NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	89		Excitement	2.5 [1243]		MVP	Paul Millsap (ATL): +8.1%
Atlanta Hawks	108		Comeback	1.1 [1102]		LVP	Kyrie Irving (CLE): -11.2%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dion Waiters	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.16	0.00	0.13	20	70%	0.05	2	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Jarrett Jack	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	10	55%	0.02	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Matthew Dellavedova	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	7	50%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Sergey Karasev	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Earl Clark	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Bynum	-0.00	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.03	14	57%	0.04	3	-0.05	7	29%	-0.04
Tristan Thompson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0.01	9	45%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Anthony Bennett	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	3	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Zeller	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.00	0.00	0.03	3	67%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Alonzo Gee	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Anderson Varejao	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	6	17%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
CJ Miles	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.11	0.00	-0.02	8	19%	-0.06	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kyrie Irving	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.18	0.00	-0.06	9	0%	-0.11	0	0.00	3	0%	-0.03

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul Millsap	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.00	-0.03	14	52%	0.08	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.02
Cartier Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.12	0.00	0.07	5	120%	0.06	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.09	0.00	0.04	6	83%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Louis Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.01	-0.05	11	52%	0.07	3	-0.02	3	33%	-0.01
Gustavo Ayon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.06	0.00	0.04	3	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeMarre Carroll	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.05	10	43%	0.03	2	-0.01	3	67%	-0.00
Mike Scott	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jared Cunningham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al Horford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.03	0.00	0.04	19	55%	0.02	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Shelvin Mack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	8	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Teague	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.01	14	46%	-0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elton Brand	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	1.6	26.2	15.4	22.6	1.6	29.0	122.8
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +43.5%

ATL +0.5%

ATL +1.0%

ATL +5.0%

ATL +0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	ATL	NBA	CLE	ATL	NBA
this game	15.7	14.5	15.1	93.7	112.5	105.2
season	15.2	14.8		102.8	103.8
opponent	15.3	15.3		104.7	106.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	15.5	14.7	14.3	18.2	15.7
ATL	12.7	15.3	16.2	13.7	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sergey Karasev	5	5	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-19	19	15.2	15.7	-0.49	16.2	14.4	1.79
Matthew Dellavedova	47	47	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.41	13	-32	45	16.0	15.4	0.62	16.7	12.4	4.27
Tyler Zeller	14	13	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	0.03	-4	-15	11	17.2	15.4	1.82	15.8	14.3	1.47
Earl Clark	14	13	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	0.06	-6	-13	7	14.0	16.0	-1.95	13.8	14.6	-0.85
Alonzo Gee	23	23	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	0.17	-12	-7	-5	15.0	15.9	-0.88	13.4	14.8	-1.40
Anthony Bennett	20	18	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.15	-12	-7	-5	15.0	15.8	-0.84	13.8	14.7	-0.89
CJ Miles	25	25	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.20	-14	-5	-9	16.3	15.4	0.89	13.1	15.0	-1.87
Anderson Varejao	40	40	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.32	3	-22	25	14.6	16.5	-1.88	16.8	12.8	4.03
Andrew Bynum	52	54	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.09	-11	-8	-3	15.9	15.4	0.53	13.7	15.5	-1.74
Jarrett Jack	55	57	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.10	-6	-13	7	15.5	15.9	-0.50	14.9	13.8	1.10
Kyrie Irving	43	45	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	0.27	-19	0	-19	15.5	15.8	-0.28	12.7	16.1	-3.37
Dion Waiters	68	68	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.11	-7	-12	5	15.7	15.6	0.10	14.7	13.9	0.81
Tristan Thompson	69	72	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	0.24	-20	1	-21	16.4	13.8	2.55	13.7	17.0	-3.33

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Paul Millsap	57	56	0.36	0.14	0.23	-0.08	15	4	11	13.8	15.5	-1.71	14.7	17.1	-2.35
Al Horford	61	60	0.31	0.19	0.12	-0.04	12	7	5	15.5	12.8	2.63	16.6	14.1	2.54
Louis Williams	53	54	0.30	0.20	0.10	-0.08	13	6	7	13.4	15.9	-2.51	15.8	15.5	0.31
Shelvin Mack	39	39	0.27	0.23	0.05	-0.11	13	6	7	14.6	14.4	0.24	16.1	15.3	0.79
Cartier Martin	22	23	0.25	0.25	0.00	-0.19	15	4	11	13.6	14.8	-1.18	15.3	15.8	-0.47
Kyle Korver	65	63	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.01	8	11	-3	14.7	14.1	0.55	16.0	15.0	0.95
Jeff Teague	51	50	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.06	6	13	-7	14.3	14.7	-0.40	15.0	16.4	-1.48
Elton Brand	30	30	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.01	6	13	-7	12.3	15.5	-3.25	14.4	16.3	-1.89
DeMarre Carroll	53	52	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.13	2	17	-15	15.7	13.0	2.67	15.4	16.0	-0.66
Gustavo Ayon	39	38	0.14	0.36	-0.23	-0.01	5	14	-9	15.5	13.8	1.71	17.1	14.7	2.40
Mike Scott	5	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	19	-19	16.2	14.4	1.79	15.2	15.7	-0.49
Jared Cunningham	5	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	19	-19	16.2	14.4	1.79	15.2	15.7	-0.49

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.62,0.61,0.64,0.68,0.7,0.73,0.73,0.81,0.87,0.91,0.9,0.94,0.92,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.93,0.92,0.89,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.94,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 85, LAL 101	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.66,0.65,0.69,0.69,0.73,0.76,0.76,0.81,0.84,0.86,0.9,0.92,0.91,0.91,0.94,0.92,0.92,0.91,0.9,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	97.7%
GSW 84, PHI 112	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.5,0.5,0.56,0.65,0.63,0.65,0.75,0.74,0.79,0.83,0.85,0.91,0.9,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.9,0.91,0.92,0.92,0.9,0.93,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.6%
GSW 96, LAL 119	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.67,0.69,0.73,0.76,0.77,0.82,0.87,0.91,0.88,0.93,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.99,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.6%