NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	86		Excitement	8.2 [227]		MVP	Trey Burke (UTA): +22.8%
Orlando Magic	82		Comeback	4.4 [209]		LVP	Victor Oladipo (ORL): -26.5%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Trey Burke	0.23	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.23	0.18	0.05	-0.00	20	71%	0.36	2	-0.14	2	100%	0.01
Richard Jefferson	0.00	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.01	3	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Diante Garrett	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gordon Hayward	-0.00	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.02,0	-0.02	0.02	-0.00	15	45%	0.07	2	-0.07	3	67%	-0.01
Brandon Rush	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Evans	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	5	40%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marvin Williams	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05	-0.08	0.02	-0.01	7	36%	0.03	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Favors	-0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08	-0.06	-0.00	0.02	16	38%	-0.04	1	-0.04	5	80%	0.01
Alec Burks	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08	-0.02	-0.09	-0.03	9	57%	0.02	4	-0.11	5	80%	-0.01
Enes Kanter	-0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.12	-0.08	-0.00	6	17%	-0.14	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
E'Twaun Moore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.06	0.10	-0.01	8	62%	0.17	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Glen Davis	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.06	0.00	9	60%	0.12	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.03
Kyle O'Quinn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.08	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Maurice Harkless	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.02	-0.01	3	25%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Ronnie Price	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Nicholson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	8	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Nikola Vucevic	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.16,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.06	-0.04	0.01	18	35%	-0.11	0	0.00	4	100%	0.05
Tobias Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.15	-0.15	-0.02	-0.15	-0.01	14	44%	-0.15	1	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Jameer Nelson	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.2	-0.20	0.01	-0.21	-0.00	12	61%	-0.03	4	-0.17	4	100%	0.02
Victor Oladipo	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.19,-0.19,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26	-0.26	-0.17	-0.09	-0.00	12	12%	-0.22	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.3	2.4	28.2	14.5	26.3	1.7	36.2	131.7
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +62.0%

ORL -17.3%

UTA +32.0%

ORL -31.6%

UTA +5.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	ORL	NBA	UTA	ORL	NBA
this game	16.3	15.2	15.1	93.5	90.1	105.2
season	16.2	15.3		102.1	100.4
opponent	15.0	14.8		105.9	109.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	15.8	16.0	14.2	19.3	16.3
ORL	14.2	16.7	15.8	14.0	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Trey Burke	79	77	1.10	-0.60	1.71	0.49	21	-17	38	15.6	20.7	-5.14	15.5	13.7	1.74
Derrick Favors	70	67	1.01	-0.51	1.51	0.51	17	-13	30	15.6	18.5	-2.85	16.4	11.8	4.55
Gordon Hayward	72	69	0.95	-0.45	1.39	0.54	14	-10	24	15.7	18.2	-2.45	16.0	12.5	3.48
Marvin Williams	55	54	0.71	-0.21	0.92	0.42	10	-6	16	15.7	17.1	-1.43	16.0	14.0	2.00
Alec Burks	64	64	0.69	-0.19	0.87	0.42	9	-5	14	16.4	16.0	0.46	15.0	15.6	-0.63
Richard Jefferson	29	28	-0.16	0.66	-0.83	-0.08	-3	7	-10	15.4	16.7	-1.22	15.1	15.2	-0.17
Enes Kanter	32	32	-0.28	0.78	-1.07	-0.02	-9	13	-22	16.9	15.9	0.96	13.8	15.9	-2.12
Brandon Rush	20	22	-0.45	0.95	-1.39	-0.15	-10	14	-24	18.2	15.7	2.45	12.5	16.0	-3.48
Jeremy Evans	26	28	-0.45	0.95	-1.40	-0.10	-12	16	-28	19.2	15.2	4.00	12.9	16.2	-3.37
Diante Garrett	13	14	-0.60	1.10	-1.71	-0.11	-17	21	-38	20.7	15.6	5.14	13.7	15.5	-1.74

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Maurice Harkless	26	23	0.34	-0.84	1.18	0.19	5	-9	14	13.7	15.8	-2.09	18.7	15.5	3.22
Jameer Nelson	62	63	0.09	-0.59	0.67	-0.35	15	-19	34	14.8	16.1	-1.29	17.2	14.4	2.78
E'Twaun Moore	44	43	0.05	-0.55	0.61	-0.12	6	-10	16	14.5	15.8	-1.33	15.8	16.7	-0.92
Andrew Nicholson	34	32	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	0.03	-3	-1	-2	14.1	15.8	-1.66	17.1	15.8	1.29
Kyle O'Quinn	33	32	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.01	-4	0	-4	14.5	15.6	-1.10	15.5	16.7	-1.25
Glen Davis	53	55	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.43	4	-8	12	15.5	14.7	0.86	16.7	15.6	1.06
Ronnie Price	10	10	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	0.09	-15	11	-26	18.3	14.8	3.50	16.4	16.3	0.13
Nikola Vucevic	62	65	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.44	-1	-3	2	15.8	13.8	1.99	15.9	17.2	-1.28
Tobias Harris	63	67	-0.57	0.07	-0.65	-0.40	-6	2	-8	15.7	14.1	1.56	15.6	18.2	-2.69
Victor Oladipo	68	70	-1.09	0.59	-1.69	-0.48	-21	17	-38	15.7	13.7	1.94	15.7	18.2	-2.50

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.54,0.55,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.46,0.35,0.38,0.36,0.4,0.49,0.46,0.37,0.38,0.44,0.31,0.21,0.18,0.22,0.26,0.23,0.33,0.36,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.47,0.37,0.4,0.25,0.26,0.38,0.43,0.53,0.77,0.69,0.41,0.54,0.45,0.37,0.11,0.15,0
Game		Similarity Score
IND 89, NJN 83	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.4,0.41,0.43,0.37,0.42,0.44,0.35,0.44,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.44,0.47,0.36,0.36,0.28,0.26,0.22,0.24,0.31,0.33,0.3,0.29,0.32,0.38,0.41,0.41,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.58,0.53,0.41,0.53,0.32,0.36,0.24,0.08,0	91.6%
MIA 118, BOS 117	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.47,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.37,0.34,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.4,0.44,0.4,0.28,0.29,0.34,0.28,0.31,0.33,0.42,0.41,0.31,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.41,0.41,0.27,0.33,0.36,0.34,0.38,0.43,0.47,0.58,0.69,0.59,0.67,0.56,0.29,0.11,0.15,0	90.9%
SAS 93, POR 91	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.38,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.28,0.3,0.29,0.32,0.24,0.25,0.25,0.27,0.29,0.31,0.25,0.39,0.39,0.48,0.59,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.52,0.42,0.38,0.57,0.71,0.68,0.64,0.47,0.47,0.32,0.36,0.22,0.28,0	90.8%