NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	106		Excitement	8.9 [144]		MVP	Jodie Meeks (LAL): +34.5%
Sacramento Kings	100		Comeback	5.5 [160]		LVP	DeMarcus Cousins (SAC): -43.9%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jodie Meeks	0.34	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.34,0.34	0.18	0.18	0.02	11	86%	0.34	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pau Gasol	0.12	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.12,0.12	0.04	0.11	0.02	15	51%	0.15	1	-0.03	7	100%	0.03
Jordan Hill	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.02	-0.00	5	54%	0.05	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.02
Robert Sacre	0.04	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.07	-0.01	0.01	7	69%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Shawne Williams	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.01	-0.00	6	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Johnson	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.03	-0.07	-0.01	9	72%	0.14	3	-0.18	0	0%	0.00
Xavier Henry	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Steve Blake	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.07	-0.09	-0.01	13	46%	-0.05	4	-0.10	2	50%	-0.00
Nick Young	-0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.24,-0.24,-0.22	-0.06	-0.15	0.00	16	39%	-0.19	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.05

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Salmons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.08	0.10	0.00	9	72%	0.21	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Charles Hayes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.02	-0.02	3	75%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jason Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.00	0.00	5	75%	0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Ben McLemore	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.01,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03	0.03	0.06	0.02	0.05	17	59%	0.12	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Greivis Vasquez	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	5	50%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ray McCallum	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Thornton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Williams	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	5	56%	-0.00	2	-0.05	6	83%	0.01
Patrick Patterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.11	-0.04	-0.00	9	11%	-0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.01	-0.14	-0.00	13	54%	-0.02	3	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
DeMarcus Cousins	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.14,-0.19,-0.26,-0.26,-0.19,-0.19,-0.43,-0.44	-0.44	-0.14	-0.29	0.00	17	43%	-0.13	6	-0.31	12	67%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.3	27.4	14.8	24.2	1.7	31.5	126.9
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +37.4%

SAC -6.5%

SAC -15.0%

LAL +34.2%

SAC -0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	SAC	NBA	LAL	SAC	NBA
this game	15.5	14.6	15.1	112.8	103.1	105.2
season	14.0	15.4		102.9	104.5
opponent	14.7	14.8		107.1	108.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	14.2	14.5	17.9	15.9	15.5
SAC	13.6	14.9	14.2	16.1	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nick Young	63	63	0.79	-0.29	1.07	0.43	12	-6	18	14.5	17.7	-3.23	14.7	14.4	0.29
Jodie Meeks	67	70	0.74	-0.24	0.97	0.44	10	-4	14	15.2	16.4	-1.21	13.7	17.0	-3.23
Pau Gasol	64	66	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.29	9	-3	12	15.8	15.0	0.75	14.8	14.3	0.50
Steve Blake	76	77	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.33	5	1	4	16.0	13.8	2.18	14.9	13.4	1.49
Wesley Johnson	62	65	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.22	5	1	4	15.6	15.4	0.25	14.7	14.6	0.10
Xavier Henry	35	36	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.06	-1	7	-8	15.1	15.8	-0.64	14.6	14.6	-0.03
Jordan Hill	30	31	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.03	-3	9	-12	15.0	15.8	-0.75	14.3	14.8	-0.50
Shawne Williams	44	46	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.02	-4	10	-14	15.8	15.3	0.48	14.6	14.7	-0.08
Robert Sacre	29	31	-0.30	0.80	-1.11	-0.22	-3	9	-12	17.5	14.7	2.81	15.7	14.1	1.59

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Isaiah Thomas	52	51	0.18	-0.68	0.85	-0.03	7	-13	20	14.4	14.8	-0.40	14.9	16.3	-1.31
Jason Thompson	46	44	0.14	-0.64	0.77	0.11	1	-7	8	14.3	15.0	-0.70	16.6	14.6	1.97
Marcus Thornton	28	28	0.13	-0.63	0.75	0.07	2	-8	10	17.2	13.6	3.63	17.7	14.6	3.14
Patrick Patterson	46	45	0.07	-0.57	0.65	0.05	1	-7	8	15.3	14.1	1.20	14.9	16.1	-1.25
Ray McCallum	1	1	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-9	12	7.0	14.7	-7.71	6.0	15.6	-9.65
DeMarcus Cousins	64	63	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.21	2	-8	10	14.6	14.8	-0.20	15.8	14.9	0.91
Charles Hayes	30	28	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	0.00	-9	3	-12	15.2	14.4	0.83	15.7	15.5	0.24
John Salmons	52	51	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	-0.41	-4	-2	-2	15.0	14.2	0.72	14.9	16.3	-1.49
Ben McLemore	69	66	-0.63	0.13	-0.75	-0.39	-8	2	-10	13.6	17.2	-3.63	14.6	17.7	-3.14
Greivis Vasquez	45	43	-0.68	0.18	-0.85	-0.30	-13	7	-20	14.8	14.4	0.40	16.3	14.9	1.31
Derrick Williams	52	50	-0.77	0.27	-1.04	-0.42	-12	6	-18	14.0	15.4	-1.44	15.6	15.5	0.17

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.37,0.41,0.36,0.43,0.38,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.66,0.69,0.64,0.64,0.54,0.65,0.63,0.59,0.67,0.73,0.77,0.75,0.72,0.7,0.74,0.85,0.74,0.66,0.57,0.48,0.53,0.41,0.6,0.61,0.69,0.84,0.69,0.09,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 95, POR 91	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.44,0.41,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.49,0.61,0.61,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.66,0.62,0.75,0.73,0.71,0.74,0.59,0.63,0.67,0.64,0.74,0.66,0.62,0.53,0.63,0.59,0.6,0.53,0.62,0.72,0.68,0.28,0	92.2%
BOS 111, WAS 102	0.5,0.51,0.44,0.43,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.39,0.37,0.4,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.66,0.73,0.62,0.51,0.61,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.72,0.61,0.67,0.6,0.6,0.55,0.61,0.73,0.71,0.71,0.72,0.77,0.74,0.75,0.66,0.74,0.75,0.62,0.63,0.59,0.47,0.47,0.74,0.89,0.55,0.15,0	91.4%
PHI 84, MIN 82	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.64,0.69,0.71,0.7,0.67,0.67,0.69,0.66,0.67,0.7,0.67,0.59,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.67,0.48,0.46,0.52,0.62,0.52,0.47,0.53,0.54,0.66,0.74,0.63,0.68,0.26,0	90.1%