NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	102		Excitement	9.6 [94]		MVP	Chris Paul (LAC): +61.7%
Los Angeles Clippers	103		Comeback	8.9 [291]		LVP	DeMarcus Cousins (SAC): -30.2%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Isaiah Thomas	0.36	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.36	0.05	0.32	0.01	12	59%	0.48	2	-0.12	13	85%	0.17
Patrick Patterson	0.32	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.23,0.32,0.32,0.32	0.05	0.26	-0.01	16	54%	0.34	1	-0.02	7	71%	0.05
Luc Mbah a Moute	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.08,0.08	0.01	0.08	0.01	4	60%	0.11	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Hamady Ndiaye	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charles Hayes	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.01	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jimmer Fredette	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.01	1	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jason Thompson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	6	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Greivis Vasquez	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben McLemore	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	7	36%	-0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Travis Outlaw	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	0.01	-0.06	0.01	9	44%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Salmons	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.02	-0.08	0.01	6	42%	-0.06	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
DeMarcus Cousins	-0.30	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.09,-0.3	-0.05	-0.24	0.01	22	46%	-0.23	3	-0.07	6	50%	-0.22

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Paul	0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.06,0,0,0,0.38,0.62	0.62	0.11	0.51	0.00	13	65%	0.65	2	-0.03	8	62%	-0.08
Jared Dudley	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.07	0.11	0.01	7	69%	0.17	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
JJ Redick	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	-0.02	0.06	-0.05	11	56%	0.17	3	-0.08	5	80%	0.10
Blake Griffin	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.08,-0.08,0.09	0.09	-0.10	0.18	-0.01	10	48%	0.21	6	-0.12	13	69%	0.02
Darren Collison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.03	0.05	-0.00	6	58%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre Jordan	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.06	-0.01	0.02	6	65%	0.10	2	-0.07	14	36%	-0.19
Byron Mullens	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Hollins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	0.01	2	100%	0.03	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Bullock	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	4	37%	-0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.14,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.03	-0.15	0.01	9	38%	-0.17	1	-0.01	3	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	2.0	35.1	15.5	26.4	2.4	50.9	157.5
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +70.0%

SAC -2.2%

SAC -8.7%

SAC -12.4%

LAC +3.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	LAC	NBA	SAC	LAC	NBA
this game	15.4	13.7	15.1	103.0	104.0	105.2
season	15.4	14.3		104.5	111.0
opponent	15.4	14.7		104.3	107.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	15.5	15.0	16.2	14.7	15.4
LAC	13.9	12.7	13.1	15.3	13.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Hamady Ndiaye	8	9	0.27	-0.77	1.04	0.06	7	-8	15	14.7	15.4	-0.68	14.9	13.6	1.29
Travis Outlaw	39	41	0.19	-0.69	0.89	-0.16	12	-13	25	14.9	15.6	-0.70	12.6	14.5	-1.93
Jason Thompson	23	25	0.11	-0.61	0.72	-0.04	5	-6	11	14.0	15.8	-1.79	12.6	14.1	-1.49
Charles Hayes	11	10	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.00	-4	3	-7	15.1	15.4	-0.32	16.4	13.4	2.98
Greivis Vasquez	29	31	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.11	-8	7	-15	16.7	14.8	1.86	13.4	13.9	-0.43
Jimmer Fredette	10	9	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	0.08	-8	7	-15	15.7	15.3	0.36	15.0	13.6	1.41
Luc Mbah a Moute	54	55	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.17	-1	0	-1	15.7	15.0	0.64	14.7	12.5	2.23
John Salmons	74	72	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.65	15	-16	31	15.0	16.4	-1.32	13.9	13.2	0.68
Isaiah Thomas	70	68	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.58	7	-8	15	14.8	16.7	-1.86	13.9	13.4	0.43
Ben McLemore	33	34	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.13	-14	13	-27	15.5	15.3	0.17	13.0	14.1	-1.09
DeMarcus Cousins	80	80	-0.65	0.15	-0.80	-0.53	-4	3	-7	15.5	14.9	0.53	13.2	15.7	-2.43
Patrick Patterson	64	61	-0.70	0.20	-0.89	-0.34	-12	11	-23	16.2	13.9	2.21	14.0	13.2	0.82

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jared Dudley	58	58	0.79	-0.29	1.07	0.82	-1	2	-3	13.1	14.5	-1.40	15.3	15.5	-0.15
Chris Paul	80	78	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.47	3	-2	5	13.3	15.5	-2.17	15.7	14.2	1.44
JJ Redick	65	64	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.50	1	0	1	13.8	13.6	0.20	15.3	15.4	-0.08
Blake Griffin	85	83	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.38	4	-3	7	13.5	15.1	-1.58	15.4	15.2	0.22
Jamal Crawford	52	52	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.38	0	1	-1	14.3	13.1	1.16	15.5	15.3	0.18
Reggie Bullock	27	28	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.01	12	-11	23	13.7	13.7	-0.02	15.9	15.2	0.72
Ryan Hollins	17	17	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.01	3	-2	5	14.7	13.5	1.19	15.2	15.4	-0.24
Byron Mullens	11	13	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	0.07	-3	4	-7	16.3	13.4	2.87	15.9	15.3	0.63
Darren Collison	19	21	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	-0.00	-2	3	-5	15.5	13.3	2.17	14.2	15.7	-1.44
DeAndre Jordan	81	81	-0.62	1.12	-1.74	-0.27	-12	13	-25	13.4	15.1	-1.70	15.1	16.5	-1.38

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.6,0.69,0.71,0.75,0.73,0.76,0.8,0.8,0.83,0.88,0.83,0.8,0.72,0.73,0.8,0.8,0.75,0.78,0.75,0.71,0.74,0.78,0.7,0.61,0.62,0.59,0.65,0.69,0.77,0.79,0.74,0.78,0.66,0.58,0.53,0.41,0.46,0.46,0.33,0.15,0.32,0.73,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 79, CHH 83	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.7,0.69,0.71,0.77,0.76,0.78,0.78,0.75,0.69,0.74,0.71,0.76,0.8,0.83,0.9,0.88,0.88,0.84,0.85,0.81,0.76,0.71,0.68,0.62,0.66,0.78,0.82,0.66,0.7,0.66,0.58,0.72,0.69,0.46,0.33,0.52,0.22,0.43,0.84,1	91.1%
GSW 93, NOK 97	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.59,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.75,0.74,0.73,0.74,0.7,0.76,0.73,0.75,0.78,0.8,0.75,0.69,0.64,0.67,0.7,0.75,0.81,0.88,0.75,0.76,0.64,0.55,0.62,0.69,0.65,0.63,0.75,0.87,0.78,0.82,0.67,0.54,0.64,0.54,0.6,0.53,0.36,0.45,0.73,1	90.7%
BOS 86, MIA 93	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.5,0.57,0.63,0.59,0.64,0.71,0.69,0.74,0.75,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.8,0.84,0.83,0.82,0.79,0.71,0.69,0.7,0.75,0.8,0.74,0.8,0.7,0.7,0.67,0.71,0.71,0.72,0.66,0.74,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.71,0.68,0.7,0.71,0.54,0.55,0.37,0.57,0.84,1	89.7%