inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Atlanta Hawks 107 Excitement9.6 [95] MVPTy Lawson (DEN): +31.5%
Denver Nuggets 109 Comeback6.5 [254] LVPAl Horford (ATL): -31.3%


Atlanta Hawks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Paul Millsap0.210,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.24,0.32,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.26,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.210.200.020.011571%0.2100.001164%-0.12
Shelvin Mack0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.000.09-0.00844%0.1000.0000%0.00
DeMarre Carroll0.090,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.040.05-0.00953%0.0900.001100%0.00
Mike Scott0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.000.00-0.00250%0.0100.0000%0.00
Jared Cunningham0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Kyle Korver-0.000,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0,00.06-0.060.001073%0.093-0.092100%0.01
Jeff Teague-0.040,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04-0.080.01-0.041741%0.033-0.0700%0.00
Pero Antic-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.050.01-0.07-0.01558%0.051-0.10250%-0.01
Cartier Martin-0.130,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.11-0.03-0.0176%-0.1300.00250%-0.02
Al Horford-0.310,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.09,0.01,-0.1,-0.31-0.04-0.260.012149%-0.114-0.201100%0.00

Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Ty Lawson0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.22,0.320.320.090.22-0.011666%0.423-0.10367%-0.05
Andre Miller0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.09,0.09,0.18,0.18,0.180.180.030.16-0.00570%0.211-0.0300%0.00
Nate Robinson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.10.100.050.050.011162%0.162-0.07250%-0.02
Timofey Mozgov0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.060.010.01477%0.101-0.04580%0.01
Evan Fournier0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.040.01-0.011060%0.081-0.0200%0.00
Randy Foye0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.020.020.03-0.010.00776%0.123-0.09367%-0.05
Jordan Hamilton0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.02-0.01-0.00737%-0.0300.00250%-0.01
JaVale McGee0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.04-0.08-0.001354%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Darrell Arthur0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.03-0.010.00333%-0.021-0.0300%0.00
JJ Hickson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.07-0.030.00430%-0.042-0.05250%-0.01
Kenneth Faried0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.15,-0.15-0.15-0.07-0.10-0.01633%-0.102-0.0500%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.92.525.515.624.22.338.4133.4
league avg24.72.329.616.026.92.333.4136.7
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DEN +62.3%
ATL -9.3%
ATL -4.3%
ATL -2.2%
DEN +3.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsATLDENNBAATLDENNBA
this game13.815.415.1108.1111.2105.2
season14.814.0103.8104.5
opponent14.915.3106.4104.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
ATL14.213.313.314.513.8
DEN13.516.217.414.915.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Cartier Martin49480.20-0.700.890.200-2213.614.1-0.4915.015.8-0.76
Shelvin Mack36350.11-0.610.720.110-2214.213.60.6817.014.62.40
Paul Millsap7071-0.03-0.470.43-0.4213-152813.714.1-0.3515.415.6-0.18
Mike Scott1412-0.15-0.350.210.09-86-1415.513.51.9614.115.6-1.53
Jared Cunningham88-0.17-0.330.170.10-97-1616.113.62.5112.515.7-3.19
Pero Antic3738-0.37-0.13-0.24-0.10-97-1615.612.82.8415.815.20.55
Al Horford7775-0.45-0.05-0.40-0.450-2212.817.5-4.7915.515.10.39
Kyle Korver7372-0.45-0.05-0.41-0.543-5812.916.5-3.6415.714.61.16
DeMarre Carroll6160-0.580.08-0.65-0.580-2214.213.11.1115.215.8-0.63
Jeff Teague7071-0.610.11-0.72-0.610-2214.113.11.0615.216.1-0.99

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
JaVale McGee49500.84-0.341.190.4912-102215.415.4-0.0414.013.70.33
Andre Miller43420.82-0.321.140.3217-153214.815.9-1.1014.513.31.18
Kenneth Faried55560.77-0.271.050.683-1415.615.30.3113.414.4-0.98
Randy Foye51490.60-0.100.700.72-46-1016.214.61.5212.914.7-1.86
Ty Lawson79810.300.200.090.41-46-1015.017.2-2.1514.311.62.70
Evan Fournier48490.160.34-0.17-0.1310-81815.415.5-0.1114.513.21.33
Jordan Hamilton3234-0.060.56-0.610.09-57-1215.515.40.1113.414.0-0.66
Timofey Mozgov3535-0.080.58-0.66-0.05-13-415.715.30.4014.613.41.25
Nate Robinson4244-0.110.61-0.720.06-68-1415.615.30.3312.814.7-1.88
Darrell Arthur1011-0.300.80-1.11-0.13-68-1417.515.22.3112.314.0-1.74
JJ Hickson4644-0.450.95-1.39-0.27-68-1415.015.8-0.8914.013.60.41


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.43,0.35,0.34,0.37,0.34,0.38,0.33,0.33,0.38,0.42,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.58,0.63,0.7,0.59,0.51,0.56,0.49,0.44,0.54,0.58,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.48,0.41,0.56,0.6,0.5,0.43,0.52,0.38,0.27,0.17,0.15,0.22,0.38,0.46,0.45,0.83,1
GameSimilarity Score
MIA 96, MIL 1040.5,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.46,0.4,0.41,0.36,0.37,0.33,0.36,0.4,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.53,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.64,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.45,0.4,0.54,0.62,0.47,0.37,0.32,0.21,0.19,0.27,0.31,0.55,0.67,0.85,191.2%
NJN 84, CLE 890.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.39,0.38,0.43,0.42,0.38,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.55,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.39,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.47,0.37,0.48,0.56,0.46,0.52,0.43,0.47,0.23,0.22,0.35,0.27,0.25,0.55,0.78,0.91,191.0%
LAL 108, MEM 1140.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.33,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.59,0.61,0.59,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.42,0.45,0.55,0.61,0.61,0.71,0.74,0.63,0.56,0.52,0.44,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.26,0.24,0.33,0.38,0.54,0.77,0.95,190.0%