NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Denver Nuggets	111		Excitement	5.8 [617]		MVP	Alonzo Gee (CLE): +14.8%
Cleveland Cavaliers	103		Comeback	1.7 [913]		LVP	Marreese Speights (CLE): -13.0%

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
JaVale McGee	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.10	0.02	0.00	7	81%	0.15	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Andre Iguodala	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.03	0.03	-0.03	9	78%	0.19	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Kosta Koufos	0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	-0.00	0.01	8	62%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corey Brewer	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.00	0.02	-0.01	6	50%	0.05	1	-0.02	8	75%	0.01
Andre Miller	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.01	8	48%	0.04	3	-0.06	5	80%	0.01
Wilson Chandler	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	0.00	6	44%	-0.00	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Ty Lawson	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	11	42%	-0.01	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Danilo Gallinari	-0.03	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.03	0.01	13	61%	0.06	4	-0.10	5	80%	-0.00
Kenneth Faried	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.02	0.02	12	57%	0.05	5	-0.12	6	50%	-0.03

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Alonzo Gee	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.20	-0.00	0.05	8	111%	0.17	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Wayne Ellington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.11	-0.02	0.02	6	93%	0.10	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Shaun Livingston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	8	61%	0.08	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.02
CJ Miles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	7	50%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Zeller	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	58%	0.03	2	-0.04	6	83%	0.00
Kyrie Irving	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.02	-0.02	0.05	24	50%	-0.00	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Luke Walton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tristan Thompson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	10	46%	0.03	3	-0.10	4	75%	-0.00
Dion Waiters	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.10	-0.04	-0.01	6	21%	-0.07	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.02
Marreese Speights	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.10	-0.04	-0.01	10	21%	-0.13	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.4	2.4	25.4	15.5	30.2	1.8	29.3	131.0
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DEN +26.2%

DEN +13.4%

DEN +12.0%

CLE -4.5%

DEN +3.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DEN	CLE	NBA	DEN	CLE	NBA
this game	13.5	15.0	15.4	111.0	101.0	104.1
season	14.4	15.5		108.4	102.5
opponent	15.2	15.4		107.7	104.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DEN	11.4	12.5	11.8	18.7	13.5
CLE	13.8	16.8	16.3	13.1	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ty Lawson	74	76	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.22	8	0	8	12.9	15.2	-2.29	15.1	14.8	0.36
Andre Iguodala	71	75	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.15	8	0	8	13.5	13.2	0.31	15.2	14.5	0.76
Kenneth Faried	61	62	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.29	1	7	-6	14.4	12.0	2.44	14.8	15.4	-0.63
Danilo Gallinari	75	74	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.29	1	7	-6	14.2	11.3	2.85	15.2	14.5	0.74
Wilson Chandler	49	50	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.04	9	-1	10	12.2	14.7	-2.50	15.0	15.1	-0.12
JaVale McGee	41	42	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.03	7	1	6	11.9	14.6	-2.68	14.6	15.3	-0.67
Andre Miller	52	51	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.17	2	6	-4	14.7	12.1	2.65	14.0	16.1	-2.12
Corey Brewer	45	46	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.07	3	5	-2	13.5	13.4	0.09	14.2	15.7	-1.46
Kosta Koufos	32	34	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.07	1	7	-6	13.0	13.7	-0.68	17.6	13.7	3.91

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
CJ Miles	31	32	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.17	5	-13	18	14.0	15.5	-1.49	16.9	11.8	5.11
Shaun Livingston	43	40	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.07	-2	-6	4	13.8	15.9	-2.08	11.9	14.5	-2.60
Luke Walton	34	34	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.02	-7	-1	-6	15.1	15.0	0.07	12.4	14.0	-1.54
Marreese Speights	36	35	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	0.01	-7	-1	-6	15.0	15.0	-0.02	12.4	14.0	-1.59
Wayne Ellington	45	47	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.22	-1	-7	6	14.8	15.3	-0.51	15.1	12.0	3.15
Tyler Zeller	54	54	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.22	-1	-7	6	15.6	14.4	1.18	13.1	13.8	-0.72
Tristan Thompson	67	64	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.16	-6	-2	-4	15.3	14.6	0.71	13.2	13.9	-0.76
Dion Waiters	52	49	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.05	-10	2	-12	16.2	13.8	2.47	12.0	14.8	-2.82
Alonzo Gee	75	72	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.26	-4	-4	0	14.5	16.4	-1.86	13.4	13.7	-0.35
Kyrie Irving	73	73	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.20	-7	-1	-6	15.4	14.2	1.11	14.2	11.4	2.86

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.39,0.43,0.46,0.51,0.59,0.51,0.59,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.59,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.33,0.39,0.28,0.25,0.27,0.3,0.23,0.17,0.25,0.21,0.2,0.25,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 92, SAS 80	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.42,0.38,0.42,0.3,0.27,0.19,0.18,0.17,0.18,0.13,0.17,0.21,0.15,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.03,0.07,0.02,0.01,0,0,0	95.5%
UTA 105, LAC 92	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.6,0.54,0.57,0.62,0.64,0.6,0.6,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.41,0.27,0.31,0.28,0.2,0.33,0.29,0.21,0.17,0.19,0.17,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.08,0.14,0.04,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.02,0,0	94.9%
TOR 96, CLE 88	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.59,0.57,0.6,0.54,0.52,0.62,0.55,0.6,0.56,0.6,0.59,0.58,0.54,0.42,0.33,0.27,0.27,0.29,0.23,0.2,0.24,0.27,0.23,0.2,0.3,0.24,0.26,0.25,0.13,0.18,0.08,0.11,0.06,0.11,0.02,0.03,0.1,0.07,0.02,0.01,0	94.3%