NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	96		Excitement	6.2 [551]		MVP	Brandon Knight (DET): +12.7%
Washington Wizards	95		Comeback	1.8 [279]		LVP	John Wall (WAS): -21.7%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brandon Knight	0.13	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.06,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.13,0.12,0.13,0.13	0.15	-0.02	0.00	18	71%	0.28	4	-0.16	9	56%	-0.01
Kim English	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.09	0.03	-0.00	6	83%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Monroe	0.11	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.07	0.05	0.01	17	70%	0.24	5	-0.13	3	67%	0.00
Kyle Singler	0.07	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.02	0.00	7	64%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Maxiell	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charlie Villanueva	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Viacheslav Kravtsov	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jonas Jerebko	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Stuckey	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	2	33%	-0.02	2	-0.06	2	0%	-0.04
Jose Calderon	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08	-0.05	-0.02	0.01	6	43%	-0.04	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Will Bynum	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.12	-0.02	-0.00	7	14%	-0.08	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Trevor Ariza	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.15	-0.06	0.04	13	73%	0.09	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.09
A.J. Price	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	-0.03	0.01	6	75%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Seraphin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.02	0.00	10	60%	0.08	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Martell Webster	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	6	42%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Emeka Okafor	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	0.00	0.06	-0.01	0.04	10	62%	0.02	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.01
Bradley Beal	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	0.01	-0.03	0.05	16	50%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Booker	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	0.01	5	33%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.05
Chris Singleton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.10	0.01	-0.02	9	33%	-0.02	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
John Wall	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.15,-0.18,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.22	-0.18	-0.04	-0.01	9	33%	-0.04	7	-0.18	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.8	2.5	24.4	15.7	21.6	2.7	34.1	121.7
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +77.2%

WAS -24.7%

WAS -0.5%

WAS -7.4%

DET +5.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	WAS	NBA	DET	WAS	NBA
this game	15.8	15.7	15.4	104.3	104.4	104.1
season	15.7	15.1		102.3	98.8
opponent	15.7	15.5		101.2	106.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	14.8	14.6	15.1	19.2	15.8
WAS	15.2	16.1	17.0	14.4	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Maxiell	50	50	0.80	-0.30	1.09	0.18	21	-20	41	14.9	17.0	-2.09	16.1	15.2	0.89
Kyle Singler	51	51	0.69	-0.19	0.88	0.34	12	-11	23	15.6	16.0	-0.42	16.0	15.2	0.82
Greg Monroe	75	76	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.40	9	-8	17	16.0	15.1	0.93	15.6	15.9	-0.25
Jose Calderon	70	70	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.41	8	-7	15	15.3	17.4	-2.04	15.5	16.1	-0.57
Brandon Knight	69	70	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.41	3	-2	5	15.8	16.0	-0.19	15.7	15.7	-0.01
Rodney Stuckey	37	37	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.45	-7	8	-15	16.3	15.5	0.81	15.5	15.8	-0.25
Kim English	23	21	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	3	-5	16.0	15.8	0.19	15.7	15.7	0.01
Jonas Jerebko	23	22	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	0.10	-9	10	-19	19.0	14.8	4.25	14.6	16.0	-1.35
Viacheslav Kravtsov	17	15	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	0.07	-8	9	-17	15.1	16.0	-0.93	15.9	15.6	0.25
Charlie Villanueva	19	18	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	0.08	-9	10	-19	14.5	16.2	-1.69	16.0	15.6	0.42
Will Bynum	26	25	-0.53	1.03	-1.56	-0.15	-13	14	-27	16.8	15.4	1.38	15.4	15.8	-0.41

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Singleton	44	45	0.19	-0.69	0.88	-0.28	16	-17	33	15.8	15.5	0.31	17.4	14.3	3.10
A.J. Price	43	45	0.06	-0.56	0.63	-0.26	11	-12	23	15.4	15.9	-0.50	18.0	13.7	4.28
Kevin Seraphin	30	30	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.13	4	-5	9	16.3	15.3	1.01	17.1	15.2	1.91
Trevor Ariza	61	63	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.51	12	-13	25	15.4	16.1	-0.71	16.6	14.2	2.40
Martell Webster	47	47	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.31	5	-6	11	15.0	16.3	-1.32	14.4	17.2	-2.80
Trevor Booker	33	33	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	0.05	-18	17	-35	16.1	15.4	0.72	14.8	16.4	-1.51
John Wall	48	47	-0.56	0.06	-0.63	-0.21	-12	11	-23	15.9	15.4	0.50	13.7	18.0	-4.28
Emeka Okafor	68	69	-0.67	0.17	-0.85	-0.32	-12	11	-23	15.5	16.1	-0.57	14.9	18.4	-3.49
Bradley Beal	81	81	-0.70	0.20	-0.91	-0.38	-11	10	-21	15.8	14.5	1.30	15.8	15.9	-0.11

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.5,0.41,0.38,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.33,0.37,0.39,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.61,0.64,0.58,0.63,0.6,0.64,0.61,0.48,0.45,0.38,0.28,0.27,0.14,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.23,0.31,0.24,0.17,0.07,0.03,0.01,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 120, PHX 100	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.44,0.41,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.38,0.33,0.31,0.37,0.36,0.46,0.42,0.49,0.64,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.32,0.23,0.28,0.23,0.13,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.21,0.2,0.16,0.31,0.24,0.03,0,0,0,0,0	92.7%
LAL 124, GSW 121	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.42,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.36,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.59,0.67,0.69,0.69,0.66,0.61,0.52,0.38,0.35,0.28,0.41,0.29,0.32,0.22,0.22,0.14,0.13,0.27,0.26,0.24,0.17,0.1,0.01,0,0,0	92.5%
HOU 83, NOH 74	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.43,0.4,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.39,0.42,0.38,0.32,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.47,0.52,0.54,0.48,0.64,0.64,0.52,0.58,0.63,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.42,0.29,0.35,0.31,0.17,0.16,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.25,0.16,0.13,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.03,0,0,0	92.3%