NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	112		Excitement	9.7 [91]		MVP	Isaiah Thomas (SAC): +26.4%
Utah Jazz	102		Comeback	34.3 [32]		LVP	John Salmons (SAC): -17.0%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Isaiah Thomas	0.26	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.06,0.1,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.22,0.22,0.29,0.29,0.26,0.26	0.10	0.17	0.01	14	68%	0.42	3	-0.16	10	90%	0.07
DeMarcus Cousins	0.21	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.03,0,0.03,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.12	0.10	0.01	15	70%	0.41	4	-0.20	10	80%	0.02
Patrick Patterson	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.03	0.15	-0.00	6	58%	0.19	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben McLemore	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.12,-0.18,-0.18,-0.24,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15	-0.03	0.16	-0.02	17	39%	0.15	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Travis Outlaw	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Williams	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.01	-0.00	6	47%	0.01	0	0.00	5	80%	0.01
Hamady Ndiaye	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Thompson	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.01	9	46%	-0.01	0	0.00	6	83%	0.00
Marcus Thornton	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.01	-0.00	7	29%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greivis Vasquez	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	5	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Charles Hayes	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	6	38%	-0.04	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
John Salmons	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.13	-0.04	0.00	8	12%	-0.12	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gordon Hayward	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.05	0.10	-0.01	17	50%	0.19	1	-0.03	10	80%	-0.00
Alec Burks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.09,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.00	0.06	-0.01	12	61%	0.23	5	-0.16	7	86%	0.07
Michael Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.00	0.00	4	75%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trey Burke	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.14,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.23,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.10	0.12	-0.02	19	42%	0.15	4	-0.11	7	100%	0.09
Jeremy Evans	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	-0.00	9	44%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Richard Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.03	-0.01	11	59%	0.07	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gobert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Enes Kanter	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.04	-0.03	11	55%	0.00	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Diante Garrett	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	5	20%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andris Biedrins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	0	17%	-0.05	1	-0.04	6	17%	-0.08

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	26.3	1.8	29.2	16.4	25.9	1.7	38.6	1.8	12.0	153.7
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	1.9	17.6	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +42.1%

SAC +1.4%

UTA -4.8%

UTA -0.2%

SAC +11.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	UTA	NBA	SAC	UTA	NBA
this game	15.6	15.3	15.1	108.7	99.0	105.2
season	15.4	16.2		104.5	102.1
opponent	14.8	14.7		109.6	107.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
SAC	17.9	13.8	16.1	14.1	16.9	15.6
UTA	13.4	17.5	14.5	15.9	14.6	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Patrick Patterson	45	45	1.20	-0.70	1.89	0.61	20	-10	30	16.1	15.2	0.94	14.8	15.7	-0.88
John Salmons	52	52	0.81	-0.31	1.12	0.61	7	3	4	17.3	13.8	3.48	15.1	15.5	-0.35
Ben McLemore	78	77	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.08	13	-3	16	14.2	20.0	-5.86	14.9	16.4	-1.49
Charles Hayes	37	36	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.17	10	0	10	15.1	15.9	-0.77	15.4	15.2	0.14
Isaiah Thomas	60	61	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.20	3	7	-4	16.9	13.8	3.07	15.0	15.6	-0.55
Greivis Vasquez	43	42	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.01	7	3	4	13.8	16.9	-3.07	15.6	15.0	0.55
Marcus Thornton	25	26	0.11	0.39	-0.27	0.20	-3	13	-16	20.0	14.2	5.86	16.4	14.9	1.49
DeMarcus Cousins	55	56	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.03	2	8	-6	14.8	16.5	-1.72	15.2	15.3	-0.05
Hamady Ndiaye	4	4	0.08	0.42	-0.33	-0.03	4	6	-2	22.5	15.3	7.18	8.7	15.5	-6.79
Travis Outlaw	7	7	-0.13	0.63	-0.77	0.04	-6	16	-22	20.6	15.2	5.33	18.7	15.0	3.69
Jason Thompson	55	55	-0.54	1.04	-1.58	-0.42	-4	14	-18	14.9	16.4	-1.45	16.0	14.4	1.60
Derrick Williams	54	54	-0.55	1.05	-1.60	-0.46	-3	13	-16	14.2	17.2	-2.98	15.1	15.5	-0.38

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeremy Evans	56	56	0.33	-0.83	1.17	0.28	2	-12	14	15.9	14.6	1.32	15.8	15.4	0.40
Andris Biedrins	26	25	0.26	-0.76	1.02	-0.00	9	-19	28	13.1	16.0	-2.94	18.0	14.8	3.17
Rudy Gobert	3	3	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.01	-2	-8	6	34.3	14.7	19.63	7.3	15.8	-8.52
Michael Harris	33	33	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.05	-1	-9	8	14.6	15.6	-1.02	17.1	14.9	2.15
Diante Garrett	20	19	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.12	-4	-6	2	16.7	14.9	1.77	17.1	15.3	1.84
Alec Burks	71	72	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.22	-7	-3	-4	15.6	14.6	0.98	15.5	15.7	-0.20
Gordon Hayward	86	86	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.11	-11	1	-12	14.8	17.4	-2.56	15.3	17.1	-1.74
Trey Burke	87	87	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.13	-12	2	-14	15.2	15.6	-0.42	15.2	17.6	-2.32
Enes Kanter	72	74	-0.57	0.07	-0.65	-0.16	-14	4	-18	15.6	14.5	1.13	14.8	17.7	-2.95
Richard Jefferson	61	60	-0.81	0.31	-1.12	-0.51	-10	0	-10	14.6	16.3	-1.75	15.6	15.6	-0.00

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.56,0.52,0.57,0.5,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.53,0.52,0.62,0.58,0.6,0.67,0.63,0.7,0.71,0.66,0.72,0.73,0.67,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.34,0.43,0.33,0.29,0.19,0.13,0.29,0.48,0.75,0.93,0.85,0.92,0.46,0.45,0.37,0.1,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
NOP 129, DAL 125	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.69,0.7,0.68,0.66,0.71,0.74,0.81,0.8,0.78,0.76,0.66,0.61,0.67,0.61,0.68,0.68,0.55,0.52,0.44,0.39,0.3,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.15,0.27,0.34,0.53,0.81,0.85,0.91,0.92,0.54,0.39,0.28,0.23,0.16,0	89.5%
WAS 100, MIL 92	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.46,0.46,0.39,0.41,0.5,0.45,0.55,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.45,0.38,0.41,0.52,0.32,0.38,0.26,0.18,0.2,0.23,0.31,0.54,0.39,0.68,0.72,0.78,0.83,0.54,0.39,0.46,0.23,0.05,0	88.0%
SAS 101, NOP 98	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.63,0.55,0.51,0.6,0.56,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.63,0.66,0.58,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.44,0.5,0.43,0.46,0.39,0.3,0.33,0.35,0.32,0.38,0.48,0.37,0.32,0.46,0.48,0.29,0.24,0.26,0.41,0.46,0.47,0.61,0.79,0.77,0.83,0.46,0.55,0.66,0.32,0.1,0	87.9%