NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Brooklyn Nets	102		Excitement	6.1 [612]		MVP	Andray Blatche (BKN): +12.1%
Toronto Raptors	100		Comeback	1.6 [278]		LVP	Amir Johnson (TOR): -18.9%

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andray Blatche	0.12	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.02	0.02	16	67%	0.17	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Tyshawn Taylor	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.01	0.04	-0.03	7	56%	0.09	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Joe Johnson	0.08	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.03	0.01	-0.05	18	52%	0.11	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.03
Kevin Garnett	0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.02	-0.02	11	50%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Alan Anderson	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.02	0.04	-0.02	8	37%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mason Plumlee	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	5	82%	0.10	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.01
Paul Pierce	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.05	-0.02	0.01	8	76%	0.14	4	-0.13	5	100%	0.02
Shaun Livingston	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0.01	-0.03	0.02	-0.01	3	50%	0.04	2	-0.03	4	75%	-0.02
Mirza Teletovic	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.02	1	0%	-0.00	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steve Novak	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1	0.10	0.10	0.04	0.03	6	75%	0.10	0	0.00	4	100%	0.00
DeMar DeRozan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.2,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1	0.10	0.16	-0.05	0.02	15	77%	0.18	3	-0.08	5	100%	0.03
Terrence Ross	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.03	-0.02	7	50%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Lowry	0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.13	-0.02	0.05	15	67%	0.11	2	-0.05	6	100%	0.03
Dwight Buycks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.02	0.00	3	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jonas Valanciunas	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	6	54%	0.02	2	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
D.J. Augustin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Landry Fields	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Hansbrough	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	5	42%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Rudy Gay	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.23,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.1	-0.10	-0.19	0.05	-0.04	12	35%	0.08	7	-0.18	2	100%	0.01
Amir Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.19	-0.19	-0.04	-0.14	0.01	7	37%	-0.18	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.5	2.8	29.2	17.5	25.5	2.6	38.4	139.5
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BKN +32.6%

BKN +9.8%

BKN +0.3%

BKN +0.7%

BKN +6.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BKN	TOR	NBA	BKN	TOR	NBA
this game	17.3	14.7	15.1	114.6	109.9	105.2
season	15.7	15.9		105.1	107.2
opponent	15.1	15.5		104.2	106.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BKN	15.7	17.6	15.6	20.6	17.3
TOR	17.0	15.9	12.7	13.7	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Paul Pierce	58	58	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.29	12	-10	22	17.1	17.7	-0.64	15.3	13.7	1.63
Kevin Garnett	44	45	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.36	2	0	2	18.0	16.6	1.40	15.4	14.1	1.31
Shaun Livingston	54	56	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.27	3	-1	4	16.4	18.6	-2.20	15.0	14.4	0.59
Joe Johnson	73	76	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.40	-3	5	-8	16.8	19.4	-2.54	14.4	16.6	-2.23
Mirza Teletovic	38	38	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.10	7	-5	12	19.0	16.0	2.93	15.1	14.5	0.63
Andray Blatche	58	60	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.21	2	0	2	17.3	17.3	-0.05	15.1	14.0	1.12
Tyshawn Taylor	35	35	0.15	0.35	-0.21	0.18	-1	3	-4	18.6	16.4	2.20	14.4	15.0	-0.59
Alan Anderson	53	53	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.33	-9	11	-20	17.5	16.9	0.63	14.3	15.4	-1.13
Mason Plumlee	32	34	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	0.08	-3	5	-8	15.4	18.4	-2.99	13.3	15.6	-2.26

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dwight Buycks	10	10	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.00	0	-2	2	16.5	14.5	1.98	19.0	17.1	1.92
Tyler Hansbrough	36	36	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.11	1	-3	4	13.6	15.5	-1.95	16.9	17.5	-0.58
Kyle Lowry	74	71	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.36	6	-8	14	14.5	15.7	-1.19	16.7	19.4	-2.70
Terrence Ross	40	39	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.07	-4	2	-6	14.4	15.0	-0.51	17.5	17.1	0.35
Landry Fields	5	6	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.04	-6	4	-10	16.6	14.6	1.97	19.2	17.2	2.01
Jonas Valanciunas	44	41	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.13	-5	3	-8	15.1	14.4	0.73	16.7	17.8	-1.13
DeMar DeRozan	76	73	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.40	4	-6	10	14.4	16.5	-2.15	16.9	19.1	-2.16
Steve Novak	41	42	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.23	-2	0	-2	14.9	14.6	0.21	18.2	16.5	1.70
D.J. Augustin	7	8	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.08	-8	6	-14	14.6	14.7	-0.18	20.0	17.0	2.98
Rudy Gay	61	60	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.38	2	-4	6	15.2	13.8	1.45	17.4	17.0	0.48
Amir Johnson	61	59	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.40	2	-4	6	15.1	14.0	1.05	17.3	17.3	-0.01

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.51,0.44,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.33,0.35,0.36,0.47,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.52,0.39,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.44,0.42,0.35,0.31,0.25,0.27,0.33,0.32,0.26,0.31,0.23,0.26,0.44,0.3,0.22,0.18,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0
Game		Similarity Score
IND 109, MIN 99	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.41,0.45,0.41,0.34,0.38,0.36,0.39,0.37,0.42,0.47,0.63,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.39,0.36,0.42,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.33,0.27,0.35,0.32,0.31,0.24,0.17,0.25,0.26,0.16,0.08,0.04,0.07,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	93.6%
BOS 88, POR 78	0.5,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.43,0.4,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.61,0.54,0.46,0.54,0.46,0.37,0.42,0.35,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.35,0.26,0.31,0.18,0.23,0.28,0.26,0.16,0.15,0.08,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	93.4%
MIL 119, ATL 109	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.39,0.41,0.37,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.41,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.34,0.28,0.22,0.22,0.2,0.26,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.33,0.36,0.26,0.13,0.12,0.05,0.03,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	93.0%