NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Hornets	96		Excitement	7.0 [393]		MVP	Kobe Bryant (LAL): +25.5%
Los Angeles Lakers	104		Comeback	2.2 [883]		LVP	Greivis Vasquez (NOH): -14.9%

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Davis	0.12	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.12,0.12	0.07	0.06	0.01	14	56%	0.12	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Robin Lopez	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.02	0.00	7	62%	0.08	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Lou Amundson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.03	-0.00	3	33%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Gordon	0.01	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.02	13	59%	0.15	5	-0.15	11	91%	0.07
Xavier Henry	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	4	75%	0.08	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Al-Farouq Aminu	-0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.02	0.01	4	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darius Miller	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brian Roberts	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	0.02	10	45%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Anderson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	0.00	-0.03	0.03	14	48%	-0.02	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Greivis Vasquez	-0.15	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15	-0.09	-0.09	-0.02	14	39%	-0.07	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.07,0.09,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.19,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.25	0.07	0.21	0.02	18	64%	0.40	5	-0.14	11	91%	0.02
Antawn Jamison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.04	0.12	-0.00	11	57%	0.24	1	-0.07	1	100%	0.01
Pau Gasol	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.11,0.09,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.00	0.01	15	63%	0.11	3	-0.05	5	80%	-0.00
Jodie Meeks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	-0.01	9	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Metta World Peace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Steve Blake	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	0.01	7	50%	-0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Dwight Howard	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.03	-0.04	0.05	13	66%	0.07	4	-0.13	3	33%	-0.05
Earl Clark	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	3	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.6	2.5	24.3	15.4	27.6	0.8	41.4	139.7
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +53.0%

NOH -7.5%

LAL +7.0%

LAL +0.7%

NOH -3.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOH	LAL	NBA	NOH	LAL	NBA
this game	15.7	14.5	15.4	102.1	107.2	104.1
season	16.3	14.9		103.9	106.0
opponent	15.3	15.6		105.7	108.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOH	18.3	15.2	16.6	13.0	15.7
LAL	13.8	15.5	15.4	13.6	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Xavier Henry	56	56	0.23	-0.73	0.97	0.03	7	-15	22	15.9	15.3	0.67	14.6	14.5	0.09
Robin Lopez	56	55	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.01	1	-9	10	16.1	15.0	1.15	16.3	12.2	4.02
Darius Miller	11	11	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	0.06	-6	-2	-4	21.5	14.9	6.56	13.5	14.7	-1.20
Eric Gordon	65	68	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.25	3	-11	14	13.8	19.9	-6.08	15.8	11.6	4.23
Al-Farouq Aminu	26	28	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	0.04	-8	0	-8	16.7	15.2	1.48	15.4	14.2	1.18
Anthony Davis	75	79	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.23	0	-8	8	14.3	20.9	-6.56	14.5	14.5	0.02
Lou Amundson	17	18	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.09	-6	-2	-4	20.2	14.6	5.59	9.1	15.7	-6.64
Brian Roberts	43	44	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.24	-11	3	-14	16.6	14.9	1.66	12.0	16.6	-4.69
Ryan Anderson	50	52	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.19	-13	5	-18	16.1	15.2	0.86	13.3	15.9	-2.64
Greivis Vasquez	71	74	-0.66	0.16	-0.81	-0.45	-7	-1	-6	15.0	17.7	-2.75	15.6	11.1	4.44

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Pau Gasol	82	77	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.41	8	0	8	13.9	17.8	-3.89	15.6	15.7	-0.06
Earl Clark	51	50	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.37	5	3	2	14.0	15.0	-1.00	14.4	17.1	-2.65
Kobe Bryant	84	80	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.26	7	1	6	14.7	13.6	1.04	15.4	16.9	-1.49
Antawn Jamison	47	45	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.19	6	2	4	15.1	14.0	1.11	16.8	14.6	2.23
Metta World Peace	28	27	0.27	0.23	0.04	-0.08	12	-4	16	15.3	14.2	1.13	18.8	14.4	4.37
Steve Blake	83	81	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.27	-3	11	-14	14.5	14.4	0.10	14.6	22.2	-7.63
Jodie Meeks	45	44	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.02	3	5	-2	14.3	14.7	-0.46	17.5	14.0	3.46
Dwight Howard	65	66	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.07	2	6	-4	14.9	13.8	1.05	14.9	17.5	-2.62

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.7,0.66,0.59,0.54,0.51,0.41,0.37,0.31,0.4,0.36,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.45,0.55,0.44,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.7,0.74,0.67,0.53,0.47,0.54,0.67,0.71,0.89,0.93,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 96, MIL 101	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.55,0.56,0.53,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.56,0.58,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.45,0.36,0.39,0.48,0.52,0.45,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.71,0.67,0.53,0.47,0.54,0.62,0.8,0.71,0.85,0.95,1	94.1%
WAS 97, PHI 109	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.62,0.67,0.67,0.64,0.59,0.56,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.35,0.34,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.46,0.41,0.44,0.47,0.48,0.54,0.62,0.66,0.58,0.47,0.74,0.6,0.73,0.93,0.9,1,1,1	93.0%
NYK 78, MIL 82	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.57,0.57,0.65,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.58,0.52,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.46,0.35,0.39,0.49,0.48,0.58,0.65,0.55,0.62,0.59,0.6,0.52,0.5,0.48,0.57,0.72,0.58,0.64,0.59,0.67,0.69,0.78,0.9,0.9,1	91.9%