NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	108		Excitement	4.2 [992]		MVP	Klay Thompson (GSW): +22.9%
Cleveland Cavaliers	95		Comeback	1.2 [689]		LVP	Alonzo Gee (CLE): -14.3%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Klay Thompson	0.23	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.21,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.26,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.14	0.04	-0.05	24	67%	0.28	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
David Lee	0.08	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.11	0.01	0.04	12	71%	0.11	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.01
Jarrett Jack	0.04	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.08	0.01	0.05	18	68%	0.12	4	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01
Festus Ezeli	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.02	4	50%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Kent Bazemore	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	8	56%	0.05	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Andris Biedrins	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Draymond Green	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.01	-0.02	7	50%	0.02	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Charles Jenkins	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	6	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Richard Jefferson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.01	-0.01	4	30%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyler Zeller	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.09	0.01	0.02	9	73%	0.11	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.01
Tristan Thompson	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.08	0.01	0.04	14	60%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Dion Waiters	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	-0.02	13	53%	0.07	2	-0.05	8	62%	-0.00
CJ Miles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	11	45%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marreese Speights	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.04	-0.00	0.04	8	60%	0.02	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Shaun Livingston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.01	5	58%	0.00	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Wayne Ellington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Kyrie Irving	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	0.01	17	36%	-0.06	1	-0.03	5	60%	-0.01
Alonzo Gee	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.14	-0.01	-0.01	5	0%	-0.09	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.6	1.7	28.3	15.4	25.3	2.3	29.2	123.8
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +58.8%

CLE -6.8%

CLE -0.7%

CLE -2.4%

GSW +1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	CLE	NBA	GSW	CLE	NBA
this game	15.1	15.8	15.4	114.9	102.2	104.1
season	14.6	15.5		104.6	102.5
opponent	15.2	15.3		107.7	103.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	12.9	14.7	14.0	19.0	15.1
CLE	15.4	16.6	17.3	13.7	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
David Lee	77	77	0.62	-0.12	0.73	0.03	20	-7	27	15.2	14.4	0.78	15.6	16.4	-0.75
Klay Thompson	84	83	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.06	17	-4	21	15.4	12.4	2.97	15.8	15.2	0.62
Jarrett Jack	73	71	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.14	10	3	7	15.0	15.2	-0.24	15.0	18.3	-3.30
Kent Bazemore	57	56	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.10	10	3	7	16.0	13.5	2.49	15.7	15.8	-0.01
Andris Biedrins	23	23	0.23	0.27	-0.03	-0.12	12	1	11	12.7	15.8	-3.12	17.7	15.1	2.58
Festus Ezeli	44	43	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.14	1	12	-11	14.7	15.3	-0.61	16.3	15.3	1.02
Richard Jefferson	43	42	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.04	1	12	-11	13.5	16.4	-2.93	15.7	15.8	-0.07
Charles Jenkins	21	22	0.07	0.43	-0.37	-0.02	3	10	-7	15.2	15.0	0.24	18.3	15.0	3.30
Draymond Green	48	48	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	0.21	-9	22	-31	16.0	14.1	1.85	14.5	17.1	-2.67

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marreese Speights	41	40	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.17	6	-19	25	15.7	15.8	-0.12	15.4	14.8	0.69
CJ Miles	32	32	0.01	-0.51	0.51	-0.11	4	-17	21	16.1	15.6	0.57	15.3	14.9	0.35
Shaun Livingston	42	41	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.01	-6	-7	1	16.0	15.6	0.36	16.1	14.2	1.90
Wayne Ellington	29	28	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.07	-5	-8	3	17.3	15.1	2.21	15.3	14.9	0.38
Kyrie Irving	71	73	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.19	-3	-10	7	14.9	18.5	-3.60	15.1	14.8	0.31
Alonzo Gee	56	58	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.11	-7	-6	-1	14.9	17.1	-2.21	14.9	15.3	-0.45
Tyler Zeller	71	73	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.05	-14	1	-15	16.2	14.4	1.76	14.0	18.8	-4.78
Dion Waiters	54	55	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	0.14	-22	9	-31	15.8	15.6	0.19	14.7	15.6	-0.87
Tristan Thompson	69	70	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.02	-18	5	-23	16.0	15.2	0.79	15.5	13.9	1.58

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.35,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.37,0.33,0.29,0.22,0.27,0.2,0.2,0.21,0.18,0.17,0.19,0.12,0.09,0.15,0.18,0.1,0.12,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.01,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 116, CHA 104	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.34,0.39,0.4,0.43,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.25,0.22,0.2,0.19,0.22,0.18,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	95.3%
NYK 93, NJN 78	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.35,0.33,0.32,0.37,0.35,0.38,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.35,0.32,0.31,0.31,0.33,0.27,0.18,0.16,0.17,0.22,0.17,0.16,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.3%
SAS 99, HOU 82	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.43,0.37,0.4,0.34,0.4,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.42,0.44,0.39,0.34,0.29,0.25,0.21,0.2,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.13,0.11,0.14,0.16,0.17,0.16,0.12,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.1,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.3%