NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	106		Excitement	9.1 [128]		MVP	Shawne Williams (LAL): +30.8%
Detroit Pistons	102		Comeback	11.5 [74]		LVP	Josh Smith (DET): -45.2%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shawne Williams	0.31	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.31,0.31,0.31	0.17	0.14	0.00	13	77%	0.31	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Johnson	0.25	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.25	0.04	0.04	11	104%	0.31	2	-0.06	4	75%	-0.00
Xavier Henry	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.02	0.00	3	33%	0.01	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.06
Jodie Meeks	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.01	0.01	8	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Robert Sacre	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	1	67%	0.02	1	-0.04	4	50%	-0.05
Jordan Farmar	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.11,-0.06,0.07,-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	11	52%	0.07	3	-0.11	3	33%	-0.11
Jordan Hill	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	1	100%	0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Nick Young	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.1,-0.1,-0.02,-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.01	12	39%	-0.03	1	-0.03	7	86%	0.02
Pau Gasol	-0.09	0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.04	-0.03	14	39%	-0.05	3	-0.05	5	60%	-0.03
Steve Blake	-0.16	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.03	-0.04	6	17%	-0.04	5	-0.11	0	0%	0.00

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brandon Jennings	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.12,-0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04	0.04	-0.05	0.06	-0.03	17	49%	0.14	4	-0.10	5	60%	-0.17
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.02	-0.00	7	43%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Drummond	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.01	0.00	10	54%	0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Kyle Singler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	9	39%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Monroe	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.06	-0.04	0.01	15	58%	0.06	1	-0.05	3	33%	-0.04
Josh Harrellson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charlie Villanueva	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Peyton Siva	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	2	50%	0.00	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Stuckey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,-0.03,-0.15	-0.15	0.04	-0.18	0.01	17	51%	-0.12	1	-0.02	9	67%	-0.00
Josh Smith	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.24,-0.24,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.22,-0.22,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.28,-0.31,-0.31,-0.45	-0.45	-0.25	-0.20	-0.00	16	22%	-0.20	5	-0.25	4	0%	-0.06

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.7	1.5	27.7	18.0	27.5	1.8	44.3	148.5
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +63.3%

LAL +3.0%

DET -18.0%

LAL +4.2%

DET -2.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	DET	NBA	LAL	DET	NBA
this game	14.2	15.1	15.1	108.2	103.0	105.2
season	14.0	15.0		102.9	104.7
opponent	15.0	14.8		108.4	108.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	14.9	12.9	13.7	15.3	14.2
DET	12.3	14.8	15.8	18.1	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nick Young	56	56	0.69	-0.19	0.89	0.40	10	-6	16	13.1	15.5	-2.36	16.4	13.4	2.94
Shawne Williams	60	63	0.68	-0.18	0.86	0.42	9	-5	14	13.9	14.6	-0.74	16.1	13.2	2.92
Jordan Farmar	46	47	0.58	-0.08	0.65	0.43	5	-1	6	14.0	14.3	-0.29	17.3	13.0	4.30
Pau Gasol	68	70	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.47	3	1	2	14.6	13.1	1.57	13.5	18.9	-5.35
Wesley Johnson	69	69	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.40	0	4	-4	14.3	13.9	0.36	14.3	16.8	-2.51
Robert Sacre	26	25	0.09	0.41	-0.33	-0.12	7	-3	10	12.9	14.6	-1.73	20.0	13.4	6.53
Xavier Henry	25	25	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	-0.14	4	0	4	15.3	13.8	1.51	17.5	14.3	3.21
Steve Blake	52	52	-0.08	0.58	-0.65	-0.05	-1	5	-6	14.3	14.0	0.29	13.0	17.3	-4.30
Jodie Meeks	58	59	-0.20	0.70	-0.89	-0.02	-6	10	-16	14.1	14.2	-0.04	13.3	17.7	-4.35
Jordan Hill	30	29	-0.20	0.70	-0.91	0.12	-11	15	-26	15.5	13.6	1.89	13.2	15.9	-2.65

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	31	31	0.18	-0.68	0.85	0.00	6	-10	16	13.6	15.8	-2.18	15.0	13.8	1.19
Andre Drummond	34	35	0.17	-0.67	0.83	-0.10	9	-13	22	13.8	15.8	-2.00	14.6	13.9	0.74
Josh Harrellson	24	22	0.15	-0.65	0.81	0.07	3	-7	10	18.2	14.1	4.07	13.2	14.4	-1.19
Peyton Siva	13	13	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.05	-2	-2	0	16.5	14.9	1.59	13.1	14.3	-1.24
Charlie Villanueva	7	7	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.03	-2	-2	0	21.6	14.6	6.98	13.1	14.2	-1.09
Josh Smith	92	91	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.41	-2	-2	0	14.6	21.6	-6.98	14.2	13.1	1.09
Brandon Jennings	86	85	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.43	-2	-2	0	14.9	16.5	-1.59	14.3	13.1	1.24
Greg Monroe	72	72	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.49	-3	-1	-2	13.8	18.4	-4.57	14.7	12.5	2.20
Rodney Stuckey	68	67	-0.68	0.18	-0.85	-0.38	-10	6	-16	15.8	13.6	2.18	13.8	15.0	-1.19
Kyle Singler	68	67	-0.74	0.24	-0.99	-0.24	-17	13	-30	16.0	13.1	2.84	13.6	15.4	-1.81

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.61,0.62,0.57,0.61,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.58,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.58,0.61,0.7,0.58,0.61,0.51,0.56,0.5,0.43,0.51,0.48,0.58,0.52,0.68,0.68,0.65,0.73,0.78,0.82,0.87,0.9,0.8,0.79,0.81,0.7,0.65,0.78,0.86,0.84,0.57,0.09,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 90, ATL 86	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.59,0.63,0.57,0.59,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.64,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.58,0.67,0.68,0.59,0.72,0.77,0.78,0.79,0.74,0.84,0.79,0.71,0.63,0.69,0.59,0.72,0.75,0.66,0.67,0.29,0	92.2%
CLE 125, NYK 118	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.56,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.62,0.62,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.52,0.42,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.69,0.73,0.81,0.85,0.92,0.91,0.88,0.91,0.85,0.79,0.81,0.91,0.93,0.9,0.67,0.08,0	91.3%
MIL 91, ATL 87	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.47,0.43,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.47,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.46,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.48,0.58,0.61,0.68,0.85,0.9,0.83,0.81,0.87,0.81,0.9,0.85,0.87,0.81,0.9,0.84,0.78,0.95,0.79,0.55,0.08,0	91.2%