NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	104		Excitement	7.2 [375]		MVP	CJ Miles (CLE): +39.9%
Milwaukee Bucks	109		Comeback	3.2 [367]		LVP	Kyrie Irving (CLE): -28.6%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
CJ Miles	0.40	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.4,0.4	0.09	0.28	-0.03	11	64%	0.40	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alonzo Gee	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.01	0.05	-0.02	5	58%	0.09	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Anderson Varejao	0.08	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.07	0.01	0.01	9	67%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dion Waiters	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.07	0.00	0.02	13	57%	0.07	1	-0.02	11	55%	-0.06
Earl Clark	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.01	2	75%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Zeller	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Bennett	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	5	30%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tristan Thompson	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.07	0.01	-0.02	5	36%	0.01	2	-0.05	4	75%	0.01
Jarrett Jack	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	0.01	8	37%	-0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Bynum	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	7	29%	-0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kyrie Irving	-0.29	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.1,-0.29	0.14	-0.33	0.10	20	64%	-0.04	2	-0.25	5	100%	0.02

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Henson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.11	0.03	0.01	9	70%	0.12	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Caron Butler	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,0.12	0.12	-0.07	0.18	-0.00	12	42%	0.18	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Gary Neal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.09,0.06,0.14,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.22,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.24,0.24,0.22,0.1	0.10	0.13	0.01	0.04	15	70%	0.12	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Zaza Pachulia	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.03	0.01	4	78%	0.15	3	-0.08	10	100%	0.06
Nate Wolters	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.01	-0.01	5	60%	0.07	0	0.00	5	100%	0.02
O.J. Mayo	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.12,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.09,0.03	0.03	0.10	-0.07	-0.01	19	67%	0.13	4	-0.10	4	100%	0.05
Ekpe Udoh	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	-0.00	3	67%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Khris Middleton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	5	58%	0.05	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.3	3.4	26.2	15.4	26.6	2.8	38.1	133.8
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +17.2%

MIL +19.4%

MIL +6.7%

MIL +5.9%

MIL +0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	MIL	NBA	CLE	MIL	NBA
this game	15.7	16.3	15.1	115.6	121.1	105.2
season	15.2	15.7		102.8	101.4
opponent	15.1	15.3		109.7	106.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	15.4	16.5	16.8	14.1	15.7
MIL	15.9	17.8	14.5	17.2	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tristan Thompson	65	64	0.16	-0.66	0.82	-0.08	8	-13	21	15.9	15.2	0.64	16.8	15.2	1.61
Dion Waiters	57	57	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.28	10	-15	25	15.7	15.6	0.10	16.4	16.2	0.19
Kyrie Irving	66	65	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.34	11	-16	27	15.7	15.6	0.10	16.9	14.7	2.24
Earl Clark	25	25	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	0.01	-1	-4	3	16.1	15.5	0.58	15.6	16.6	-0.91
Tyler Zeller	3	2	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	0.01	-2	-3	1	19.7	15.6	4.10	21.0	16.2	4.81
Anderson Varejao	63	61	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.28	2	-7	9	15.9	15.2	0.74	16.0	17.0	-0.98
Anthony Bennett	21	23	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.12	-5	0	-5	14.9	16.0	-1.10	15.9	16.4	-0.58
Andrew Bynum	26	28	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.14	-9	4	-13	15.2	15.9	-0.66	16.4	16.2	0.19
CJ Miles	47	47	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	-0.37	-5	0	-5	14.7	16.8	-2.18	16.0	16.6	-0.63
Jarrett Jack	34	34	-0.58	0.08	-0.67	-0.03	-19	14	-33	17.1	14.8	2.28	16.0	16.5	-0.43
Alonzo Gee	43	44	-0.60	0.10	-0.69	-0.16	-15	10	-25	15.2	16.1	-0.94	15.9	16.7	-0.81

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nate Wolters	58	61	0.77	-0.27	1.04	0.57	7	-2	9	17.0	15.0	1.97	16.3	14.5	1.75
Khris Middleton	38	37	0.59	-0.09	0.67	0.09	17	-12	29	15.6	16.8	-1.29	16.5	15.2	1.34
John Henson	72	72	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.24	3	2	1	16.6	14.9	1.69	16.0	14.7	1.29
Gary Neal	58	58	0.29	0.21	0.09	-0.06	12	-7	19	16.3	16.2	0.08	15.6	15.8	-0.22
Ekpe Udoh	26	25	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.04	6	-1	7	14.7	17.0	-2.31	15.3	15.8	-0.53
O.J. Mayo	65	64	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.35	-5	10	-15	15.5	18.3	-2.80	15.0	17.5	-2.48
Zaza Pachulia	77	76	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.27	-5	10	-15	16.8	13.3	3.50	15.8	15.4	0.41
Caron Butler	56	57	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.26	-10	15	-25	16.6	15.8	0.77	15.2	16.5	-1.29

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.63,0.67,0.62,0.65,0.6,0.58,0.65,0.62,0.67,0.59,0.64,0.61,0.54,0.51,0.59,0.51,0.54,0.42,0.48,0.55,0.61,0.58,0.48,0.55,0.59,0.74,0.75,0.66,0.78,0.9,0.86,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.98,1,0.96,0.42,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 109, MIA 115	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.65,0.67,0.68,0.64,0.65,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.63,0.63,0.79,0.85,0.85,0.85,0.87,0.84,0.92,0.81,0.91,0.86,0.92,0.94,0.73,1	90.8%
DET 86, IND 88	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.6,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.7,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.67,0.58,0.63,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.46,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.59,0.52,0.45,0.52,0.59,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.7,0.89,0.93,0.96,0.93,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.83,1	90.8%
CHA 94, ATL 97	0.5,0.49,0.43,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.59,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.7,0.73,0.67,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.48,0.58,0.61,0.54,0.5,0.45,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.6,0.63,0.67,0.64,0.78,0.87,0.91,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.95,0.86,0.89,0.9,0.85,1	90.7%