NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Bobcats	96		Excitement	3.4 [1117]		MVP	Josh McRoberts (CHA): +12.6%
Milwaukee Bucks	72		Comeback	1.0 [651]		LVP	Caron Butler (MIL): -9.7%

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Josh McRoberts	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.11	0.02	0.00	7	86%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Adrien	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.01	0.02	-0.04	4	40%	0.04	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.00
Gerald Henderson	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.07	-0.01	0.05	12	59%	0.01	0	0.00	5	40%	-0.04
Ramon Sessions	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.06	0.00	0.05	8	59%	0.01	0	0.00	6	83%	-0.00
Jannero Pargo	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	2	50%	0.00	3	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Tolliver	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bismack Biyombo	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.01	7	44%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Al Jefferson	-0.02	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.04	15	54%	0.03	2	-0.05	5	60%	-0.02
Jeff Taylor	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	9	41%	-0.02	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
Kemba Walker	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	10	52%	0.03	4	-0.08	1	0%	-0.01
Cody Zeller	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.11	0.00	-0.06	3	25%	-0.03	4	-0.02	2	100%	0.00

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Khris Middleton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.14	0.00	0.08	13	69%	0.07	0	0.00	3	67%	0.00
John Henson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	9	45%	0.02	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Gary Neal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.03	11	41%	0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Giannis Antetokounmpo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	7	43%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nate Wolters	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	2	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Miroslav Raduljica	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ekpe Udoh	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	5	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zaza Pachulia	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ersan Ilyasova	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	0.02	6	50%	-0.01	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Brandon Knight	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.15	-0.00	-0.09	8	19%	-0.02	4	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
O.J. Mayo	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	7	29%	-0.06	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Luke Ridnour	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	5	20%	-0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Caron Butler	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.03	-0.01	8	31%	-0.04	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.2	2.4	25.3	16.3	24.3	1.8	27.2	118.6
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +34.5%

MIL -5.7%

CHA +14.7%

CHA +4.5%

CHA +2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	MIL	NBA	CHA	MIL	NBA
this game	15.8	17.0	15.1	107.9	82.8	105.2
season	15.7	15.7		102.4	101.4
opponent	15.1	15.1		109.7	103.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	14.0	14.4	21.6	14.4	15.8
MIL	14.8	17.6	19.5	16.9	17.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Josh McRoberts	37	36	0.58	-0.08	0.67	-0.15	25	-1	26	16.7	15.1	1.56	18.4	16.0	2.46
Gerald Henderson	47	46	0.56	-0.06	0.62	-0.14	24	0	24	16.0	15.5	0.41	17.4	16.5	0.97
Kemba Walker	50	49	0.48	0.02	0.47	-0.19	23	1	22	16.3	15.1	1.13	17.4	16.4	0.99
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	51	52	0.42	0.08	0.34	-0.29	24	0	24	16.4	14.9	1.52	18.3	14.9	3.40
Al Jefferson	47	46	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.29	21	3	18	16.0	15.5	0.41	17.9	16.0	1.94
Jeff Adrien	32	31	0.18	0.32	-0.14	-0.03	7	17	-10	15.7	15.8	-0.17	15.7	17.7	-2.02
Jeff Taylor	53	51	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.14	7	17	-10	14.7	17.3	-2.59	16.5	17.7	-1.22
Jannero Pargo	10	10	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	28	-32	15.2	15.8	-0.64	16.8	17.0	-0.20
Anthony Tolliver	9	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	26	-28	14.7	15.9	-1.22	13.1	17.4	-4.24
Bismack Biyombo	10	10	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	28	-32	15.2	15.8	-0.64	16.8	17.0	-0.20
Ramon Sessions	47	45	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	-0.03	0	24	-24	15.9	15.7	0.18	15.8	18.3	-2.53
Cody Zeller	52	51	-0.08	0.58	-0.67	-0.05	-1	25	-26	15.1	16.7	-1.56	16.0	18.4	-2.46

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gary Neal	35	37	0.09	-0.59	0.68	0.00	3	-27	30	15.2	18.2	-3.02	16.8	15.0	1.79
Ekpe Udoh	35	36	0.07	-0.57	0.65	0.01	2	-26	28	15.7	17.9	-2.21	17.0	14.9	2.08
Khris Middleton	52	54	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.03	3	-27	30	16.0	18.5	-2.48	15.7	15.9	-0.25
Brandon Knight	47	50	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.09	4	-28	32	15.8	18.4	-2.63	15.8	15.7	0.04
Miroslav Raduljica	12	12	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-23	22	17.2	16.9	0.32	13.2	16.2	-3.00
Nate Wolters	18	18	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.09	-3	-21	18	16.4	17.1	-0.67	12.9	16.5	-3.60
Giannis Antetokounmpo	23	23	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	0.02	-1	-23	22	16.9	17.0	-0.15	14.4	16.2	-1.79
John Henson	45	47	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	0.07	-7	-17	10	16.8	17.2	-0.46	15.7	15.9	-0.18
Zaza Pachulia	22	23	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.11	-16	-8	-8	16.5	17.1	-0.58	16.6	15.5	1.08
Luke Ridnour	34	33	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	0.17	-24	0	-24	19.0	15.7	3.37	16.4	15.4	0.95
O.J. Mayo	39	39	-0.57	0.07	-0.63	0.25	-28	4	-32	18.1	16.1	1.99	15.8	15.8	0.01
Ersan Ilyasova	37	37	-0.57	0.07	-0.65	0.16	-25	1	-26	18.7	15.7	3.05	15.8	15.7	0.13
Caron Butler	36	36	-0.58	0.08	-0.67	0.21	-27	3	-30	18.9	15.6	3.26	15.7	15.8	-0.12

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.36,0.33,0.31,0.31,0.37,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.44,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.39,0.33,0.31,0.36,0.3,0.21,0.18,0.13,0.11,0.08,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 110, PHI 85	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.43,0.4,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.4,0.44,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.44,0.37,0.39,0.36,0.31,0.25,0.3,0.3,0.24,0.14,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.4%
ORL 113, TOR 90	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.43,0.43,0.39,0.35,0.35,0.33,0.32,0.35,0.4,0.44,0.49,0.4,0.42,0.39,0.34,0.36,0.34,0.3,0.39,0.3,0.21,0.14,0.1,0.17,0.12,0.05,0.04,0.08,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.9%
GSW 108, CLE 85	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.37,0.31,0.31,0.38,0.35,0.3,0.32,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.36,0.37,0.34,0.36,0.25,0.19,0.12,0.15,0.13,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.8%