NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	98		Excitement	9.3 [102]		MVP	Kobe Bryant (LAL): +33.8%
Los Angeles Lakers	99		Comeback	2.0 [687]		LVP	Josh Smith (ATL): -54.7%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Devin Harris	0.27	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.23,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27	0.14	0.14	-0.00	9	76%	0.27	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Al Horford	0.11	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.08,0,0,0,-0.1,0.11	0.00	0.13	0.02	20	60%	0.30	5	-0.19	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Korver	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.06	0.04	-0.00	13	57%	0.11	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Anthony Tolliver	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	75%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zaza Pachulia	0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Johan Petro	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	5	60%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Teague	0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.06,-0.18,0	-0.12	0.10	-0.02	13	29%	0.03	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.05
Dahntay Jones	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ivan Johnson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeShawn Stevenson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.01	-0.04	0.01	3	50%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Josh Smith	-0.55	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.09,-0.04,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.55	-0.10	-0.45	0.00	16	50%	-0.01	6	-0.53	6	0%	-0.09

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kobe Bryant	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.06,0.06,0.09,-0.13,0.34	0.34	0.02	0.31	-0.02	27	55%	0.59	5	-0.26	8	75%	0.09
Metta World Peace	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.25	0.07	0.18	0.01	8	72%	0.27	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Steve Blake	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.00	4	100%	0.14	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Earl Clark	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	-0.01	0.02	6	58%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jodie Meeks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	2	17%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Antawn Jamison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.02	-0.04	0.01	7	62%	0.01	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Steve Nash	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.04	-0.07	-0.02	12	58%	0.05	5	-0.14	2	100%	0.01
Dwight Howard	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.09	-0.08	-0.03	12	42%	-0.04	5	-0.11	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.6	1.8	28.6	16.4	27.0	0.8	34.4	133.6
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +2.2%

LAL +24.5%

LAL +0.4%

LAL +24.7%

ATL -1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	LAL	NBA	ATL	LAL	NBA
this game	14.8	14.5	15.4	98.0	102.1	104.1
season	15.1	14.9		102.6	106.0
opponent	15.3	15.5		105.7	102.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	14.8	13.9	16.1	14.5	14.8
LAL	13.4	14.4	15.9	14.3	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Johan Petro	50	50	0.18	-0.68	0.85	-0.17	12	-13	25	14.3	15.3	-1.04	14.9	14.0	0.96
Anthony Tolliver	32	31	0.07	-0.57	0.64	-0.05	4	-5	9	13.7	15.3	-1.65	13.0	15.1	-2.09
Devin Harris	49	50	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.66	24	-25	49	13.9	15.7	-1.81	14.7	14.2	0.47
Ivan Johnson	5	5	0.02	-0.52	0.53	-0.01	1	-2	3	14.6	14.8	-0.19	11.4	14.6	-3.22
Kyle Korver	70	71	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.61	19	-20	39	14.2	16.1	-1.84	14.9	13.1	1.83
Dahntay Jones	1	0	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.02	-3	2	-5	0.0	14.9	-14.93	0.0	14.5	-14.45
Zaza Pachulia	42	39	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	0.16	-11	10	-21	16.1	13.8	2.31	14.6	14.4	0.23
DeShawn Stevenson	44	40	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.19	-14	13	-27	15.5	14.2	1.29	12.8	15.6	-2.86
Al Horford	81	79	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.44	-3	2	-5	14.9	14.3	0.64	15.1	11.8	3.29
Josh Smith	73	70	-0.77	0.27	-1.04	-0.51	-9	8	-17	15.2	13.6	1.68	14.9	13.4	1.45
Jeff Teague	53	50	-0.96	0.46	-1.43	-0.23	-25	24	-49	15.4	14.1	1.23	14.0	15.0	-1.02

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steve Nash	65	67	1.01	-0.51	1.52	0.42	20	-19	39	14.6	14.1	0.58	15.3	13.7	1.66
Dwight Howard	82	85	0.69	-0.19	0.88	0.43	9	-8	17	14.5	14.1	0.38	14.9	14.0	0.92
Kobe Bryant	76	80	0.68	-0.18	0.86	0.50	6	-5	11	14.8	13.2	1.55	15.0	13.9	1.04
Metta World Peace	59	61	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.35	2	-1	3	14.5	14.4	0.01	15.0	14.5	0.52
Steve Blake	50	52	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.40	-7	8	-15	13.7	15.3	-1.64	14.1	15.5	-1.38
Earl Clark	40	42	0.16	0.34	-0.18	-0.08	8	-7	15	14.1	14.7	-0.64	15.9	13.9	1.98
Antawn Jamison	70	71	-0.25	0.75	-0.99	0.19	-15	16	-31	14.8	13.7	1.09	14.1	16.3	-2.20
Jodie Meeks	43	42	-0.39	0.89	-1.28	0.14	-18	19	-37	14.2	14.6	-0.40	13.7	15.6	-1.88

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.68,0.65,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.59,0.64,0.61,0.73,0.7,0.68,0.68,0.75,0.83,0.9,0.89,0.9,0.82,0.7,0.74,0.84,0.74,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.47,0.64,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.64,0.55,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 107, OKC 117	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.57,0.61,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.4,0.47,0.58,0.61,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.8,0.84,0.88,0.89,0.92,0.92,0.95,0.86,0.86,0.8,0.84,0.89,0.85,0.78,0.79,0.58,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.39,0.47,0.54,0.68,0.43,1	90.6%
BOS 106, VAN 109	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.59,0.54,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.63,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.68,0.75,0.8,0.76,0.73,0.65,0.72,0.78,0.73,0.63,0.72,0.7,0.74,0.7,0.67,0.53,0.69,0.59,0.33,0.47,0.37,0.47,0.73,1	90.4%
IND 103, SEA 105	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.58,0.6,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.6,0.58,0.48,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.48,0.52,0.64,0.61,0.46,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.75,0.7,0.76,0.82,0.71,0.76,0.66,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.62,0.74,0.67,0.72,0.64,0.59,0.61,0.47,0.63,0.59,0.58,1	90.0%