inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Toronto Raptors 104 Excitement8.5 [193] MVPAmir Johnson (TOR): +16.1%
Oklahoma City Thunder 98 Comeback7.2 [67] LVPReggie Jackson (OKC): -22.8%


Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Amir Johnson0.160,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.160.090.07-0.001171%0.201-0.042100%0.03
John Salmons0.140,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.07,0.02,0.01,0.14,0.14-0.010.15-0.001252%0.233-0.093100%0.07
Jonas Valanciunas0.130,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.040.08-0.011059%0.151-0.02250%-0.02
Kyle Lowry0.070,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.070.060.040.041656%0.132-0.067100%0.04
Patrick Patterson0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.040.010.00383%0.0500.0000%0.00
Steve Novak0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Tyler Hansbrough-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.03-0.020.00330%-0.0500.00475%-0.00
Terrence Ross-0.070,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.04-0.010.011030%-0.0700.0000%0.00
Greivis Vasquez-0.150,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.1,-0.13,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15-0.11-0.04-0.00639%-0.054-0.11683%0.01
DeMar DeRozan-0.190,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.19-0.09-0.090.012038%-0.142-0.05560%-0.04

Oklahoma City Thunder
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Nick Collison0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.040.030.00375%0.0700.002100%0.01
Derek Fisher0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.070.000.00286%0.0700.003100%0.02
Perry Jones0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.06-0.010.00480%0.0500.002100%0.02
Kevin Durant0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.06,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,0.05,0.030.03-0.040.080.011655%0.226-0.1812100%0.07
Jeremy Lamb0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.02-0.00844%0.0200.0000%0.00
Thabo Sefolosha0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.02-0.010.02283%0.021-0.032100%0.01
Russell Westbrook0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.18,0.18,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,-0.03-0.030.03-0.060.011760%0.175-0.201191%0.05
Serge Ibaka0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.00-0.040.00950%-0.011-0.0300%0.00
Kendrick Perkins0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.06-0.010.0010%-0.022-0.0400%0.00
Steven Adams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.07-0.010.0030%-0.051-0.0300%0.00
Reggie Jackson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.23-0.23-0.15-0.12-0.041123%-0.143-0.094100%0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game27.32.533.215.831.42.436.5149.0
league avg24.72.329.616.026.92.333.4136.7
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
TOR +11.7%
OKC -3.9%
TOR +20.2%
TOR +18.9%
TOR +3.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsTOROKCNBATOROKCNBA
this game15.513.815.1105.1100.0105.2
season15.914.4107.2107.8
opponent15.415.1102.9104.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
TOR13.916.615.715.915.5
OKC12.813.412.416.913.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Amir Johnson63651.02-0.521.540.4021-153615.215.9-0.6714.811.63.21
John Salmons63610.88-0.381.250.2322-163815.515.40.0314.113.11.01
Jonas Valanciunas70710.60-0.100.700.5133016.014.21.7814.611.53.10
Kyle Lowry80780.500.000.500.3842215.017.5-2.4913.116.4-3.31
DeMar DeRozan78770.290.210.090.41-410-1416.013.62.4014.013.00.91
Steve Novak110.130.37-0.24-0.015145.015.6-10.571.013.9-12.90
Terrence Ross48490.000.50-0.490.0006-614.916.0-1.1913.214.3-1.08
Greivis Vasquez2829-0.170.67-0.84-0.05-410-1416.415.11.3415.213.22.00
Tyler Hansbrough2625-0.260.76-1.02-0.14-410-1415.515.50.0512.214.3-2.10
Patrick Patterson3834-0.490.99-1.48-0.11-1319-3215.215.7-0.5011.415.0-3.56

Oklahoma City Thunder
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Steven Adams20210.34-0.841.170.166-121813.513.8-0.3316.015.30.62
Reggie Jackson41420.10-0.600.70-0.076-121814.313.40.9515.515.40.10
Nick Collison32330.03-0.530.55-0.001-7814.913.21.7415.115.7-0.61
Thabo Sefolosha38380.02-0.520.53-0.011-7813.713.8-0.0914.815.9-1.01
Kendrick Perkins4140-0.15-0.350.190.02-60-613.513.9-0.4414.815.9-1.16
Jeremy Lamb4444-0.22-0.280.050.01-82-1014.713.01.6215.515.40.10
Derek Fisher3435-0.34-0.16-0.17-0.22-4-2-215.113.11.9816.015.20.87
Perry Jones2324-0.520.02-0.54-0.43-3-3013.413.9-0.4316.015.30.76
Serge Ibaka6666-0.530.03-0.55-0.32-71-813.214.9-1.7415.715.10.61
Russell Westbrook7474-0.530.03-0.56-0.35-60-613.016.2-3.1815.714.90.78
Kevin Durant7778-0.690.19-0.89-0.40-104-1413.514.9-1.3915.316.0-0.74


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.45,0.44,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.59,0.56,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.33,0.29,0.28,0.31,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.69,0.83,0.83,0.79,0.85,0.87,0.85,0.76,0.85,0.64,0.76,0.67,0.39,0.16,0.15,0.28,0
GameSimilarity Score
MEM 98, POR 920.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.62,0.64,0.67,0.73,0.65,0.61,0.54,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.46,0.42,0.36,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.87,0.94,0.93,0.94,0.93,0.84,0.87,0.71,0.6,0.39,0.37,0.22,0.26,089.4%
BOS 99, TOR 950.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.44,0.36,0.37,0.34,0.37,0.31,0.36,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.62,0.63,0.67,0.64,0.87,0.89,0.75,0.67,0.53,0.64,0.6,0.47,0.19,0.15,0.16,0.08,089.4%
OKC 97, UTA 950.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.51,0.43,0.47,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.48,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.58,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.39,0.31,0.27,0.46,0.4,0.31,0.27,0.33,0.39,0.45,0.52,0.69,0.66,0.7,0.68,0.7,0.81,0.79,0.76,0.8,0.69,0.81,0.67,0.45,0.46,0.55,0.16,088.9%