NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Denver Nuggets	97		Excitement	1.9 [1300]		MVP	Russell Westbrook (OKC): +13.8%
Oklahoma City Thunder	117		Comeback	1.0 [1245]		LVP	Ty Lawson (DEN): -5.1%

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kosta Koufos	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.11	0.00	0.07	6	89%	0.06	1	-0.01	6	67%	-0.00
Evan Fournier	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	5	60%	0.01	2	-0.00	5	80%	0.01
Jordan Hamilton	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	4	75%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Julyan Stone	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Timofey Mozgov	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	4	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Randolph	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.06	0.00	-0.05	6	40%	-0.00	2	-0.00	8	75%	0.00
JaVale McGee	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.10	0.00	0.10	6	88%	0.03	2	-0.03	5	100%	0.01
Kenneth Faried	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Corey Brewer	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.07	0.00	-0.04	7	19%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Andre Miller	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.07	0.00	-0.03	7	43%	0.00	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Danilo Gallinari	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	0.00	0.02	10	44%	-0.03	1	-0.01	5	80%	0.00
Andre Iguodala	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	0.00	0.01	10	50%	-0.02	3	-0.03	4	100%	0.01
Ty Lawson	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.11	0.00	-0.06	4	25%	-0.02	4	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Russell Westbrook	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.19	0.00	0.05	20	65%	0.14	0	0.00	9	89%	0.02
Kevin Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.12	0.00	0.03	12	74%	0.09	1	-0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Nick Collison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.01	3	67%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Durant	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.08	0.00	0.05	12	69%	0.07	3	-0.05	5	80%	0.00
Thabo Sefolosha	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.06	0.00	0.04	7	64%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hasheem Thabeet	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	1	50%	0.01	1	-0.00	4	25%	-0.00
Reggie Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	5	57%	0.00	1	-0.00	4	100%	0.00
Jeremy Lamb	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	5	20%	-0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Perry Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	60%	-0.00	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre Liggins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.03	0.00	0.04	4	75%	-0.01	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Serge Ibaka	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	5	45%	0.01	3	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Kendrick Perkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.08	0.00	-0.05	6	17%	-0.03	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.7	1.8	35.0	14.7	29.5	1.7	28.0	135.3
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC +28.3%

OKC +3.9%

OKC +4.4%

OKC +12.4%

OKC +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DEN	OKC	NBA	DEN	OKC	NBA
this game	14.8	15.2	15.4	102.1	120.6	104.1
season	14.4	14.8		108.4	109.3
opponent	15.5	15.4		100.6	104.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DEN	18.0	12.3	15.6	13.5	14.8
OKC	14.7	17.0	13.8	15.3	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Timofey Mozgov	18	19	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.23	8	-28	36	13.6	15.1	-1.44	16.9	14.8	2.15
Julyan Stone	10	11	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-19	18	13.2	15.0	-1.76	18.8	14.8	4.06
Jordan Hamilton	17	18	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-23	26	13.8	15.0	-1.24	16.9	14.8	2.05
Anthony Randolph	35	35	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.15	5	-25	30	13.5	15.5	-2.00	13.9	16.0	-2.08
Evan Fournier	31	31	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.14	4	-24	28	13.2	15.5	-2.31	16.1	14.8	1.34
Corey Brewer	41	41	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.01	-8	-12	4	13.7	15.6	-1.93	13.3	16.6	-3.29
Ty Lawson	36	36	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.15	-14	-6	-8	16.9	13.5	3.35	16.1	14.7	1.33
JaVale McGee	45	45	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.29	-19	-1	-18	14.2	15.3	-1.02	12.5	17.6	-5.05
Kosta Koufos	45	47	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.05	-8	-12	4	15.6	14.0	1.60	17.1	13.4	3.67
Andre Miller	52	54	-0.29	-0.20	-0.09	-0.06	-8	-12	4	13.5	16.4	-2.91	14.1	16.6	-2.49
Andre Iguodala	58	59	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	0.15	-17	-3	-14	15.7	13.3	2.47	15.0	15.6	-0.60
Kenneth Faried	38	39	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.32	-24	4	-28	16.8	13.4	3.39	15.5	15.0	0.50
Danilo Gallinari	49	50	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.23	-21	1	-22	15.6	14.0	1.59	16.4	14.0	2.40

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Russell Westbrook	52	52	0.31	0.19	0.13	-0.18	17	3	14	16.3	14.0	2.27	15.9	13.4	2.57
Kevin Durant	53	53	0.31	0.19	0.12	-0.07	13	7	6	16.6	13.5	3.10	15.6	13.7	1.91
Kendrick Perkins	46	44	0.30	0.20	0.11	-0.20	17	3	14	16.2	14.3	1.86	16.0	13.7	2.36
Kevin Martin	42	42	0.30	0.20	0.09	-0.23	18	2	16	13.2	16.8	-3.57	14.0	15.4	-1.31
Serge Ibaka	50	49	0.28	0.22	0.06	-0.19	16	4	12	15.9	14.5	1.45	16.2	13.3	2.94
DeAndre Liggins	42	41	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.07	5	15	-10	15.2	15.2	0.04	13.6	15.7	-2.06
Thabo Sefolosha	45	43	0.21	0.29	-0.08	-0.11	11	9	2	15.4	15.1	0.30	15.5	14.2	1.30
Nick Collison	19	19	0.19	0.31	-0.12	-0.07	9	11	-2	15.1	15.2	-0.14	14.4	14.9	-0.51
Hasheem Thabeet	42	41	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.04	5	15	-10	13.5	16.6	-3.11	13.8	15.5	-1.71
Reggie Jackson	45	43	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.10	3	17	-14	14.0	16.3	-2.27	13.4	15.9	-2.57
Perry Jones	30	30	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.18	-6	26	-32	14.1	15.7	-1.66	13.0	15.6	-2.60
Jeremy Lamb	19	18	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.23	-8	28	-36	16.9	14.8	2.15	13.6	15.1	-1.44

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.67,0.74,0.7,0.71,0.7,0.8,0.83,0.86,0.9,0.89,0.87,0.92,0.93,0.95,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.93,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 86, MIL 112	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.63,0.65,0.6,0.68,0.78,0.75,0.74,0.76,0.81,0.87,0.85,0.82,0.84,0.88,0.89,0.93,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.6%
UTA 102, DAL 120	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.66,0.63,0.65,0.67,0.69,0.67,0.69,0.76,0.8,0.83,0.84,0.89,0.9,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.94,0.92,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.6%
CLE 95, MIN 129	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.52,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.63,0.69,0.71,0.72,0.71,0.71,0.75,0.81,0.82,0.88,0.86,0.87,0.86,0.89,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.95,0.94,0.92,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.5%