inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Memphis Grizzlies 96 Excitement4.0 [1036] MVPJames Harden (HOU): +29.5%
Houston Rockets 121 Comeback1.3 [674] LVPRudy Gay (MEM): -9.2%


Memphis Grizzlies
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Mike Conley0.040,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.06-0.010.001262%0.071-0.032100%0.01
Quincy Pondexter0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03-0.01-0.00-0.051354%0.043-0.0100%0.00
Tony Allen0.030,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.05-0.010.01861%0.0300.00250%-0.01
Zach Randolph0.030,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.000.01862%0.041-0.0100%0.00
Marreese Speights0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.00475%0.0210.0000%0.00
Darrell Arthur0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.01-0.00-0.02850%0.031-0.0200%0.00
Wayne Ellington0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.000.000.00250%0.0100.0000%0.00
Hamed Haddadi0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.00-0.001100%0.0010.0000%0.00
Marc Gasol-0.000,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.010.000.01761%0.052-0.05475%-0.01
Josh Selby-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.050.00-0.04442%-0.0120.00475%-0.00
Jerryd Bayless-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.09-0.00-0.05636%-0.023-0.02250%-0.00
Rudy Gay-0.090,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.07-0.03-0.01650%0.014-0.1000%0.00

Houston Rockets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
James Harden0,0,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.25,0.25,0.26,0.24,0.26,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.290.290.210.06-0.021382%0.343-0.041283%0.02
Marcus Morris0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.170.020.07894%0.1100.001100%0.00
Carlos Delfino0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.060.01-0.00961%0.0800.0000%0.00
Jeremy Lin0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.010.00-0.001254%0.042-0.034100%0.00
Greg Smith0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.06-0.000.05683%0.0110.0000%0.00
Daequan Cook0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.000.00-0.001100%0.0010.0000%0.00
Donatas Motiejunas0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.010.000.01250%0.0000.00250%0.00
Scott Machado0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.021100%0.0020.0000%0.00
Cole Aldrich0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.040.00-0.0410%0.0010.0000%0.00
Toney Douglas0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.020.00-0.011337%-0.0000.001100%0.00
Omer Asik0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.01-0.01-0.01-0.00958%0.063-0.07667%-0.01
Chandler Parsons0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.03-0.010.01750%0.012-0.0500%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.82.725.415.628.52.428.4126.7
league avg24.82.329.514.026.82.333.1134.3
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
HOU +25.1%
HOU +13.7%
HOU +10.8%
HOU +1.0%
MEM -0.6%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMEMHOUNBAMEMHOUNBA
this game16.412.715.497.0122.2104.1
season16.514.2102.9107.9
opponent15.415.5105.099.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MEM17.216.716.415.316.4
HOU12.112.812.413.512.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Marreese Speights32330.11-0.610.71-0.045-303514.117.5-3.3514.711.73.00
Hamed Haddadi10100.00-0.500.500.03-1-242312.216.9-4.6712.112.8-0.66
Wayne Ellington1111-0.04-0.460.420.02-2-232117.616.21.4014.912.42.49
Josh Selby3131-0.06-0.440.380.23-10-15514.517.3-2.7812.212.9-0.78
Quincy Pondexter5858-0.12-0.380.260.23-12-13115.417.8-2.4513.411.71.73
Jerryd Bayless4646-0.23-0.270.040.30-18-7-1115.217.4-2.1612.512.8-0.33
Zach Randolph5453-0.27-0.23-0.050.20-16-9-717.515.12.4311.913.6-1.70
Darrell Arthur4748-0.29-0.21-0.070.21-17-8-915.916.8-0.9113.012.40.55
Tony Allen3837-0.30-0.20-0.11-0.01-10-15517.815.52.3512.013.1-1.11
Mike Conley5657-0.35-0.15-0.20-0.05-10-15517.415.12.3412.612.9-0.32
Rudy Gay5757-0.40-0.10-0.30-0.02-13-12-117.215.31.8812.612.9-0.32
Marc Gasol5554-0.550.05-0.590.07-21-4-1717.814.63.1612.113.4-1.29

Houston Rockets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Omer Asik47480.460.040.42-0.071871111.813.5-1.7317.914.93.00
James Harden63630.430.070.360.021411312.013.9-1.9216.616.00.58
Carlos Delfino55550.410.090.31-0.242231912.912.50.4016.016.9-0.89
Chandler Parsons62620.370.130.24-0.041411312.013.8-1.7816.915.51.41
Jeremy Lin68690.350.150.20-0.181871113.211.51.7217.613.73.91
Marcus Morris61610.220.28-0.06-0.131213-113.411.61.8617.614.53.12
Toney Douglas57560.220.28-0.06-0.28178912.912.40.5515.417.6-2.18
Greg Smith42410.040.46-0.42-0.14619-1313.911.82.0215.616.9-1.34
Daequan Cook10100.000.50-0.50-0.03124-2312.112.8-0.6612.216.9-4.67
Donatas Motiejunas10100.000.50-0.50-0.03124-2312.112.8-0.6612.216.9-4.67
Scott Machado10100.000.50-0.50-0.03124-2312.112.8-0.6612.216.9-4.67
Cole Aldrich10100.000.50-0.50-0.03124-2312.112.8-0.6612.216.9-4.67


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.47,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.59,0.66,0.61,0.61,0.65,0.75,0.78,0.8,0.72,0.72,0.75,0.86,0.87,0.83,0.89,0.9,0.89,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
LAC 77, CLE 940.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.46,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.47,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.72,0.82,0.8,0.79,0.8,0.78,0.78,0.86,0.82,0.87,0.86,0.89,0.8,0.88,0.94,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.9%
TOR 93, DEN 1120.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.71,0.7,0.72,0.8,0.81,0.82,0.8,0.89,0.88,0.82,0.83,0.87,0.85,0.95,0.91,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.7%
ORL 91, DET 1130.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.57,0.57,0.54,0.53,0.57,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.67,0.67,0.73,0.79,0.72,0.75,0.73,0.79,0.91,0.88,0.89,0.93,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.95,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,195.7%