inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Atlanta Hawks 96 Excitement8.1 [243] MVPDeMarre Carroll (ATL): +23.5%
Detroit Pistons 89 Comeback1.7 [432] LVPBrandon Jennings (DET): -42.4%


Atlanta Hawks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
DeMarre Carroll0.230,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.23,0.23,0.230.040.200.01955%0.261-0.03475%-0.03
Kyle Korver0.190,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.190.110.07-0.01887%0.201-0.0100%0.00
Mike Scott0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.060.020.00664%0.0700.00250%-0.01
Gustavo Ayon0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
John Jenkins-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.000.00646%0.032-0.051100%0.01
Al Horford-0.030,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.020.011450%0.063-0.08650%-0.06
Cartier Martin-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.04-0.01-0.00520%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Jeff Teague-0.060,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.13,0.11,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.05,-0.06-0.04-0.04-0.021746%0.124-0.18580%0.00
Paul Millsap-0.070,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.070.01-0.080.001445%-0.0700.00367%-0.01
Shelvin Mack-0.150,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.05,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15-0.09-0.06-0.00633%-0.013-0.1400%0.00

Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Andre Drummond0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.110.110.080.02-0.01768%0.1100.00837%-0.05
Josh Harrellson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.080.020.003117%0.0900.0000%0.00
Kyle Singler0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.14-0.070.021373%0.182-0.14475%-0.00
Rodney Stuckey0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.14,0.06,0.06,0.030.03-0.000.03-0.001547%0.061-0.03683%0.04
Jonas Jerebko00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Greg Monroe0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.020.02-0.00950%0.052-0.06475%0.01
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.15,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.060.03-0.001432%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Peyton Siva0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.06-0.00-0.0000%0.003-0.0700%0.00
Josh Smith0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2-0.20-0.15-0.05-0.0070%-0.142-0.0600%0.00
Brandon Jennings0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.2,-0.31,-0.32,-0.32,-0.32,-0.42,-0.42-0.42-0.21-0.24-0.031625%-0.195-0.2400%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game21.22.427.417.726.32.531.5129.0
league avg24.72.329.616.026.92.333.4136.7
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
ATL +33.5%
ATL +12.6%
DET -1.8%
ATL +6.6%
DET -0.8%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsATLDETNBAATLDETNBA
this game14.714.915.197.092.7105.2
season14.815.0103.8104.7
opponent15.015.3108.4104.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
ATL15.116.712.115.114.7
DET16.315.315.113.214.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Al Horford68650.62-0.120.740.2114-72114.914.20.6714.116.5-2.31
Kyle Korver68660.440.060.390.1510-31314.814.30.4914.515.7-1.23
Jeff Teague70680.440.060.390.2761514.415.2-0.7814.815.1-0.31
DeMarre Carroll58570.430.070.360.2952314.714.60.0414.215.9-1.79
Paul Millsap70680.370.130.250.2352315.612.33.3714.615.7-1.12
John Jenkins39380.230.27-0.040.0270713.115.7-2.6115.614.41.19
Mike Scott29280.130.37-0.250.0725-312.315.6-3.3715.714.61.12
Shelvin Mack3736-0.010.51-0.530.07-310-1315.214.30.8915.414.60.85
Cartier Martin2523-0.030.53-0.570.08-411-1516.514.02.4416.014.51.52
Gustavo Ayon3131-0.120.62-0.740.08-714-2114.214.9-0.6716.514.12.31

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jonas Jerebko540.08-0.580.65-0.044-111519.814.65.1810.514.8-4.33
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope5560-0.01-0.490.49-0.124-111514.715.1-0.4115.413.51.89
Peyton Siva89-0.02-0.480.460.01-1-6515.214.90.4018.214.33.92
Greg Monroe5759-0.19-0.310.12-0.16-1-6514.615.4-0.8014.814.40.43
Andre Drummond7172-0.21-0.290.08-0.303-101314.017.3-3.2916.110.95.18
Josh Smith3941-0.25-0.250.00-0.01-81-916.713.63.0413.015.9-2.91
Josh Harrellson2423-0.31-0.19-0.12-0.08-81-915.614.70.9313.015.2-2.21
Brandon Jennings7678-0.45-0.05-0.40-0.21-81-914.715.5-0.8414.614.8-0.19
Kyle Singler8386-0.550.05-0.61-0.26-103-1314.617.0-2.4514.515.8-1.37
Rodney Stuckey6263-0.580.08-0.66-0.29-103-1315.114.40.6914.015.9-1.94


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.45,0.47,0.39,0.36,0.34,0.37,0.44,0.44,0.38,0.33,0.31,0.32,0.39,0.27,0.28,0.31,0.22,0.37,0.34,0.42,0.49,0.45,0.39,0.32,0.31,0.38,0.31,0.26,0.21,0.3,0.26,0.18,0.17,0.32,0.36,0.35,0.17,0.31,0.36,0.14,0.05,0
GameSimilarity Score
MIN 102, BOS 980.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.48,0.4,0.39,0.35,0.37,0.34,0.36,0.35,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.41,0.36,0.28,0.27,0.25,0.26,0.34,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.38,0.35,0.24,0.21,0.29,0.28,0.3,0.26,0.25,0.28,0.37,0.36,0.29,0.27,0.25,0.28,0.22,0.18,092.5%
DET 100, SAC 940.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.43,0.34,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.29,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.37,0.32,0.43,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.38,0.31,0.33,0.36,0.38,0.34,0.21,0.29,0.37,0.41,0.35,0.34,0.19,0.21,0.15,0.08,092.4%
PHX 81, IND 800.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.54,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.31,0.27,0.31,0.3,0.27,0.34,0.34,0.37,0.39,0.46,0.38,0.4,0.34,0.39,0.28,0.18,0.29,0.24,0.21,0.2,0.29,0.26,0.3,0.25,0.29,0.27,0.31,0.4,0.27,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.08,091.9%