inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Cleveland Cavaliers 105 Excitement6.6 [478] MVPShane Battier (MIA): +31.9%
Miami Heat 109 Comeback8.8 [347] LVPKyrie Irving (CLE): -12.4%


Cleveland Cavaliers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
CJ Miles0.200,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.22,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.2,0.2,0.20.150.050.011179%0.2000.002100%0.01
Dion Waiters0.100,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.16,0.06,0.10.120.020.041767%0.162-0.05560%-0.02
Marreese Speights0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.020.060.02769%0.132-0.06250%-0.01
Alonzo Gee0.060,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.020.04-0.00750%0.0600.00475%0.00
Tyler Zeller0.030,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.03-0.00-0.00464%0.051-0.023100%0.01
Tristan Thompson0.010,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.00-0.011244%0.0100.001100%0.00
Wayne Ellington-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.010.01442%-0.011-0.02475%-0.00
Luke Walton-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.06-0.00-0.0100%0.003-0.0500%0.00
Shaun Livingston-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.04-0.020.0000%0.002-0.0600%0.00
Kyrie Irving-0.120,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,-0.1,-0.120.04-0.130.041649%-0.1200.003100%0.01

Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Shane Battier0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.32,0.320.320.130.18-0.00787%0.3200.002100%0.01
Dwyane Wade0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.06,0.13,0.22,0.22,0.30.300.040.23-0.032251%0.321-0.02367%0.00
Mario Chalmers0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.130.130.110.040.026100%0.203-0.074100%0.05
Udonis Haslem0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.060.000.01287%0.0500.00475%-0.00
LeBron James0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.020.020.06-0.04-0.001957%0.032-0.011173%-0.02
Chris Bosh0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.00-0.00-0.01750%0.011-0.0200%0.00
Rashard Lewis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.0110%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Ray Allen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.05-0.040.02692%0.073-0.0900%0.00
Norris Cole0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.03-0.02-0.00425%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Chris Andersen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.04-0.02-0.0010%-0.011-0.0400%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.82.730.616.425.41.732.2134.8
league avg24.82.329.514.026.82.333.1134.3
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA +40.0%
MIA +6.5%
MIA +9.3%
CLE -0.6%
CLE -5.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsCLEMIANBACLEMIANBA
this game15.516.115.4115.4119.8104.1
season15.515.7102.5110.2
opponent15.915.2102.4107.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
CLE17.213.316.515.515.5
MIA14.215.018.617.216.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Wayne Ellington27280.50-1.001.490.0615-193413.416.4-3.0118.814.93.85
Tyler Zeller25270.11-0.610.72-0.138-122017.814.73.1317.115.71.46
Shaun Livingston29290.02-0.520.540.20-62-813.216.6-3.4118.215.13.06
Marreese Speights3434-0.09-0.410.320.26-128-2014.416.2-1.7318.115.03.09
CJ Miles4040-0.16-0.340.19-0.398-122013.816.8-2.9918.114.63.53
Luke Walton3735-0.32-0.18-0.14-0.03-106-1613.916.6-2.7115.716.4-0.61
Alonzo Gee7777-0.500.00-0.50-0.33-62-816.112.43.6615.519.8-4.33
Tristan Thompson5958-0.550.05-0.61-0.550-4416.513.82.6514.119.6-5.47
Dion Waiters5958-0.720.22-0.95-0.58-51-616.713.33.3715.217.7-2.43
Kyrie Irving6869-0.780.28-1.06-0.43-128-2016.512.83.6715.019.6-4.64

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Chris Bosh59610.94-0.441.370.6410-61615.018.2-3.1416.812.93.87
Mario Chalmers66650.74-0.240.970.508-41215.118.8-3.7516.712.74.02
Shane Battier44440.55-0.050.610.415-1616.715.61.1715.215.8-0.54
LeBron James72720.54-0.040.580.366-2815.618.3-2.7116.412.34.13
Dwyane Wade71720.460.040.430.64-610-1617.013.04.0015.615.20.40
Udonis Haslem36350.310.190.12-0.0412-82014.217.4-3.1917.114.62.53
Rashard Lewis99-0.080.58-0.660.10-610-1619.915.74.1812.915.8-2.93
Ray Allen4342-0.210.71-0.92-0.3340416.116.10.0413.417.3-3.90
Norris Cole2526-0.240.74-0.97-0.12-48-1218.815.13.7512.716.7-4.02
Chris Andersen3029-0.521.02-1.53-0.25-913-2217.815.32.5512.916.8-3.86


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.41,0.42,0.45,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.68,0.68,0.75,0.84,0.85,0.87,0.86,0.87,0.8,0.75,0.71,0.71,0.75,0.84,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.89,0.87,0.9,0.92,0.9,0.91,0.9,0.81,0.75,0.46,0.38,0.38,0.33,0.37,0.22,0.24,0.1,0.25,0.36,0.45,0.85,1
GameSimilarity Score
ATL 92, CHI 960.5,0.51,0.47,0.48,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.61,0.67,0.72,0.71,0.74,0.77,0.79,0.82,0.81,0.81,0.83,0.79,0.81,0.87,0.84,0.83,0.86,0.86,0.88,0.88,0.82,0.83,0.89,0.89,0.78,0.73,0.77,0.71,0.6,0.54,0.62,0.51,0.62,0.58,0.41,0.35,0.27,0.38,0.46,0.55,0.91,188.7%
SAS 105, HOU 1110.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.66,0.7,0.76,0.76,0.74,0.76,0.72,0.67,0.69,0.7,0.68,0.63,0.71,0.72,0.75,0.78,0.88,0.92,0.9,0.82,0.87,0.73,0.68,0.71,0.78,0.69,0.74,0.75,0.5,0.57,0.48,0.47,0.37,0.25,0.29,0.28,0.15,0.45,0.68,0.96,188.6%
BOS 99, CLE 1020.5,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.62,0.68,0.7,0.68,0.72,0.77,0.73,0.8,0.78,0.83,0.85,0.87,0.83,0.86,0.9,0.86,0.91,0.89,0.78,0.82,0.79,0.71,0.72,0.66,0.7,0.56,0.54,0.53,0.62,0.48,0.47,0.37,0.35,0.29,0.25,0.29,0.22,0.74,188.6%