NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	69		Excitement	7.7 [304]		MVP	Kevin Garnett (BOS): +26.5%
Boston Celtics	71		Comeback	4.6 [312]		LVP	Jimmy Butler (CHI): -16.6%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marco Belinelli	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05	0.04	0.00	-0.00	9	60%	0.08	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Daequan Cook	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marquis Teague	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	6	36%	-0.04	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Luol Deng	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	10	40%	-0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Taj Gibson	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07	-0.02	-0.05	-0.00	3	67%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Nate Robinson	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.09	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	7	37%	-0.07	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.04
Joakim Noah	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.17,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.10	-0.03	0.00	8	48%	0.05	5	-0.18	5	80%	0.02
Richard Hamilton	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.10	-0.05	0.00	6	15%	-0.10	2	-0.06	1	0%	-0.01
Carlos Boozer	-0.16	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.16	-0.09	-0.06	0.02	14	38%	-0.04	3	-0.12	1	100%	0.00
Jimmy Butler	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.06,-0.1,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.08	-0.09	0.00	11	42%	0.01	4	-0.17	4	75%	-0.02

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Garnett	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.12,0.26	0.26	0.02	0.23	-0.01	12	50%	0.26	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Terry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.02	0.14	-0.01	11	55%	0.20	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Courtney Lee	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	7	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Wilcox	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jason Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Bass	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	13	50%	0.04	2	-0.10	2	100%	0.02
Avery Bradley	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	12	38%	-0.03	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Paul Pierce	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.19,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.28,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.07	-0.07	-0.14	0.03	-0.04	12	29%	0.00	3	-0.08	4	50%	0.01
Jeff Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	8	40%	-0.02	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	1.8	29.1	15.8	23.6	1.8	40.4	137.8
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +62.5%

CHI -2.3%

CHI -43.0%

BOS +33.5%

CHI -0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	BOS	NBA	CHI	BOS	NBA
this game	17.5	15.6	15.4	78.4	82.6	104.1
season	16.6	14.9		101.7	101.2
opponent	16.2	15.2		101.7	102.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	17.9	16.6	17.1	18.5	17.5
BOS	14.7	16.9	15.0	15.8	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Richard Hamilton	34	34	0.15	-0.65	0.79	0.09	2	-4	6	17.2	17.7	-0.55	15.8	15.4	0.32
Marquis Teague	34	34	0.09	-0.59	0.69	-0.11	7	-9	16	17.5	17.5	-0.02	15.7	15.5	0.23
Carlos Boozer	63	62	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.13	5	-7	12	17.5	17.6	-0.07	15.7	15.2	0.56
Daequan Cook	1	0	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.07	-1	-1	0	10.0	17.6	-7.60	0.0	15.6	-15.57
Marco Belinelli	36	35	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.32	4	-6	10	17.3	17.7	-0.40	15.6	15.5	0.10
Joakim Noah	79	77	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.32	-3	1	-4	17.6	17.1	0.45	15.7	14.8	0.88
Taj Gibson	28	29	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.34	-4	2	-6	17.9	17.3	0.56	15.2	15.8	-0.55
Luol Deng	66	63	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.21	-9	7	-16	17.7	17.1	0.56	15.1	16.9	-1.83
Jimmy Butler	45	44	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.47	-2	0	-2	17.6	17.4	0.23	15.9	15.2	0.74
Nate Robinson	54	52	-0.59	0.09	-0.69	-0.33	-9	7	-16	17.5	17.5	0.02	15.5	15.7	-0.23

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeff Green	67	66	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.48	6	-4	10	15.6	15.6	-0.08	17.1	18.7	-1.62
Kevin Garnett	48	49	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.48	6	-4	10	14.9	16.4	-1.43	18.2	16.7	1.47
Jason Terry	46	45	0.59	-0.09	0.69	0.48	4	-2	6	15.5	15.7	-0.24	17.7	17.3	0.36
Avery Bradley	45	47	0.48	0.01	0.47	0.25	8	-6	14	15.3	15.8	-0.50	18.5	16.4	2.10
Brandon Bass	72	72	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.27	7	-5	12	15.3	16.8	-1.45	18.3	14.0	4.29
Paul Pierce	59	62	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.17	1	1	0	15.7	15.2	0.51	17.4	17.9	-0.53
Jason Collins	25	25	-0.08	0.58	-0.65	-0.05	-1	3	-4	15.1	15.8	-0.63	16.7	17.8	-1.16
Courtney Lee	49	55	-0.23	0.73	-0.97	0.09	-11	13	-24	15.8	15.3	0.48	16.8	18.8	-1.99
Chris Wilcox	19	19	-0.26	0.76	-1.02	0.03	-10	12	-22	18.5	14.7	3.79	15.2	18.1	-2.93

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.67,0.69,0.67,0.64,0.68,0.7,0.66,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.5,0.37,0.43,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.38,0.28,0.26,0.21,0.26,0.22,0.21,0.33,0.42,0.59,0.6,0.78,0.62,0.85,0.95,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 77, PHI 85	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.64,0.58,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.54,0.56,0.47,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.42,0.36,0.32,0.35,0.31,0.28,0.26,0.28,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.28,0.37,0.63,0.64,0.67,0.9,0.93,0.98,1,1	92.0%
NYK 98, PHI 100	0.5,0.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.66,0.67,0.69,0.65,0.69,0.71,0.77,0.68,0.7,0.69,0.67,0.59,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.49,0.42,0.41,0.5,0.4,0.45,0.42,0.36,0.48,0.39,0.35,0.35,0.34,0.3,0.21,0.15,0.19,0.34,0.33,0.37,0.41,0.58,0.73,0.9,0.99,0.98,0.98,1	91.7%
DEN 75, GSW 87	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.57,0.64,0.64,0.68,0.63,0.67,0.72,0.65,0.68,0.65,0.6,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.37,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.23,0.32,0.26,0.26,0.18,0.2,0.37,0.59,0.75,0.83,0.9,0.96,0.99,1,1	91.7%