NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	75		Excitement	3.6 [1096]		MVP	Courtney Lee (BOS): +5.5%
Boston Celtics	94		Comeback	1.5 [797]		LVP	David West (IND): -19.6%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyler Hansbrough	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	0.00	0.03	11	63%	0.04	2	-0.02	8	62%	0.00
D.J. Augustin	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	67%	0.04	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Orlando Johnson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.06	0.00	0.06	3	87%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Jeff Ayres	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben Hansbrough	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	4	50%	-0.01	2	-0.01	2	100%	-0.00
Ian Mahinmi	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.07	-0.00	-0.03	5	33%	0.01	2	-0.05	2	0%	-0.01
Roy Hibbert	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	6	50%	0.03	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Lance Stephenson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.07	-0.00	-0.03	6	31%	-0.03	1	-0.01	4	50%	-0.00
Gerald Green	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.09	-0.00	-0.02	8	17%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Paul George	-0.18	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.20	-0.02	-0.05	18	23%	-0.11	3	-0.07	3	33%	-0.01
David West	-0.20	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.18	-0.02	-0.01	18	26%	-0.14	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Courtney Lee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	0.01	0.02	9	72%	0.06	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul Pierce	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.00	10	57%	0.06	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.03
Rajon Rondo	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	-0.03	14	60%	0.08	3	-0.04	2	0%	-0.02
Leandro Barbosa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	4	75%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarvis Varnado	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	16	53%	0.04	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Jason Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	0	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jason Terry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	8	35%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Jeff Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	4	25%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jared Sullinger	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.08	-0.00	-0.06	7	35%	-0.00	2	-0.03	6	50%	-0.01
Avery Bradley	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	0.00	-0.03	11	27%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Bass	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.09	-0.01	0.01	5	33%	-0.03	3	-0.07	2	100%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.3	2.3	32.5	15.8	25.0	2.4	34.5	134.8
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +42.0%

IND -4.6%

IND -1.6%

BOS +14.1%

BOS +0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	BOS	NBA	IND	BOS	NBA
this game	16.0	13.9	15.4	78.1	96.9	104.1
season	16.1	14.9		102.4	101.2
opponent	16.2	15.5		101.7	99.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	15.3	18.8	14.7	14.9	16.0
BOS	15.3	10.0	14.7	15.7	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeff Ayres	5	5	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.00	0	-19	19	11.0	16.2	-5.23	16.4	13.8	2.64
Orlando Johnson	23	24	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.01	-1	-18	17	14.9	16.3	-1.37	15.7	13.3	2.41
Tyler Hansbrough	45	46	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.03	-2	-17	15	16.2	15.7	0.45	14.1	13.7	0.40
Ian Mahinmi	31	33	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.08	-2	-17	15	16.9	15.5	1.35	15.6	13.0	2.64
Gerald Green	41	41	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	0.13	-10	-9	-1	16.6	15.5	1.05	15.0	13.1	2.00
Ben Hansbrough	35	35	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	0.09	-10	-9	-1	16.7	15.5	1.14	14.9	13.3	1.59
D.J. Augustin	61	62	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.03	-9	-10	1	15.5	16.7	-1.14	13.3	14.9	-1.59
Paul George	65	66	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.01	-12	-7	-5	15.7	16.5	-0.82	13.3	15.3	-2.00
Roy Hibbert	52	52	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.13	-17	-2	-15	15.9	16.0	-0.16	13.3	14.6	-1.27
Lance Stephenson	63	63	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.01	-15	-4	-11	16.2	15.5	0.77	13.1	15.3	-2.20
David West	59	58	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	0.04	-17	-2	-15	15.8	16.2	-0.46	13.1	15.2	-2.10

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Paul Pierce	59	60	0.45	0.05	0.40	-0.14	20	-1	21	12.9	15.5	-2.64	16.4	15.2	1.27
Jared Sullinger	58	57	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.07	17	2	15	13.3	14.8	-1.46	17.6	13.5	4.08
Rajon Rondo	62	62	0.41	0.09	0.33	-0.03	15	4	11	13.2	15.2	-2.04	15.8	16.3	-0.57
Jason Collins	31	31	0.36	0.14	0.21	-0.08	15	4	11	13.2	14.2	-0.99	16.1	15.9	0.16
Courtney Lee	43	42	0.30	0.20	0.10	-0.08	13	6	7	14.8	13.1	1.69	16.9	15.2	1.68
Avery Bradley	48	48	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.02	9	10	-1	13.9	13.9	-0.04	15.1	16.8	-1.67
Kevin Garnett	48	48	0.14	0.36	-0.22	-0.09	8	11	-3	13.7	14.1	-0.33	17.1	14.8	2.29
Brandon Bass	48	48	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.10	-1	20	-21	14.8	13.0	1.81	13.5	18.4	-4.83
Jeff Green	38	36	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.08	-1	20	-21	15.5	12.9	2.64	15.2	16.4	-1.27
Jason Terry	28	28	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.09	3	16	-13	13.5	14.0	-0.51	17.6	15.3	2.33
Leandro Barbosa	13	12	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	21	-23	15.2	13.7	1.45	13.2	16.4	-3.19
Jarvis Varnado	9	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	20	-21	16.0	13.7	2.32	11.4	16.4	-5.00

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.58,0.54,0.68,0.79,0.76,0.84,0.83,0.87,0.82,0.84,0.82,0.89,0.89,0.9,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 81, PHX 99	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.39,0.45,0.51,0.44,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.63,0.73,0.74,0.79,0.85,0.84,0.84,0.86,0.88,0.89,0.89,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.0%
DET 87, WAS 97	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.7,0.77,0.82,0.87,0.92,0.86,0.91,0.91,0.92,0.85,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1	96.8%
DET 91, LAC 113	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.42,0.36,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.45,0.45,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.58,0.61,0.63,0.7,0.78,0.79,0.83,0.84,0.8,0.77,0.79,0.87,0.89,0.9,0.89,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.3%