inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Portland Trail Blazers 83 Excitement5.8 [636] MVPSerge Ibaka (OKC): +15.2%
Oklahoma City Thunder 103 Comeback1.9 [1063] LVPLaMarcus Aldridge (POR): -14.8%


Portland Trail Blazers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Meyers Leonard0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.040.04-0.00490%0.122-0.04250%-0.01
Damian Lillard0.060,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.040.01-0.011656%0.112-0.05250%-0.01
Wesley Matthews0.040,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04-0.050.07-0.011136%0.061-0.0300%0.00
Eric Maynor0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03-0.040.03-0.041050%0.073-0.0500%0.00
Will Barton0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.000.00-0.021100%0.0210.0000%0.00
Luke Babbitt0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Joel Freeland0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Nolan Smith0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.040.00-0.0410%0.0010.0000%0.00
Nicolas Batum-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.01-0.02-0.011150%0.031-0.03475%0.02
JJ Hickson-0.080,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.02-0.030.031152%-0.013-0.0710%-0.01
LaMarcus Aldridge-0.150,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15-0.14-0.02-0.011431%-0.063-0.094100%0.02

Oklahoma City Thunder
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Serge Ibaka0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.08,0.11,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.150.150.080.070.01980%0.192-0.042100%0.02
Kevin Durant0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.120.080.060.021767%0.203-0.082100%0.01
Nick Collison0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.060.010.00683%0.101-0.0300%0.00
Kevin Martin0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.010.02-0.011050%0.071-0.03250%-0.01
Thabo Sefolosha0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.020.010.00267%0.0400.002100%0.01
Reggie Jackson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.03-0.000.01-0.02643%0.0300.002100%0.00
Russell Westbrook0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.010.01-0.001851%0.092-0.06560%-0.02
Hasheem Thabeet0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.010.01-0.00445%0.0200.00333%-0.03
DeAndre Liggins0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Ronnie Brewer00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Perry Jones0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Derek Fisher0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.0020%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Kendrick Perkins0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.04-0.010.00633%-0.021-0.0300%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.61.827.815.824.22.826.3124.1
league avg24.82.329.514.026.82.333.1134.3
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
OKC +28.8%
OKC +4.2%
OKC +10.5%
OKC +8.7%
POR -2.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsPOROKCNBAPOROKCNBA
this game16.414.915.490.2112.0104.1
season15.814.8104.3109.3
opponent15.515.3100.6107.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
POR18.314.616.716.116.4
OKC14.515.413.316.614.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Luke Babbitt330.00-0.500.500.06-2-18169.716.6-6.9521.014.76.29
Joel Freeland330.00-0.500.500.06-2-18169.716.6-6.9521.014.76.29
Nolan Smith330.00-0.500.500.06-2-18169.716.6-6.9521.014.76.29
Will Barton1111-0.05-0.450.410.10-5-151016.616.40.2818.214.53.71
JJ Hickson5153-0.08-0.420.34-0.142-222416.416.4-0.0415.314.40.96
Damian Lillard7474-0.25-0.25-0.000.07-11-9-216.416.40.0014.815.2-0.38
Meyers Leonard4546-0.34-0.16-0.18-0.10-8-12416.216.6-0.4214.815.0-0.17
Eric Maynor4949-0.37-0.13-0.24-0.02-12-8-416.316.4-0.0914.315.7-1.39
Nicolas Batum7172-0.43-0.07-0.360.04-16-4-1216.715.41.3114.616.0-1.39
Wesley Matthews7270-0.47-0.03-0.430.18-222-2416.615.51.1414.715.7-1.07
LaMarcus Aldridge7876-0.520.02-0.540.13-222-2416.814.12.6514.516.9-2.37

Oklahoma City Thunder
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kevin Martin52520.53-0.030.560.001821614.615.3-0.6816.716.00.74
Serge Ibaka49500.430.070.35-0.071731415.314.50.7517.215.41.86
Russell Westbrook65660.430.070.35-0.071731414.316.4-2.1216.516.00.49
Nick Collison55520.390.110.270.21614-814.116.1-2.0415.717.3-1.65
Derek Fisher31290.360.140.210.15713-614.914.90.0316.416.40.08
Reggie Jackson29290.230.27-0.03-0.12128415.214.80.3816.016.6-0.57
Kevin Durant70710.160.34-0.18-0.19128415.214.01.2616.814.91.93
Hasheem Thabeet17180.010.49-0.48-0.08317-1416.914.52.4915.216.7-1.52
Kendrick Perkins46470.000.50-0.49-0.05218-1614.215.6-1.3917.015.81.16
DeAndre Liggins330.000.50-0.50-0.06218-1621.014.76.299.716.6-6.95
Ronnie Brewer330.000.50-0.50-0.06218-1621.014.76.299.716.6-6.95
Perry Jones330.000.50-0.50-0.06218-1621.014.76.299.716.6-6.95
Thabo Sefolosha3737-0.030.53-0.56-0.03020-2014.815.0-0.1316.516.30.16


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.53,0.57,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.67,0.65,0.66,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.47,0.45,0.55,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.68,0.78,0.85,0.79,0.87,0.91,0.9,0.81,0.93,0.98,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
LAC 98, LAL 1090.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.46,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.69,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.47,0.46,0.5,0.4,0.48,0.49,0.39,0.39,0.45,0.48,0.55,0.63,0.6,0.72,0.74,0.78,0.75,0.79,0.81,0.83,0.88,0.87,0.9,0.99,1,1,194.5%
GSW 86, BOS 940.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.63,0.65,0.68,0.71,0.72,0.7,0.66,0.68,0.67,0.67,0.63,0.66,0.59,0.6,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.42,0.48,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.55,0.52,0.67,0.79,0.78,0.78,0.85,0.91,0.91,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,194.2%
PHI 83, MIA 930.5,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.62,0.6,0.63,0.62,0.67,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.63,0.56,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.52,0.38,0.45,0.51,0.63,0.67,0.72,0.7,0.74,0.72,0.8,0.85,0.9,0.91,0.95,0.96,0.99,1,1,194.1%