NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	96		Excitement	6.6 [468]		MVP	Caron Butler (LAC): +25.5%
Los Angeles Clippers	107		Comeback	1.3 [1107]		LVP	Lamar Odom (LAC): -16.2%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Al Jefferson	0.11	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.06,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.02	0.02	22	61%	0.16	2	-0.05	5	80%	0.02
Derrick Favors	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.03	0.01	6	61%	0.09	2	-0.05	6	83%	0.00
DeMarre Carroll	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	5	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Randy Foye	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.03	-0.01	8	53%	0.01	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Paul Millsap	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	7	39%	-0.02	0	0.00	9	56%	-0.05
Enes Kanter	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.02	-0.00	3	50%	0.04	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.05
Gordon Hayward	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	15	46%	-0.01	2	-0.06	5	100%	0.04
Earl Watson	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	3	0%	-0.03	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jamaal Tinsley	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.03	-0.03	7	50%	0.02	5	-0.11	2	50%	-0.00
Alec Burks	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.07	-0.04	0.00	4	25%	-0.05	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Caron Butler	0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.24,0.22,0.22,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.25	0.24	0.04	0.02	14	91%	0.30	2	-0.05	4	75%	0.00
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.07,0.12,0.09,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.02	0.13	-0.00	16	53%	0.21	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.03
Matt Barnes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.05	-0.00	4	87%	0.11	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Willie Green	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.00	4	56%	0.04	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Chris Paul	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.02	0.02	14	58%	0.06	2	-0.04	5	100%	0.03
DeAndre Jordan	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.07	-0.01	0.05	7	64%	0.02	0	0.00	8	75%	-0.01
Ronny Turiaf	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	4	30%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Eric Bledsoe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	5	40%	-0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Blake Griffin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	5	47%	0.00	2	-0.06	5	20%	-0.07
Lamar Odom	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.12	-0.04	-0.00	5	0%	-0.12	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.4	2.3	31.0	15.8	29.9	1.7	34.4	137.4
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +39.1%

UTA -3.9%

LAC +0.8%

LAC +14.0%

LAC +0.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	LAC	NBA	UTA	LAC	NBA
this game	15.2	14.3	15.4	98.0	110.3	104.1
season	16.0	15.6		104.6	109.0
opponent	15.7	15.1		102.8	105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	16.3	15.9	12.8	15.9	15.2
LAC	14.3	11.2	16.7	15.4	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Alec Burks	32	32	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.03	2	-13	15	12.1	16.7	-4.66	16.0	13.5	2.54
Al Jefferson	65	66	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.06	-2	-9	7	15.4	14.9	0.49	15.1	12.6	2.48
Paul Millsap	40	39	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	0.02	-5	-6	1	16.2	14.5	1.64	14.4	14.3	0.09
Jamaal Tinsley	54	54	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.07	-7	-4	-3	14.8	15.7	-0.91	14.7	13.9	0.80
Gordon Hayward	60	60	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.16	0	-11	11	13.5	17.9	-4.39	14.5	14.0	0.58
Enes Kanter	29	27	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.17	-6	-5	-1	15.7	15.0	0.64	14.0	14.5	-0.51
Earl Watson	44	43	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.24	-4	-7	3	15.7	14.8	0.91	13.9	14.7	-0.80
Randy Foye	57	57	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.09	-11	0	-11	16.1	14.0	2.15	13.4	15.6	-2.16
Derrick Favors	61	61	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.16	-9	-2	-7	14.4	16.6	-2.23	13.8	15.2	-1.33
DeMarre Carroll	48	46	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.06	-13	2	-15	18.1	12.4	5.72	13.7	14.9	-1.29

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Blake Griffin	50	51	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.04	13	-2	15	13.5	15.2	-1.75	17.1	13.2	3.87
Jamal Crawford	63	63	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.17	8	3	5	13.5	15.9	-2.39	14.7	16.2	-1.50
Chris Paul	71	72	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.07	8	3	5	14.1	14.8	-0.71	15.4	14.8	0.59
Ronny Turiaf	31	32	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.11	5	6	-1	14.6	14.2	0.37	14.2	15.7	-1.51
Willie Green	29	30	0.24	0.26	-0.02	-0.02	9	2	7	15.4	13.9	1.60	17.6	14.1	3.45
DeAndre Jordan	62	60	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.05	6	5	1	14.3	14.4	-0.06	15.1	15.3	-0.14
Eric Bledsoe	26	26	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.11	3	8	-5	14.8	14.1	0.71	14.8	15.4	-0.59
Matt Barnes	52	53	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.12	2	9	-7	15.3	13.2	2.19	14.3	16.3	-2.05
Caron Butler	51	51	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.07	3	8	-5	13.4	15.3	-1.94	15.2	15.2	0.02
Lamar Odom	50	52	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.17	-2	13	-15	15.3	13.3	2.08	14.3	16.2	-1.95

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.44,0.47,0.43,0.53,0.63,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.63,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.67,0.7,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.75,0.74,0.74,0.77,0.83,0.76,0.82,0.75,0.69,0.63,0.48,0.44,0.62,0.66,0.71,0.76,0.77,0.86,0.76,0.9,0.93,0.95,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 83, MIA 93	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.57,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.67,0.65,0.69,0.64,0.69,0.72,0.67,0.7,0.59,0.6,0.67,0.73,0.76,0.87,0.74,0.59,0.52,0.48,0.4,0.54,0.66,0.75,0.75,0.77,0.87,0.94,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.0%
ORL 89, MIA 100	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.44,0.45,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.66,0.62,0.67,0.68,0.71,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.59,0.7,0.71,0.68,0.61,0.7,0.73,0.69,0.65,0.62,0.63,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.7,0.79,0.76,0.73,0.76,0.81,0.87,0.95,0.99,1,1,1	93.6%
POR 79, PHI 90	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.63,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.63,0.68,0.64,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.7,0.66,0.72,0.69,0.76,0.73,0.71,0.63,0.66,0.63,0.56,0.64,0.62,0.72,0.79,0.87,0.88,0.79,0.8,0.88,0.97,0.97,1,1,1	93.5%