NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	99		Excitement	5.8 [614]		MVP	Dorell Wright (PHI): +26.2%
Memphis Grizzlies	89		Comeback	3.1 [101]		LVP	Evan Turner (PHI): -20.4%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dorell Wright	0.26	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.28	0.04	0.06	11	93%	0.26	0	0.00	8	87%	0.02
Nick Young	0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.11	0.10	0.00	7	80%	0.21	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Thaddeus Young	0.12	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.06	0.02	-0.04	10	59%	0.12	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Royal Ivey	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.06	0.04	0.02	3	100%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Spencer Hawes	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	-0.00	0.02	14	62%	0.10	3	-0.09	4	50%	-0.02
Lavoy Allen	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.06	-0.04	0.01	6	37%	-0.05	2	-0.06	4	50%	-0.02
Jrue Holiday	-0.14	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.05	-0.05	16	38%	-0.03	5	-0.11	2	100%	0.01
Evan Turner	-0.20	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.19	-0.05	-0.04	4	10%	-0.06	6	-0.14	2	50%	-0.01

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marreese Speights	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	4	50%	0.02	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.04
Zach Randolph	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.09	0.01	0.08	18	61%	0.08	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Darrell Arthur	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.09,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	-0.01	-0.01	6	57%	0.06	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Quincy Pondexter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	0.01	10	54%	0.03	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.03
Marc Gasol	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	-0.00	15	60%	0.10	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Wayne Ellington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	6	17%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.04	-0.04	0.01	8	37%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jerryd Bayless	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.08	-0.03	0.00	6	17%	-0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mike Conley	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.16	-0.05	-0.01	17	27%	-0.15	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.7	1.8	30.8	15.8	23.1	2.5	32.3	129.0
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +72.4%

MEM -1.7%

MEM -13.3%

MEM -5.2%

MEM -2.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	MEM	NBA	PHI	MEM	NBA
this game	14.9	17.3	15.4	110.0	100.0	104.1
season	15.5	16.5		100.5	102.9
opponent	15.5	15.7		99.1	104.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	16.4	14.0	14.3	15.0	14.9
MEM	17.0	16.7	19.3	16.3	17.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Spencer Hawes	59	57	0.78	-0.28	1.06	0.08	24	-14	38	14.4	15.9	-1.53	17.5	16.9	0.55
Nick Young	37	38	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.11	9	1	8	16.2	14.0	2.28	16.3	18.0	-1.66
Dorell Wright	68	67	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.06	10	0	10	14.0	17.8	-3.86	17.6	16.4	1.17
Jrue Holiday	72	70	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.13	6	4	2	14.4	17.1	-2.69	17.1	17.9	-0.83
Evan Turner	77	75	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.18	3	7	-4	15.0	14.1	0.96	17.3	17.1	0.18
Thaddeus Young	71	69	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.19	2	8	-6	14.2	17.5	-3.26	17.3	17.1	0.25
Royal Ivey	18	19	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.07	4	6	-2	17.1	14.4	2.69	17.9	17.1	0.83
Lavoy Allen	48	50	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	0.20	-8	18	-26	16.6	12.9	3.74	17.3	17.3	-0.03

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marreese Speights	18	18	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.04	0	-10	10	17.1	17.3	-0.23	16.8	14.4	2.35
Jerryd Bayless	22	23	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.07	0	-10	10	17.1	17.4	-0.27	15.8	14.6	1.19
Tony Allen	50	49	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.09	-1	-9	8	18.0	16.3	1.71	15.1	14.7	0.40
Darrell Arthur	29	27	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	0.03	-8	-2	-6	17.0	17.4	-0.43	17.0	14.0	3.05
Zach Randolph	60	63	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.23	-2	-8	6	17.4	17.0	0.43	14.0	17.0	-3.05
Quincy Pondexter	72	75	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.20	-6	-4	-2	17.2	17.5	-0.29	14.9	15.0	-0.12
Mike Conley	67	67	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.14	-10	0	-10	17.4	17.1	0.27	14.6	15.8	-1.19
Marc Gasol	71	72	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.16	-10	0	-10	17.3	17.1	0.23	14.4	16.8	-2.35
Wayne Ellington	56	56	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	-0.12	-13	3	-16	16.7	18.3	-1.61	14.8	15.1	-0.35

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.6,0.58,0.57,0.53,0.56,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.68,0.73,0.66,0.61,0.56,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.35,0.4,0.45,0.31,0.3,0.28,0.3,0.34,0.29,0.13,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.01,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 97, SAS 88	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.59,0.53,0.55,0.66,0.68,0.65,0.58,0.66,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.65,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.56,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.45,0.39,0.33,0.39,0.35,0.41,0.41,0.34,0.37,0.31,0.22,0.19,0.18,0.13,0.15,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.01,0,0.01,0,0	95.0%
CHI 109, HOU 94	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.64,0.59,0.61,0.57,0.47,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.51,0.59,0.64,0.56,0.56,0.49,0.54,0.5,0.43,0.45,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.32,0.31,0.31,0.24,0.37,0.36,0.3,0.34,0.21,0.09,0.05,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.3%
POR 99, MIA 87	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.63,0.71,0.69,0.64,0.64,0.63,0.56,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.5,0.48,0.4,0.36,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.32,0.28,0.3,0.23,0.29,0.19,0.18,0.14,0.09,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0	94.0%