NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	112		Excitement	7.9 [255]		MVP	James Harden (HOU): +19.8%
Cleveland Cavaliers	104		Comeback	2.2 [845]		LVP	Chandler Parsons (HOU): -15.0%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
James Harden	0.20	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0.01,0.12,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.2	0.05	0.17	0.02	17	59%	0.35	5	-0.15	15	93%	0.04
Carlos Delfino	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11	0.03	0.08	-0.00	6	69%	0.19	2	-0.07	1	100%	0.01
Greg Smith	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.08	0.03	0.00	5	73%	0.11	0	0.00	5	20%	-0.06
Patrick Patterson	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1	0.04	0.06	0.00	13	58%	0.12	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Lin	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.04	0.03	-0.01	13	65%	0.19	4	-0.10	5	60%	-0.02
Toney Douglas	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.01	0.05	-0.00	5	50%	0.07	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Omer Asik	0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.03	0.01	4	50%	0.03	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Marcus Morris	0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	-0.01	0.01	8	61%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Chandler Parsons	-0.15	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.11	-0.04	-0.01	8	28%	-0.06	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.01

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.06	0.08	0.00	2	100%	0.14	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Alonzo Gee	0,0,0.03,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.08	0.03	0.02	12	64%	0.12	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Tyler Zeller	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.04	0.01	9	55%	0.06	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Tristan Thompson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	-0.01	11	50%	0.04	1	-0.03	6	67%	-0.00
Luke Walton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyrie Irving	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.08,0.03,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.06	-0.05	24	54%	0.20	8	-0.26	8	87%	0.00
Dion Waiters	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	13	43%	0.06	3	-0.12	4	100%	0.05
Shaun Livingston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	3	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
CJ Miles	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	14	32%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	2.4	26.4	15.4	27.8	1.8	35.2	134.4
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +66.2%

CLE -9.6%

CLE -3.5%

CLE -2.3%

CLE -0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	CLE	NBA	HOU	CLE	NBA
this game	13.6	15.6	15.4	113.1	106.1	104.1
season	14.2	15.5		107.9	102.5
opponent	15.2	15.4		107.7	105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	13.5	14.5	12.5	14.0	13.6
CLE	13.7	16.2	18.3	14.8	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Carlos Delfino	57	56	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.17	17	-9	26	13.5	13.8	-0.25	15.6	15.7	-0.14
Patrick Patterson	53	52	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.11	13	-5	18	14.1	13.1	0.95	15.4	15.9	-0.53
Jeremy Lin	79	77	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.31	6	2	4	13.9	12.5	1.34	15.4	16.6	-1.26
Greg Smith	50	51	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.18	8	0	8	14.5	12.7	1.87	16.0	15.3	0.68
James Harden	81	80	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.33	2	6	-4	13.3	14.8	-1.49	15.1	18.1	-2.97
Toney Douglas	30	29	0.10	0.40	-0.29	-0.10	7	1	6	13.6	13.6	-0.07	16.6	15.2	1.40
Omer Asik	47	46	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.12	-1	9	-10	13.1	14.1	-0.97	15.4	15.9	-0.50
Marcus Morris	46	46	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.15	-5	13	-18	13.1	14.1	-0.95	15.9	15.4	0.53
Chandler Parsons	52	53	-0.15	0.65	-0.79	0.06	-7	15	-22	13.3	13.9	-0.57	16.3	14.9	1.42

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luke Walton	18	18	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	0.12	-8	0	-8	16.0	15.5	0.45	14.4	13.4	0.94
Alonzo Gee	66	66	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.09	-1	-7	6	15.6	15.7	-0.13	12.8	15.2	-2.35
Tyler Zeller	78	79	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.14	0	-8	8	15.2	17.2	-1.97	13.1	15.6	-2.49
Kevin Jones	24	23	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.15	0	-8	8	17.2	15.1	2.14	13.9	13.5	0.33
Shaun Livingston	33	33	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.12	-4	-4	0	16.3	15.3	0.97	14.5	13.2	1.26
CJ Miles	52	55	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.24	0	-8	8	14.9	16.5	-1.55	14.3	12.8	1.48
Dion Waiters	57	57	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.05	-13	5	-18	16.2	14.9	1.34	14.0	13.1	0.95
Kyrie Irving	86	86	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.30	-6	-2	-4	15.5	16.7	-1.18	13.2	16.3	-3.10
Tristan Thompson	76	78	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.36	-8	0	-8	15.4	16.3	-0.83	13.9	12.7	1.21

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.56,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.67,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.65,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.56,0.6,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.33,0.42,0.4,0.34,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.35,0.38,0.48,0.4,0.48,0.5,0.43,0.38,0.58,0.53,0.41,0.29,0.22,0.14,0.03,0.1,0.09,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 103, CHI 89	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.53,0.54,0.6,0.69,0.66,0.69,0.65,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.46,0.37,0.4,0.43,0.42,0.36,0.39,0.45,0.38,0.31,0.37,0.44,0.56,0.46,0.52,0.44,0.48,0.47,0.31,0.24,0.22,0.19,0.08,0.04,0,0	93.5%
MIN 106, POR 105	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.53,0.52,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.65,0.66,0.6,0.62,0.56,0.54,0.47,0.42,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.52,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.32,0.36,0.4,0.17,0.14,0.07,0.02,0.15,0	93.0%
ATL 108, MIL 100	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.5,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.63,0.64,0.62,0.58,0.56,0.61,0.58,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.42,0.36,0.3,0.26,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.45,0.52,0.45,0.41,0.33,0.32,0.5,0.43,0.38,0.47,0.42,0.31,0.19,0.05,0.07,0.02,0.02,0,0	92.6%