inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Atlanta Hawks 102 Excitement7.7 [294] MVPKyrie Irving (CLE): +19.9%
Cleveland Cavaliers 94 Comeback3.8 [486] LVPJosh Smith (ATL): -24.9%


Atlanta Hawks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jeff Teague0.180,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.09,0.18,0.18,0.180.130.05-0.011967%0.272-0.092100%0.01
Anthony Tolliver0.130,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.110.030.00781%0.1300.00250%-0.01
Kyle Korver0.130,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.130.070.05-0.01779%0.141-0.0100%0.00
John Jenkins0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.040.060.00383%0.1100.0000%0.00
Zaza Pachulia0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.10.050.060.00464%0.1000.00683%0.05
Al Horford0.010,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.01,0.01,0.010.04-0.000.021158%0.071-0.052100%0.00
Anthony Morrow-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Mike Scott-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.00-0.0020%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Louis Williams-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.080.00-0.08-0.001267%0.195-0.2700%0.00
Josh Smith-0.250,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25-0.20-0.06-0.011225%-0.145-0.11475%0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kyrie Irving0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.26,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.20.200.170.040.012070%0.231-0.0300%0.00
CJ Miles0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.040.070.00762%0.131-0.032100%0.01
Kevin Jones0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.000.001100%0.0200.0000%0.00
Tristan Thompson0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.00-0.00850%0.0200.0000%0.00
Daniel Gibson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.00-0.000.00150%0.0000.002100%0.01
Alonzo Gee0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.03-0.010.00942%-0.011-0.046100%0.04
Tyler Zeller0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.060.00-0.001150%0.044-0.102100%0.04
Luke Walton0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.05-0.050.00425%-0.081-0.0200%0.00
Jeremy Pargo0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.07-0.04-0.00425%-0.042-0.0700%0.00
Dion Waiters0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.2,-0.2-0.20-0.04-0.17-0.012141%-0.171-0.032100%0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game21.52.629.715.023.22.326.6120.8
league avg24.82.329.514.026.82.333.1134.3
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
ATL +75.7%
CLE -7.9%
ATL +4.2%
CLE -22.0%
ATL +0.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsATLCLENBAATLCLENBA
this game14.616.315.4108.5101.1104.1
season15.115.5102.6102.5
opponent15.215.5107.7102.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
ATL13.815.214.714.614.6
CLE16.216.115.317.516.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Zaza Pachulia52510.82-0.321.130.3217-92614.215.0-0.8916.016.6-0.66
Jeff Teague70700.57-0.070.630.2411-31414.215.6-1.4416.715.01.67
Al Horford65640.390.110.270.2744014.913.81.0516.914.82.13
Kyle Korver63620.240.26-0.020.30-210-1215.013.61.4015.917.1-1.21
Anthony Morrow13140.190.31-0.13-0.0580813.614.7-1.0917.116.10.96
Louis Williams80770.180.32-0.130.24-210-1215.012.22.7515.818.4-2.63
John Jenkins15150.170.33-0.160.0544014.214.6-0.4218.015.92.08
Mike Scott17170.150.35-0.19-0.0262415.614.31.2616.616.20.48
Anthony Tolliver41410.150.35-0.200.0053214.114.9-0.8116.116.4-0.29
Josh Smith5454-0.360.86-1.22-0.04-1119-3014.215.0-0.7815.617.1-1.50

Cleveland Cavaliers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kevin Jones880.25-0.751.00-0.0410-182813.916.5-2.6116.714.32.40
Alonzo Gee62610.25-0.750.99-0.0510-182816.415.90.5314.215.2-0.97
Tristan Thompson71700.05-0.550.61-0.095-131815.718.0-2.2214.714.00.69
Daniel Gibson1311-0.16-0.340.180.05-7-1-617.216.11.1313.914.6-0.73
Jeremy Pargo2020-0.23-0.270.030.09-113-1418.515.62.8612.715.0-2.29
Dion Waiters6871-0.26-0.24-0.01-0.322-101215.717.8-2.1615.312.32.92
Kyrie Irving7374-0.27-0.23-0.03-0.353-111415.618.5-2.8615.012.72.29
Luke Walton3738-0.49-0.01-0.48-0.05-157-2216.316.20.1113.315.4-2.03
Tyler Zeller7072-0.810.31-1.13-0.34-168-2417.013.93.1214.813.80.96
CJ Miles4345-0.830.33-1.16-0.21-2113-3416.615.90.6914.015.0-0.98


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.37,0.41,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.49,0.45,0.38,0.33,0.3,0.31,0.24,0.36,0.41,0.41,0.5,0.57,0.6,0.69,0.7,0.76,0.71,0.72,0.69,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.7,0.74,0.62,0.42,0.58,0.69,0.54,0.4,0.47,0.46,0.22,0.01,0
GameSimilarity Score
GSW 118, HOU 1130.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.53,0.45,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.44,0.41,0.34,0.39,0.41,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.61,0.52,0.68,0.62,0.59,0.52,0.48,0.6,0.73,0.78,0.71,0.62,0.63,0.53,0.54,0.46,0.55,0.16,0.15,0.04,090.4%
MIN 110, NJN 1070.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.31,0.37,0.35,0.36,0.39,0.33,0.41,0.49,0.48,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.62,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.4,0.54,0.48,0.57,0.62,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.33,0.45,0.29,0.16,090.2%
DET 92, MEM 890.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.44,0.37,0.34,0.29,0.38,0.4,0.37,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.46,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.52,0.64,0.61,0.52,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.57,0.77,0.53,0.65,0.61,0.54,0.37,0.1,0.04,090.1%