inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Minnesota Timberwolves 98 Excitement7.5 [333] MVPTyreke Evans (SAC): +25.9%
Sacramento Kings 101 Comeback3.9 [550] LVPAlexey Shved (MIN): -13.7%


Minnesota Timberwolves
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Greg Stiemsma0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.080.030.004100%0.1100.0000%0.00
Chase Budinger0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.04-0.010.00756%0.0300.002100%0.02
Nikola Pekovic-0.020,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.06-0.050.031256%0.041-0.06875%-0.03
Jose Juan Barea-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.001146%0.042-0.06250%-0.03
Derrick Williams-0.070,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.04-0.03-0.001637%-0.0700.0000%0.00
Andrei Kirilenko-0.090,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.06-0.030.00933%-0.071-0.0200%0.00
Luke Ridnour-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.07-0.020.00725%-0.071-0.022100%0.01
Dante Cunningham-0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.12-0.02-0.100.001155%0.033-0.1500%0.00
Ricky Rubio-0.120,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.08,-0.04,0.02,-0.12-0.04-0.09-0.001340%-0.091-0.034100%0.05
Alexey Shved-0.140,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.08-0.06-0.00837%-0.043-0.1000%0.00

Sacramento Kings
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tyreke Evans0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.1,0.2,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.260.260.110.170.021178%0.383-0.12580%0.01
Isaiah Thomas0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.2,0.2,0.24,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.22,0.220.220.150.06-0.011569%0.251-0.035100%0.05
Toney Douglas0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.020.07-0.00383%0.121-0.0200%0.00
Patrick Patterson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.020.010.001055%0.081-0.0500%0.00
John Salmons0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.000.001152%0.051-0.033100%0.02
Marcus Thornton0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jimmer Fredette0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.020.00-0.00367%0.022-0.0400%0.00
Charles Hayes0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.000.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Cole Aldrich0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.04-0.01-0.01250%0.002-0.0400%0.00
Jason Thompson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.03-0.010.00540%-0.011-0.0300%0.00
DeMarcus Cousins0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.04-0.040.011252%0.064-0.15560%-0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game21.42.528.215.824.71.832.1126.5
league avg24.82.329.514.026.82.333.1134.3
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAC +99.6%
SAC +2.5%
MIN -42.4%
MIN -10.0%
SAC +0.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMINSACNBAMINSACNBA
this game16.413.615.4102.1105.2104.1
season15.615.0101.3104.7
opponent15.214.9109.4103.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIN17.114.318.116.816.4
SAC14.210.614.016.713.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Greg Stiemsma2423-0.10-0.400.30-0.07-1-2117.016.20.8312.813.8-1.00
Alexey Shved3133-0.11-0.390.28-0.234-71117.515.91.5813.113.8-0.75
Dante Cunningham4950-0.17-0.330.16-0.4610-132315.417.4-1.9814.412.71.70
Chase Budinger3333-0.17-0.330.15-0.11-2-1-117.915.62.3213.613.60.08
Jose Juan Barea4242-0.21-0.290.08-0.241-4516.116.7-0.6113.213.9-0.70
Luke Ridnour6160-0.24-0.260.02-0.15-30-316.117.0-0.9613.913.00.93
Derrick Williams5151-0.24-0.260.02-0.01-85-1317.215.51.7512.714.6-1.83
Andrei Kirilenko5554-0.36-0.14-0.22-0.27-30-316.116.9-0.8113.613.6-0.02
Ricky Rubio6666-0.41-0.09-0.32-0.24-63-916.017.4-1.3813.713.20.51
Nikola Pekovic6868-0.49-0.01-0.48-0.29-74-1116.316.7-0.4713.912.91.03

Sacramento Kings
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Patrick Patterson65630.68-0.180.860.448-51313.314.1-0.7615.518.2-2.69
Tyreke Evans75760.60-0.100.700.397-41113.812.90.9316.815.01.73
John Salmons85860.56-0.060.610.444-1513.713.00.6616.713.73.03
Cole Aldrich21220.56-0.060.610.2012-92111.314.2-2.8816.616.40.23
Toney Douglas23230.340.160.180.195-2713.113.7-0.6016.816.30.48
Isaiah Thomas71710.240.26-0.020.1530313.613.6-0.0216.416.5-0.14
DeMarcus Cousins53540.020.48-0.460.17-58-1314.612.32.2816.915.90.99
Marcus Thornton2120-0.100.60-0.700.02-47-1112.913.8-0.9315.016.8-1.73
Jason Thompson4041-0.120.62-0.74-0.03-36-913.713.50.2018.015.32.72
Jimmer Fredette1312-0.140.64-0.770.04-69-1513.913.50.3913.716.8-3.14
Charles Hayes1312-0.140.64-0.770.04-69-1513.913.50.3913.716.8-3.14


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.46,0.41,0.41,0.43,0.45,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.38,0.36,0.35,0.31,0.34,0.29,0.34,0.28,0.23,0.22,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.33,0.24,0.3,0.42,0.45,0.44,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.58,0.52,0.57,0.52,0.53,0.64,0.88,0.95,0.93,0.92,0.9,0.72,1
GameSimilarity Score
SAC 85, NJN 960.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.46,0.41,0.44,0.45,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.38,0.29,0.25,0.28,0.24,0.27,0.34,0.34,0.3,0.3,0.46,0.43,0.37,0.39,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.5,0.52,0.57,0.53,0.58,0.78,0.81,0.93,0.99,1,1,1,191.8%
LAC 86, ORL 910.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.37,0.38,0.42,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.26,0.34,0.31,0.25,0.23,0.21,0.3,0.34,0.37,0.36,0.33,0.24,0.29,0.35,0.38,0.44,0.48,0.52,0.66,0.58,0.67,0.62,0.68,0.69,0.8,0.83,0.93,0.93,0.99,0.99,191.5%
NOP 98, ATL 1060.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.28,0.21,0.24,0.28,0.39,0.33,0.25,0.35,0.34,0.28,0.33,0.42,0.52,0.48,0.38,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.5,0.62,0.53,0.57,0.77,0.64,0.81,0.9,0.9,0.99,1,1,191.5%