NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	93		Excitement	4.8 [860]		MVP	Mike Conley (MEM): +12.6%
Memphis Grizzlies	106		Comeback	1.5 [877]		LVP	Rudy Gay (MEM): -11.6%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Metta World Peace	0.11	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.08	0.02	-0.01	9	68%	0.14	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Chris Duhon	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.00	0.00	1	150%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jodie Meeks	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.08	0.00	0.05	4	90%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.05	-0.03	0.01	23	54%	0.06	2	-0.05	8	87%	0.01
Robert Sacre	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darius Morris	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	0.04	1	100%	0.00	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Antawn Jamison	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	2	17%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Dwight Howard	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	4	17%	-0.06	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Pau Gasol	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.03	0.01	10	46%	-0.04	2	-0.04	8	62%	-0.04
Steve Nash	-0.08	0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.11	-0.02	-0.04	6	50%	0.01	6	-0.10	2	50%	-0.01
Earl Clark	-0.10	0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.03	-0.05	0.02	13	41%	-0.06	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Conley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.12	0.02	0.01	14	68%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darrell Arthur	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.10	0.01	0.03	15	62%	0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Tony Allen	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	11	55%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marc Gasol	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	0.00	7	57%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Wroten	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.04	0.01	-0.07	13	33%	0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Jerryd Bayless	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	-0.00	0.03	7	62%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Chris Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	4	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hamed Haddadi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Zach Randolph	0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.10	-0.02	-0.01	13	46%	0.01	5	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gay	0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.13	-0.03	-0.04	11	44%	0.03	6	-0.14	5	80%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.1	2.4	29.7	16.3	26.5	2.3	26.7	130.9
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +28.7%

LAL -1.7%

MEM +19.0%

MEM +4.0%

LAL -0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	MEM	NBA	LAL	MEM	NBA
this game	13.9	16.2	15.4	97.9	110.4	104.1
season	14.9	16.5		106.0	102.9
opponent	15.5	15.3		99.1	105.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	12.0	13.5	15.1	15.3	13.9
MEM	16.2	15.3	16.2	17.5	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Robert Sacre	8	9	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.24	6	-19	25	10.5	14.2	-3.73	18.8	16.0	2.81
Darius Morris	14	15	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.23	5	-18	23	11.6	14.3	-2.75	16.3	16.2	0.12
Earl Clark	78	80	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	0.02	-5	-8	3	14.2	12.5	1.76	16.3	15.8	0.50
Jodie Meeks	16	15	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.20	2	-15	17	13.1	14.1	-0.95	18.3	15.9	2.41
Chris Duhon	26	28	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.19	-1	-12	11	12.9	14.3	-1.37	16.9	15.9	0.99
Antawn Jamison	27	28	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.19	-1	-12	11	13.3	14.1	-0.81	16.9	15.9	0.99
Dwight Howard	32	30	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.08	-11	-2	-9	12.8	14.5	-1.71	15.3	16.7	-1.35
Steve Nash	69	68	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.07	-12	-1	-11	14.3	12.9	1.37	15.9	16.9	-0.99
Kobe Bryant	76	77	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.06	-13	0	-13	14.0	13.4	0.62	16.0	17.1	-1.03
Metta World Peace	70	69	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.11	-16	3	-19	14.6	12.0	2.60	16.2	16.2	0.01
Pau Gasol	59	61	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	0.12	-19	6	-25	14.6	12.7	1.92	15.6	17.3	-1.71

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mike Conley	66	68	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.09	12	1	11	15.8	17.3	-1.51	14.0	13.8	0.14
Darrell Arthur	55	53	0.42	0.08	0.34	-0.23	22	-9	31	16.6	15.7	0.95	14.2	13.5	0.70
Tony Wroten	37	35	0.36	0.14	0.23	-0.10	16	-3	19	16.1	16.3	-0.20	14.2	13.7	0.45
Marc Gasol	58	60	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.26	1	12	-11	16.2	16.2	-0.01	14.6	12.8	1.77
Hamed Haddadi	32	29	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.04	6	7	-1	16.1	16.3	-0.16	12.0	14.8	-2.81
Chris Johnson	13	14	0.19	0.31	-0.11	-0.01	7	6	1	17.6	16.0	1.60	14.8	13.8	1.02
Jerryd Bayless	25	25	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.05	5	8	-3	18.3	15.5	2.83	14.8	13.6	1.25
Zach Randolph	57	58	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.23	-3	16	-19	16.0	16.6	-0.65	13.7	14.3	-0.58
Rudy Gay	75	73	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.15	-1	14	-15	16.1	16.5	-0.38	13.5	15.2	-1.65
Tony Allen	62	60	0.12	0.38	-0.27	0.12	0	13	-13	15.7	17.2	-1.47	13.8	14.1	-0.27

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.41,0.46,0.47,0.41,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.44,0.47,0.6,0.61,0.7,0.77,0.8,0.74,0.67,0.67,0.75,0.71,0.72,0.64,0.7,0.67,0.62,0.78,0.75,0.8,0.81,0.89,0.87,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 90, OKC 105	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.67,0.72,0.73,0.75,0.72,0.77,0.73,0.73,0.72,0.66,0.72,0.73,0.67,0.68,0.68,0.69,0.82,0.86,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.1%
NOH 92, SAC 107	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.5,0.44,0.49,0.55,0.65,0.63,0.7,0.69,0.73,0.67,0.72,0.73,0.7,0.68,0.74,0.73,0.73,0.73,0.58,0.62,0.7,0.85,0.86,0.85,0.9,0.92,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.97,1,1,1,1,1	95.0%
SAS 92, OKC 102	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.59,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.67,0.67,0.75,0.73,0.73,0.72,0.7,0.73,0.7,0.71,0.69,0.7,0.73,0.73,0.8,0.75,0.72,0.85,0.87,0.82,0.9,0.93,0.94,0.91,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.7%