NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	108		Excitement	5.1 [825]		MVP	Spencer Hawes (PHI): +26.0%
Philadelphia 76ers	98		Comeback	1.3 [887]		LVP	Michael Carter-Williams (PHI): -16.0%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
DeMar DeRozan	0.22	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.23,0.21,0.24,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.19	0.04	0.01	19	66%	0.22	1	0.00	12	83%	0.01
Terrence Ross	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.14	0.01	0.01	11	77%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Lowry	0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	-0.01	0.02	-0.05	12	50%	0.11	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Steve Novak	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.00	-0.01	7	57%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gay	0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.06	0.02	-0.05	16	49%	0.07	4	-0.06	5	80%	0.00
Dwight Buycks	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	37%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Julyan Stone	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Austin Daye	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jonas Valanciunas	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	4	40%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Tyler Hansbrough	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	5	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.02
Amir Johnson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.06	0.01	-0.03	8	39%	0.01	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Spencer Hawes	0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.24,0.26,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.26	0.24	0.04	0.02	13	87%	0.29	2	-0.04	6	83%	0.00
Hollis Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	5	60%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lavoy Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.04	5	50%	0.05	1	-0.03	4	25%	-0.01
Elliot Williams	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lorenzo Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.06	0.00	0.06	2	125%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.01	11	59%	0.05	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Daniel Orton	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	4	60%	0.03	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Brandon Davies	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	2	17%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Evan Turner	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	-0.02	-0.01	13	41%	-0.03	3	-0.06	6	83%	0.01
Tony Wroten	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.03	0.00	11	35%	-0.06	2	-0.05	4	75%	0.00
Michael Carter-Williams	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.18,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.15	-0.05	-0.04	10	37%	-0.04	6	-0.12	7	86%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	1.8	33.5	14.8	27.1	1.7	32.3	135.5
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +30.0%

PHI -2.3%

PHI -7.7%

TOR +26.7%

TOR +3.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	PHI	NBA	TOR	PHI	NBA
this game	16.3	12.5	15.1	108.0	98.0	105.2
season	15.9	13.7		107.2	98.4
opponent	15.0	15.1		108.4	104.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	16.4	15.0	14.3	20.1	16.3
PHI	13.6	11.6	13.4	11.2	12.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Terrence Ross	67	66	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.15	11	-1	12	17.0	15.1	1.86	11.7	14.0	-2.29
Kyle Lowry	79	80	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.01	15	-5	20	16.0	17.5	-1.50	12.2	13.6	-1.49
Rudy Gay	74	75	0.42	0.08	0.34	-0.08	17	-7	24	16.0	17.4	-1.46	12.6	12.2	0.40
Tyler Hansbrough	44	44	0.35	0.14	0.21	0.12	8	2	6	16.5	16.2	0.37	13.3	11.8	1.45
Steve Novak	32	33	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.03	7	3	4	17.4	15.8	1.61	12.0	12.7	-0.73
DeMar DeRozan	79	80	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.08	5	5	0	16.8	14.5	2.30	12.5	12.4	0.01
Amir Johnson	53	52	0.17	0.33	-0.15	0.17	0	10	-10	16.6	16.1	0.48	12.6	12.4	0.20
Jonas Valanciunas	47	48	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.06	2	8	-6	14.5	18.0	-3.45	12.7	12.2	0.56
Dwight Buycks	21	20	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.22	-5	15	-20	17.5	16.0	1.50	13.6	12.2	1.49
Julyan Stone	2	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	15	-20	11.0	16.4	-5.45	15.0	12.4	2.57
Austin Daye	2	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	15	-20	11.0	16.4	-5.45	15.0	12.4	2.57

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Elliot Williams	9	9	0.02	-0.52	0.53	-0.19	7	-17	24	8.3	12.9	-4.53	15.0	16.5	-1.47
Lorenzo Brown	2	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.15	5	-15	20	11.0	12.5	-1.49	11.0	16.4	-5.45
Daniel Orton	36	37	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.07	0	-10	10	12.7	12.3	0.41	16.8	16.1	0.70
Brandon Davies	21	20	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.16	0	-10	10	12.6	12.4	0.14	18.2	15.9	2.39
James Anderson	68	68	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	0.02	-9	-1	-8	12.5	12.4	0.08	16.5	16.0	0.50
Evan Turner	79	81	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.05	-7	-3	-4	12.2	13.4	-1.23	16.5	15.8	0.68
Hollis Thompson	28	28	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.16	-4	-6	2	13.4	12.1	1.30	14.3	17.1	-2.80
Spencer Hawes	78	76	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.03	-9	-1	-8	12.7	11.6	1.06	16.6	15.5	1.11
Lavoy Allen	51	52	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.15	-8	-2	-6	11.9	13.0	-1.06	15.5	17.2	-1.67
Michael Carter-Williams	73	73	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.03	-13	3	-16	12.3	13.0	-0.74	15.8	17.8	-1.97
Tony Wroten	55	54	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.07	-12	2	-14	13.3	11.5	1.77	17.5	15.0	2.56

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.42,0.4,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.36,0.39,0.41,0.39,0.36,0.23,0.25,0.3,0.29,0.23,0.2,0.15,0.24,0.21,0.23,0.16,0.18,0.2,0.09,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 106, NOH 91	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.45,0.48,0.54,0.53,0.6,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.38,0.34,0.3,0.36,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.39,0.41,0.41,0.34,0.33,0.3,0.25,0.23,0.16,0.15,0.13,0.21,0.23,0.26,0.21,0.2,0.17,0.12,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.5%
CHI 103, CHH 89	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.38,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.27,0.2,0.21,0.23,0.25,0.22,0.19,0.18,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.3%
PHI 107, POR 94	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.55,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.47,0.53,0.44,0.35,0.44,0.32,0.28,0.28,0.23,0.25,0.3,0.26,0.2,0.22,0.29,0.36,0.21,0.2,0.21,0.18,0.12,0.11,0.08,0.07,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.1%