inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Denver Nuggets 75 Excitement9.7 [88] MVPTrevor Booker (WAS): +4.3%
Washington Wizards 74 Comeback7.3 [217] LVPJohn Wall (WAS): -64.7%


Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Wilson Chandler0.030,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.06,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.03,0.03,0.030.11-0.060.021085%0.102-0.0600%0.00
Randy Foye0.020,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.040.06-0.00743%0.062-0.0400%0.00
Nate Robinson0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.000.010.001547%0.031-0.024100%0.03
Kenneth Faried-0.000,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0-0.060.060.01833%0.021-0.0220%-0.16
Evan Fournier-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.000.001100%0.052-0.0600%0.00
Darrell Arthur-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.030.00-0.030.00367%0.011-0.0400%0.00
Anthony Randolph-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.010.0020%-0.0400.0000%0.00
JJ Hickson-0.060,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.04-0.02-0.01947%0.023-0.081100%0.00
Timofey Mozgov-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.07-0.020.00444%0.034-0.1210%-0.02
Jordan Hamilton-0.140,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.07,-0.14,-0.140.01-0.150.00944%-0.1400.0000%0.00
Andre Miller-0.350,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.35-0.16-0.22-0.04519%-0.094-0.25650%-0.02

Washington Wizards
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Trevor Booker0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.04,0.040.04-0.020.060.001150%0.082-0.042100%0.05
Jan Vesely0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.040.050.00233%0.041-0.0320%-0.03
Otto Porter00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Kevin Seraphin0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.000.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Marcin Gortat0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.00-0.010.011747%0.011-0.0300%0.00
Eric Maynor0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.07-0.01-0.0130%-0.041-0.0200%0.00
Chris Singleton0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.04-0.02-0.00527%-0.041-0.021100%0.00
Glen Rice Jr.0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.12-0.06-0.08-0.01939%0.002-0.1300%0.00
Garrett Temple0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.21-0.21-0.05-0.160.0020%-0.171-0.0400%0.00
Trevor Ariza0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.35-0.35-0.07-0.29-0.011937%-0.151-0.2000%0.00
John Wall0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.14,-0.65-0.65-0.07-0.58-0.002045%-0.314-0.34450%-0.03
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game21.32.028.216.323.72.434.3128.3
league avg24.72.329.616.026.92.333.4136.7
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DEN +75.8%
WAS -13.5%
WAS -7.9%
WAS -3.7%
WAS -0.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDENWASNBADENWASNBA
this game16.016.215.183.383.1105.2
season14.015.1104.5103.8
opponent15.514.9102.7106.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DEN18.014.615.515.916.0
WAS15.516.015.118.416.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jordan Hamilton39390.82-0.321.140.5310-91915.216.6-1.4316.715.80.85
Nate Robinson51500.80-0.301.100.4811-102115.816.2-0.3816.915.41.52
Kenneth Faried45440.74-0.240.970.77-12-315.616.4-0.7816.416.10.30
Wilson Chandler67650.450.050.390.53-34-716.115.70.4216.216.3-0.11
Randy Foye60590.420.080.340.54-45-916.016.00.0016.116.5-0.43
Darrell Arthur28280.110.39-0.27-0.097-61316.115.90.2016.915.90.94
Timofey Mozgov35340.090.41-0.31-0.117-61316.016.00.0116.416.10.32
Evan Fournier27270.070.43-0.36-0.075-4916.016.0-0.0116.516.10.44
Anthony Randolph1817-0.200.70-0.89-0.05-56-1117.115.71.3615.116.5-1.43
JJ Hickson3839-0.350.85-1.200.00-1213-2516.415.60.8315.616.7-1.16
Andre Miller4243-0.460.96-1.42-0.17-1011-2116.215.80.3715.417.0-1.63

Washington Wizards
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Garrett Temple1080.25-0.751.010.221-2316.716.20.5517.615.81.82
Trevor Booker59590.17-0.670.84-0.068-91717.114.52.5317.014.03.00
Otto Porter13120.01-0.510.520.04-10-117.516.01.4616.715.80.90
Eric Maynor99-0.04-0.460.420.02-21-316.916.10.7516.215.90.28
Kevin Seraphin910-0.07-0.430.36-0.01-21-316.416.20.2613.716.2-2.55
Jan Vesely3736-0.10-0.400.300.07-65-1116.116.3-0.2716.115.90.24
Trevor Ariza7071-0.18-0.320.14-0.5011-122316.415.41.0716.613.63.03
Glen Rice Jr.5859-0.530.03-0.56-0.50-10-114.818.9-4.0814.818.2-3.35
John Wall7173-0.550.05-0.59-0.550-1116.017.0-0.9915.816.9-1.13
Chris Singleton3941-0.700.20-0.89-0.37-1110-2117.115.51.5815.216.6-1.33
Marcin Gortat7072-0.770.27-1.04-0.71-21-315.817.7-1.8716.016.0-0.04


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.53,0.48,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.46,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.67,0.56,0.63,0.74,0.63,0.64,0.73,0.79,0.82,0.85,0.84,0.76,0.7,0.68,0.58,0.66,0.75,0.76,0.77,0.83,0.76,0.78,0.69,0.36,0.68,0.74,0
GameSimilarity Score
CHI 91, DET 880.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.57,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.52,0.48,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.73,0.71,0.79,0.75,0.76,0.7,0.71,0.68,0.72,0.63,0.63,0.68,0.74,0.74,0.75,0.71,0.63,0.74,0.76,0.78,0.69,0.72,0.78,0.92,090.6%
PHI 112, BKN 1080.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.46,0.49,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.64,0.66,0.68,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.57,0.73,0.67,0.73,0.77,0.72,0.67,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.72,0.63,0.74,0.75,0.74,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.63,0.79,0.81,0.83,0.68,0.54,0.32,0.73,090.2%
BKN 109, BOS 1070.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.41,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.59,0.58,0.52,0.58,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.54,0.52,0.61,0.55,0.64,0.79,0.83,0.75,0.69,0.83,0.85,0.78,0.84,0.88,0.89,0.89,0.84,0.65,0.72,0.55,0.45,0.78,0.53,090.0%