NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	92		Excitement	5.1 [790]		MVP	Zach Randolph (MEM): +17.1%
Phoenix Suns	81		Comeback	1.1 [1028]		LVP	Luis Scola (PHX): -19.6%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Zach Randolph	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.12	0.04	-0.00	11	78%	0.19	2	-0.02	5	60%	-0.01
Darrell Arthur	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.01	-0.02	3	75%	0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Jerryd Bayless	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.10	0.01	0.05	2	112%	0.06	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Tony Allen	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	7	58%	0.05	2	-0.04	5	100%	0.02
Josh Selby	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Wroten	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hamed Haddadi	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wayne Ellington	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Mike Conley	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	0.00	-0.02	10	32%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00
Marc Gasol	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.09	-0.02	-0.04	10	50%	0.05	5	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Marreese Speights	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	5	60%	0.02	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gay	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.01	-0.04	0.04	18	53%	0.00	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.01

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
PJ Tucker	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.10	0.02	0.01	11	65%	0.11	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Sebastian Telfair	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.00	-0.03	3	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	-0.00	-0.00	5	60%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jared Dudley	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.01	3	58%	0.01	0	0.00	6	83%	0.00
Jermaine O'Neal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.02	-0.00	5	67%	0.04	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Marcin Gortat	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	14	43%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Markieff Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	0.00	8	29%	-0.04	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Shannon Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.10	-0.05	-0.01	9	35%	-0.05	3	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01
Goran Dragic	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.06	-0.07	0.06	9	47%	-0.08	4	-0.12	1	100%	0.00
Luis Scola	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.22,-0.22,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.17	-0.07	-0.04	12	27%	-0.05	4	-0.14	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.5	2.4	26.3	15.5	26.6	2.5	40.2	139.9
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +38.6%

MEM +3.4%

MEM +10.9%

PHX -4.3%

MEM +1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	PHX	NBA	MEM	PHX	NBA
this game	16.0	16.4	15.4	102.2	92.0	104.1
season	16.5	15.2		102.9	99.7
opponent	15.1	15.5		106.3	99.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	14.0	17.8	14.8	17.7	16.0
PHX	16.0	17.3	16.5	15.8	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marc Gasol	68	65	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.10	17	-6	23	16.3	15.1	1.19	16.5	16.0	0.45
Rudy Gay	74	70	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.17	14	-3	17	16.3	14.6	1.66	16.3	16.6	-0.23
Mike Conley	59	55	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.15	12	-1	13	16.5	15.0	1.51	16.4	16.4	-0.03
Zach Randolph	65	65	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.12	11	0	11	16.2	15.4	0.87	16.4	16.2	0.27
Tony Allen	50	50	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.15	6	5	1	15.6	16.4	-0.78	16.3	16.4	-0.13
Jerryd Bayless	47	48	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.13	4	7	-3	16.3	15.6	0.74	16.0	16.8	-0.82
Darrell Arthur	20	20	0.05	0.45	-0.41	0.05	0	11	-11	15.5	16.1	-0.56	16.4	16.4	0.10
Josh Selby	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	11	-11	8.0	16.1	-8.08	8.0	16.5	-8.47
Tony Wroten	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	11	-11	8.0	16.1	-8.08	8.0	16.5	-8.47
Hamed Haddadi	18	20	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	0.09	-5	16	-21	14.8	16.3	-1.51	16.5	16.3	0.16
Wayne Ellington	23	22	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	-0.07	0	11	-11	15.0	16.3	-1.27	17.7	15.9	1.80
Marreese Speights	24	23	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	-0.00	-4	15	-19	15.2	16.3	-1.06	16.2	16.4	-0.27

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jermaine O'Neal	29	30	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.13	3	-14	17	16.2	16.5	-0.30	17.3	15.3	2.02
Wesley Johnson	29	30	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.04	-3	-8	5	17.1	16.0	1.09	17.9	15.0	2.87
Shannon Brown	49	50	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.09	-2	-9	7	16.3	16.4	-0.11	16.2	15.7	0.52
Luis Scola	49	51	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.15	-1	-10	9	16.3	16.5	-0.25	16.1	15.9	0.16
Sebastian Telfair	28	27	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.01	-8	-3	-5	17.2	16.0	1.18	15.9	16.0	-0.09
Goran Dragic	60	63	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.17	-3	-8	5	16.0	17.2	-1.18	16.0	15.9	0.09
Markieff Morris	39	39	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.03	-10	-1	-9	16.5	16.3	0.25	15.9	16.1	-0.16
Jared Dudley	39	40	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.09	-9	-2	-7	16.4	16.3	0.11	15.7	16.2	-0.52
PJ Tucker	59	60	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.14	-8	-3	-5	16.0	17.1	-1.09	15.0	17.9	-2.87
Marcin Gortat	59	60	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.04	-14	3	-17	16.5	16.2	0.30	15.3	17.3	-2.02

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.44,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.39,0.42,0.44,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.47,0.4,0.33,0.37,0.36,0.32,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.46,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.3,0.27,0.26,0.22,0.19,0.14,0.17,0.16,0.15,0.22,0.25,0.2,0.12,0.08,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 95, SEA 77	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.35,0.36,0.4,0.38,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.38,0.4,0.35,0.37,0.34,0.36,0.47,0.37,0.44,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.39,0.45,0.49,0.38,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.24,0.26,0.22,0.21,0.24,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.22,0.18,0.11,0.15,0.05,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0	95.2%
DET 83, IND 65	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.47,0.41,0.43,0.39,0.4,0.42,0.34,0.36,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.49,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.51,0.46,0.41,0.37,0.38,0.4,0.36,0.3,0.24,0.16,0.17,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.16,0.19,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	94.8%
WAS 97, SAC 84	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.54,0.56,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.35,0.42,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.35,0.34,0.39,0.41,0.36,0.44,0.41,0.5,0.45,0.37,0.33,0.27,0.27,0.29,0.23,0.28,0.23,0.26,0.18,0.1,0.15,0.18,0.17,0.1,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	94.6%