NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	80		Excitement	3.6 [1088]		MVP	CJ Miles (CLE): +13.5%
Sacramento Kings	124		Comeback	1.5 [802]		LVP	Kyrie Irving (CLE): -14.8%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
CJ Miles	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.11	0.00	-0.02	8	82%	0.17	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Earl Clark	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	0.00	0.01	7	69%	0.05	1	-0.00	2	50%	0.00
Tyler Zeller	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.04	4	50%	0.02	1	-0.00	4	0%	-0.03
Anderson Varejao	0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.01	7	62%	0.04	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Tristan Thompson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	5	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Matthew Dellavedova	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Bennett	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	5	25%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Alonzo Gee	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	37%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Sergey Karasev	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luol Deng	-0.04	0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	11	50%	0.04	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01
Jarrett Jack	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.12	-0.00	-0.06	6	17%	-0.04	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dion Waiters	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.10	-0.01	0.00	7	25%	-0.06	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Kyrie Irving	-0.15	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.02	-0.03	14	22%	-0.15	1	-0.00	4	25%	-0.04

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rudy Gay	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.13	0.00	0.02	12	80%	0.16	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Jimmer Fredette	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.06	0.01	-0.04	9	68%	0.11	2	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Derrick Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.00	-0.01	6	76%	0.09	2	-0.02	5	60%	-0.00
DeMarcus Cousins	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.00	-0.02	9	64%	0.11	3	-0.05	7	86%	0.01
Quincy Acy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	3	71%	0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Travis Outlaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.05	0.00	0.05	4	75%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ray McCallum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	1	150%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Thomas	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.10	0.01	0.11	15	63%	0.02	2	-0.02	11	91%	0.01
Jason Thompson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	11	36%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben McLemore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	0.03	7	50%	-0.03	1	0.00	4	100%	0.00
Marcus Thornton	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	4	62%	0.00	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.3	1.6	29.4	16.4	30.3	2.5	27.4	135.8
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +23.2%

SAC +12.9%

SAC +4.5%

SAC +7.0%

SAC +2.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	SAC	NBA	CLE	SAC	NBA
this game	14.8	15.0	15.1	83.3	127.8	105.2
season	15.2	15.4		102.8	104.5
opponent	14.7	15.3		107.1	106.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	13.8	16.9	15.0	13.6	14.8
SAC	15.6	14.4	12.7	17.7	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Matthew Dellavedova	23	23	0.03	-0.53	0.56	0.38	-12	-32	20	12.6	15.5	-2.90	16.9	14.5	2.41
Anthony Bennett	18	17	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.26	-9	-35	26	12.6	15.3	-2.78	18.2	14.4	3.81
Alonzo Gee	15	15	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.18	-6	-38	32	12.5	15.2	-2.78	18.3	14.4	3.83
Sergey Karasev	12	11	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.12	-4	-40	36	12.4	15.2	-2.74	17.6	14.7	2.94
Dion Waiters	39	41	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	0.53	-19	-25	6	16.1	14.0	2.09	15.0	15.1	-0.05
Tyler Zeller	27	28	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	0.24	-12	-32	20	14.4	15.0	-0.51	14.2	15.4	-1.15
Earl Clark	46	47	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	0.60	-25	-19	-6	14.7	14.9	-0.22	15.7	14.4	1.38
Jarrett Jack	38	39	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.58	-28	-16	-12	16.1	13.9	2.18	13.5	16.1	-2.58
CJ Miles	51	52	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.19	-18	-26	8	14.3	15.4	-1.11	14.6	15.5	-0.94
Tristan Thompson	50	49	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	0.19	-19	-25	6	14.9	14.7	0.22	14.3	15.8	-1.46
Luol Deng	48	48	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	0.07	-15	-29	14	14.8	14.8	0.00	14.7	15.3	-0.64
Anderson Varejao	50	51	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.29	-24	-20	-4	16.1	13.5	2.60	14.7	15.4	-0.64
Kyrie Irving	63	64	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	0.33	-29	-15	-14	15.3	13.9	1.42	14.5	16.0	-1.51

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rudy Gay	59	60	0.54	-0.04	0.58	-0.34	30	14	16	14.3	16.1	-1.81	15.8	13.1	2.77
Jason Thompson	60	61	0.53	-0.03	0.55	-0.29	28	16	12	14.5	15.8	-1.26	15.9	13.0	2.85
Marcus Thornton	44	45	0.31	0.19	0.12	-0.25	19	25	-6	14.5	15.5	-1.01	14.8	14.8	0.02
DeMarcus Cousins	61	59	0.24	0.26	-0.01	-0.26	17	27	-10	14.6	15.7	-1.06	15.0	14.5	0.57
Isaiah Thomas	73	70	0.24	0.26	-0.02	-0.55	27	17	10	14.8	15.6	-0.73	14.8	14.8	0.01
Jimmer Fredette	38	38	0.23	0.27	-0.03	-0.50	25	19	6	15.3	14.8	0.47	14.2	15.2	-1.08
Derrick Williams	38	37	0.21	0.29	-0.07	-0.43	22	22	0	14.6	15.3	-0.74	14.5	15.0	-0.57
Ben McLemore	53	51	0.19	0.31	-0.12	-0.54	25	19	6	15.5	14.5	1.01	14.8	14.8	-0.02
Quincy Acy	35	34	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.50	17	27	-10	16.2	14.4	1.87	13.3	15.6	-2.35
Travis Outlaw	13	14	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.18	6	38	-32	18.4	14.5	3.87	12.3	15.2	-2.96
Ray McCallum	11	11	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.12	4	40	-36	17.6	14.7	2.94	13.5	15.0	-1.43

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.47,0.43,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.46,0.42,0.49,0.55,0.65,0.71,0.72,0.7,0.71,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.75,0.77,0.84,0.87,0.89,0.86,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 81, CHI 104	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.5,0.44,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.55,0.55,0.47,0.48,0.47,0.51,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.68,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.76,0.84,0.85,0.87,0.9,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.2%
MIN 105, POR 122	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.42,0.4,0.5,0.44,0.49,0.58,0.65,0.7,0.71,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.75,0.81,0.88,0.89,0.91,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.0%
POR 104, GSW 111	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.67,0.68,0.71,0.73,0.78,0.73,0.73,0.84,0.77,0.8,0.82,0.91,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.94,0.98,0.94,0.98,0.99,1,1,1	95.9%