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.28	-0.28	-0.19	-0.10	-0.01	15	28%	-0.16	4	-0.12	6	67%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.4	2.4	30.4	15.7	28.2	2.4	28.7	131.2
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +40.0%

CHI -3.9%

WAS +15.7%

CHI -6.2%

WAS +4.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	WAS	NBA	CHI	WAS	NBA
this game	16.3	15.7	15.1	102.2	107.9	105.2
season	16.3	15.1		101.1	103.8
opponent	15.5	15.3		102.7	99.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	16.0	16.3	14.4	18.8	16.3
WAS	13.3	15.0	17.7	17.2	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nazr Mohammed	10	10	0.06	-0.56	0.62	0.00	2	-5	7	18.7	16.0	2.71	16.5	15.6	0.89
D.J. Augustin	34	34	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.03	-6	3	-9	17.1	15.8	1.33	16.9	14.9	2.00
Jimmy Butler	74	74	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.38	5	-8	13	16.4	15.8	0.57	15.4	17.3	-1.87
Carlos Boozer	59	57	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.28	0	-3	3	15.7	17.3	-1.54	15.7	15.7	0.03
Kirk Hinrich	57	55	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.38	3	-6	9	15.8	17.1	-1.33	14.9	16.9	-2.00
Taj Gibson	47	44	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.07	-9	6	-15	17.3	15.2	2.05	16.9	14.6	2.33
Joakim Noah	66	66	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.39	1	-4	5	15.7	17.8	-2.14	15.0	17.7	-2.62
Tony Snell	45	44	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.14	-9	6	-15	17.4	15.2	2.25	16.5	15.0	1.52
Mike Dunleavy	63	61	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.38	-2	-1	-1	15.3	18.4	-3.04	15.3	16.6	-1.36

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Trevor Ariza	62	64	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.44	6	-3	9	15.2	16.9	-1.64	15.4	18.3	-2.91
John Wall	64	66	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.37	7	-4	11	15.0	17.4	-2.35	16.1	16.8	-0.71
Marcin Gortat	66	68	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.43	4	-1	5	15.4	16.7	-1.27	15.6	18.3	-2.70
Bradley Beal	43	45	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.46	1	2	-1	14.3	17.0	-2.67	16.8	15.8	0.97
Trevor Booker	44	47	0.18	0.32	-0.15	-0.12	10	-7	17	17.2	14.2	2.96	17.3	15.2	2.09
Nene	66	66	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.45	-10	13	-23	15.2	17.0	-1.80	16.5	15.7	0.78
Kevin Seraphin	1	1	0.04	0.46	-0.42	-0.02	2	1	1	18.0	15.7	2.32	1.0	16.5	-15.46
Garrett Temple	26	25	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.12	-4	7	-11	16.7	15.3	1.45	16.8	16.1	0.71
Otto Porter	8	8	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.01	-1	4	-5	18.7	15.4	3.34	18.0	16.1	1.88
Martell Webster	65	65	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	-0.09	0	3	-3	16.7	13.0	3.76	16.6	15.5	1.05

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.63,0.54,0.61,0.52,0.45,0.39,0.23,0.25,0.48,0.56,0.48,0.5,0.38,0.29,0.29,0.37,0.41,0.53,0.39,0.69,0.79,0.78,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 88, UTA 95	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.59,0.58,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.59,0.6,0.53,0.51,0.63,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.52,0.58,0.66,0.59,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.63,0.58,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.41,0.48,0.4,0.44,0.62,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.47,0.41,0.54,0.62,0.72,0.9,0.84,1	91.8%
POR 84, LAL 92	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.41,0.45,0.49,0.6,0.61,0.52,0.53,0.45,0.51,0.6,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.59,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.7,0.66,0.59,0.52,0.39,0.42,0.52,0.48,0.41,0.54,0.56,0.44,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.28,0.42,0.53,0.34,0.39,0.47,0.64,0.9,1,1	91.3%
ATL 91, NJN 99	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.5,0.57,0.53,0.63,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.61,0.56,0.64,0.74,0.74,0.67,0.66,0.63,0.55,0.52,0.39,0.35,0.35,0.44,0.37,0.4,0.48,0.5,0.38,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.46,0.47,0.68,0.79,0.84,0.92,1	91.2%