NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	77		Excitement	2.7 [1237]		MVP	Ryan Hollins (LAC): +9.2%
Los Angeles Clippers	93		Comeback	1.0 [1310]		LVP	Will Barton (POR): -11.3%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Meyers Leonard	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.02	0.03	-0.04	7	53%	0.06	2	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
Sasha Pavlovic	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.02	0.00	-0.04	7	33%	0.03	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Eric Maynor	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luke Babbitt	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joel Freeland	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.04	-0.00	0.05	10	54%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.02
Victor Claver	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	0.02	12	46%	-0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
JJ Hickson	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	8	39%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Damian Lillard	-0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.01	-0.01	12	44%	-0.04	4	-0.05	3	67%	0.00
Will Barton	-0.11	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.06	-0.01	0.04	14	57%	-0.02	6	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ryan Hollins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.08	0.01	-0.00	5	82%	0.09	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Blake Griffin	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.00	-0.03	9	70%	0.10	3	-0.02	5	80%	0.00
Caron Butler	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.18	0.00	0.12	14	79%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre Jordan	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.08	0.00	0.03	5	91%	0.06	1	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00
Chris Paul	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	-0.01	7	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Willie Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	2	50%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronny Turiaf	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Grant Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lamar Odom	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.10	0.00	-0.09	6	25%	0.02	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	0.01	8	50%	-0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Barnes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	4	50%	0.00	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Eric Bledsoe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.11	-0.00	-0.07	10	20%	-0.04	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chauncey Billups	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	5	29%	-0.03	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.4	2.8	30.2	18.7	24.4	3.5	26.6	132.4
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +24.2%

LAC +5.4%

LAC +16.6%

LAC +5.0%

POR -1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	LAC	NBA	POR	LAC	NBA
this game	16.8	15.8	15.4	87.5	104.5	104.1
season	15.8	15.6		104.3	109.0
opponent	15.7	15.3		102.8	107.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	15.5	18.4	16.5	17.1	16.8
LAC	13.3	17.6	14.8	18.0	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luke Babbitt	10	10	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.02	-3	-13	10	17.8	16.6	1.16	18.8	15.4	3.41
Eric Maynor	22	20	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.02	-5	-11	6	17.2	16.6	0.55	16.5	15.6	0.93
Sasha Pavlovic	38	39	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.19	0	-16	16	16.2	17.2	-0.99	16.3	15.3	0.99
Joel Freeland	51	52	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.18	-3	-13	10	16.2	17.6	-1.42	16.5	14.8	1.65
Meyers Leonard	64	63	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	0.08	-12	-4	-8	17.1	16.0	1.12	14.9	18.0	-3.14
Victor Claver	63	65	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.13	-6	-10	4	16.9	16.5	0.35	15.9	15.3	0.61
JJ Hickson	45	46	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	0.24	-20	4	-24	16.9	16.7	0.24	15.1	16.5	-1.47
Will Barton	74	76	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	0.01	-15	-1	-14	16.7	16.9	-0.19	15.4	18.2	-2.79
Damian Lillard	73	74	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	0.03	-16	0	-16	16.8	16.5	0.29	15.9	15.2	0.69

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jamal Crawford	43	43	0.29	0.21	0.09	-0.14	15	1	14	15.7	15.8	-0.11	17.2	16.3	0.90
Blake Griffin	52	53	0.28	0.22	0.06	-0.19	16	0	16	15.0	16.9	-1.86	16.1	17.8	-1.71
Caron Butler	48	48	0.25	0.25	0.01	-0.18	15	1	14	15.5	16.1	-0.69	16.2	17.4	-1.15
Chris Paul	48	48	0.25	0.25	0.01	-0.18	15	1	14	15.5	16.1	-0.69	16.2	17.4	-1.15
DeAndre Jordan	48	48	0.25	0.25	0.01	-0.18	15	1	14	15.5	16.1	-0.69	16.2	17.4	-1.15
Eric Bledsoe	41	40	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.22	1	15	-14	16.1	15.5	0.69	17.4	16.2	1.15
Matt Barnes	29	29	0.24	0.26	-0.01	-0.02	9	7	2	15.7	15.8	-0.18	18.1	16.1	1.98
Ryan Hollins	18	19	0.24	0.26	-0.02	-0.05	10	6	4	14.6	16.1	-1.46	17.4	16.6	0.76
Lamar Odom	37	35	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.22	0	16	-16	16.9	15.0	1.86	17.8	16.1	1.71
Chauncey Billups	34	34	0.20	0.29	-0.09	-0.06	9	7	2	15.3	16.1	-0.78	16.6	16.9	-0.30
Ronny Turiaf	23	21	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.27	-9	25	-34	17.3	15.2	2.12	17.4	16.6	0.86
Willie Green	12	11	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.23	-8	24	-32	17.3	15.5	1.80	15.5	16.9	-1.40
Grant Hill	12	11	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.23	-8	24	-32	17.3	15.5	1.80	15.5	16.9	-1.40

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.53,0.54,0.61,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.55,0.6,0.69,0.71,0.8,0.83,0.82,0.86,0.9,0.89,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 72, LAC 104	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.57,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.69,0.73,0.74,0.75,0.78,0.84,0.87,0.89,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.3%
BOS 91, TOR 111	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.54,0.5,0.56,0.58,0.63,0.65,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.7,0.79,0.86,0.85,0.8,0.85,0.91,0.96,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.3%
WAS 92, LAL 99	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.52,0.57,0.59,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.64,0.6,0.62,0.67,0.69,0.72,0.83,0.82,0.86,0.89,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.9%