NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Oklahoma City Thunder	116		Excitement	3.3 [1161]		MVP	Kevin Durant (OKC): +22.7%
Los Angeles Lakers	101		Comeback	1.1 [1108]		LVP	Metta World Peace (LAL): -11.8%

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Durant	0.23	0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.14,0.19,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.22,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.24	0.02	0.03	25	72%	0.24	3	-0.01	8	75%	-0.02
Kevin Martin	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.01	12	60%	0.06	2	-0.02	1	0%	-0.02
Kendrick Perkins	0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.01	0.00	-0.05	4	60%	0.05	2	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Russell Westbrook	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,0,0.03,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	0.01	0.04	21	54%	0.05	3	-0.03	8	75%	-0.02
Thabo Sefolosha	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	-0.00	-0.00	6	75%	0.06	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Nick Collison	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	2	67%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Eric Maynor	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre Liggins	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hasheem Thabeet	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	0	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Jeremy Lamb	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	3	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Jackson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.01	0.01	4	31%	-0.02	1	-0.03	5	40%	-0.03
Serge Ibaka	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	8	37%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	23	47%	0.04	1	-0.02	13	77%	-0.00
Earl Clark	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	-0.00	-0.05	12	42%	0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jodie Meeks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	6	33%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devin Ebanks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.05	0.00	0.05	4	75%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Duhon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	0	50%	-0.00	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Antawn Jamison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.04	-0.00	0.05	17	51%	0.01	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Darius Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.03	-0.00	0.08	6	57%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Robert Sacre	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	6	50%	0.01	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Steve Nash	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	0.02	6	58%	0.00	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Metta World Peace	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.15	-0.01	-0.04	18	32%	-0.09	3	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.1	3.4	33.9	18.0	29.0	2.8	28.4	141.6
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC +49.3%

LAL -2.0%

OKC +2.7%

LAL -1.7%

OKC +1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	OKC	LAL	NBA	OKC	LAL	NBA
this game	14.5	13.3	15.4	112.6	97.1	104.1
season	14.8	14.9		109.3	106.0
opponent	15.3	15.5		105.7	100.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
OKC	13.8	14.8	15.2	14.4	14.5
LAL	13.4	15.2	12.5	12.3	13.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Durant	80	83	0.70	-0.20	0.89	-0.33	35	-20	55	14.7	13.9	0.79	14.0	10.7	3.25
Russell Westbrook	73	77	0.51	-0.01	0.52	-0.31	28	-13	41	14.5	14.7	-0.25	13.7	12.3	1.37
Thabo Sefolosha	63	66	0.49	0.01	0.47	-0.25	25	-10	35	14.6	14.4	0.20	13.8	12.5	1.31
Kendrick Perkins	44	45	0.46	0.04	0.43	-0.24	24	-9	33	13.8	15.1	-1.23	13.8	12.9	0.87
Serge Ibaka	51	50	0.45	0.05	0.41	-0.10	19	-4	23	14.5	14.6	-0.07	14.0	12.6	1.41
Kevin Martin	55	57	0.11	0.39	-0.27	-0.12	8	7	1	14.9	14.0	0.90	13.6	13.0	0.56
Eric Maynor	10	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.35	-12	27	-39	14.6	14.5	0.08	8.1	13.8	-5.69
Hasheem Thabeet	7	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.23	-8	23	-31	13.9	14.6	-0.72	8.5	13.6	-5.10
Jeremy Lamb	11	10	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.29	-10	25	-35	14.3	14.6	-0.28	9.9	13.7	-3.77
Reggie Jackson	35	32	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	0.35	-12	27	-39	14.3	14.6	-0.36	12.6	13.6	-1.03
Nick Collison	55	55	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	-0.02	0	15	-15	14.9	14.0	0.90	14.1	12.4	1.70
DeAndre Liggins	31	30	-0.20	0.70	-0.90	0.45	-22	37	-59	14.1	14.7	-0.57	10.0	14.6	-4.60

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jodie Meeks	32	34	0.13	-0.63	0.76	-0.43	19	-34	53	12.4	13.7	-1.35	14.6	14.5	0.05
Chris Duhon	49	51	0.07	-0.56	0.63	-0.37	15	-30	45	12.7	13.9	-1.24	14.4	14.7	-0.26
Devin Ebanks	10	11	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.29	10	-25	35	9.9	13.7	-3.77	14.3	14.6	-0.28
Antawn Jamison	67	65	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.02	-5	-10	5	13.0	13.9	-0.99	14.9	13.9	0.96
Darius Morris	20	22	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.25	4	-19	23	13.0	13.4	-0.32	15.0	14.4	0.55
Earl Clark	79	78	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	0.23	-17	2	-19	13.6	12.5	1.09	14.8	13.8	0.96
Kobe Bryant	77	74	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.29	-24	9	-33	13.4	13.2	0.17	14.5	14.7	-0.18
Robert Sacre	48	47	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	-0.10	-14	-1	-13	13.4	13.2	0.12	13.7	15.2	-1.43
Steve Nash	62	60	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	0.28	-29	14	-43	14.6	11.4	3.15	14.7	14.3	0.46
Metta World Peace	76	73	-0.67	0.17	-0.85	0.32	-34	19	-53	13.6	12.6	0.91	14.3	15.0	-0.62

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.36,0.35,0.31,0.33,0.42,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.39,0.29,0.35,0.36,0.21,0.18,0.1,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 117, SEA 94	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.35,0.38,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.39,0.34,0.26,0.31,0.18,0.14,0.12,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.0%
IND 112, PHI 85	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.37,0.37,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.42,0.46,0.42,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.28,0.25,0.18,0.14,0.07,0.09,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.9%
OKC 116, MEM 100	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.47,0.41,0.35,0.37,0.34,0.42,0.43,0.42,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.31,0.23,0.22,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.7%