NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	91		Excitement	6.4 [517]		MVP	Alan Anderson (TOR): +19.9%
Toronto Raptors	97		Comeback	1.4 [780]		LVP	Brandon Knight (DET): -26.0%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Greg Monroe	0.15	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0,0.03,0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.14,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.19	0.02	0.06	22	67%	0.19	1	-0.04	8	87%	0.02
Tayshaun Prince	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.01	6	56%	0.05	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Charlie Villanueva	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	10	40%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Singler	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.01	0.01	9	45%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Rodney Stuckey	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.02	-0.02	12	45%	0.08	3	-0.10	5	40%	-0.04
Jason Maxiell	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	6	37%	-0.01	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
Andre Drummond	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	3	46%	0.01	1	-0.04	7	29%	-0.10
Austin Daye	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.04	-0.03	6	25%	-0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Knight	-0.26	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.21,-0.21,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26	-0.16	-0.10	-0.00	10	10%	-0.19	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Alan Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.16,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.2	0.20	0.07	0.12	-0.00	11	55%	0.20	0	0.00	7	71%	-0.03
DeMar DeRozan	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.14,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.10	0.02	-0.01	19	57%	0.13	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Ed Davis	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.03	-0.00	7	69%	0.09	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Terrence Ross	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.02	0.00	6	75%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mickael Pietrus	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	3	87%	0.07	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jonas Valanciunas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	-0.01	0.01	6	86%	0.09	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Jose Calderon	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.05	0.06	-0.02	8	41%	0.06	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Amir Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.02	0.02	1	83%	0.04	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.02
John Lucas III	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	5	20%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Linas Kleiza	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.05	0.01	6	36%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.3	2.6	29.1	14.7	26.6	2.4	42.6	140.3
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +50.4%

TOR +4.7%

DET -35.0%

TOR +23.1%

TOR +6.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	TOR	NBA	DET	TOR	NBA
this game	18.6	17.4	15.4	113.8	121.2	104.1
season	15.7	16.1		102.3	104.4
opponent	15.3	15.5		105.8	106.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	20.8	19.6	20.6	14.1	18.6
TOR	16.2	16.4	18.3	18.6	17.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brandon Knight	62	62	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.22	3	-9	12	17.9	21.2	-3.31	17.1	18.6	-1.49
Greg Monroe	58	59	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.29	3	-9	12	17.8	20.6	-2.75	17.1	18.4	-1.33
Austin Daye	26	24	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.09	-4	-2	-2	20.0	17.9	2.13	17.6	17.3	0.32
Jason Maxiell	33	34	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.01	-7	1	-8	19.9	17.7	2.23	17.8	17.1	0.63
Andre Drummond	34	33	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.12	-4	-2	-2	20.3	17.3	2.95	17.0	17.7	-0.73
Tayshaun Prince	54	56	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.23	-2	-4	2	17.9	20.0	-2.13	17.3	17.6	-0.32
Charlie Villanueva	35	34	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.29	-2	-4	2	17.0	19.9	-2.90	18.1	16.9	1.15
Rodney Stuckey	51	51	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.30	-3	-3	0	17.9	19.8	-1.93	16.6	18.8	-2.24
Kyle Singler	47	47	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.07	-14	8	-22	20.3	16.1	4.22	18.7	15.5	3.21

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Alan Anderson	46	46	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.30	5	1	4	17.0	18.0	-0.99	17.1	20.6	-3.46
Jose Calderon	61	62	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.18	7	-1	8	17.0	18.8	-1.82	18.0	20.8	-2.81
Amir Johnson	37	39	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.18	7	-1	8	15.5	19.0	-3.46	18.3	18.9	-0.52
Terrence Ross	17	16	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.12	5	1	4	18.2	17.2	1.06	21.9	17.8	4.17
Linas Kleiza	35	36	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.29	-1	7	-8	17.1	17.6	-0.51	16.6	20.3	-3.72
Ed Davis	45	44	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.04	7	-1	8	17.6	17.1	0.51	20.3	16.6	3.72
DeMar DeRozan	63	64	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.21	1	5	-4	17.2	18.2	-1.06	17.8	21.9	-4.17
Jonas Valanciunas	43	41	0.12	0.38	-0.27	0.21	-3	9	-12	19.0	15.5	3.46	18.9	18.3	0.52
John Lucas III	19	18	0.11	0.39	-0.27	0.08	1	5	-4	18.8	17.0	1.82	20.8	18.0	2.81
Mickael Pietrus	34	34	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.02	1	5	-4	18.0	17.0	0.99	20.6	17.1	3.46

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.47,0.45,0.46,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.64,0.5,0.48,0.58,0.58,0.48,0.48,0.58,0.62,0.69,0.66,0.63,0.72,0.62,0.7,0.79,0.76,0.7,0.86,0.97,0.97,0.9,0.89,0.95,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 95, GSW 107	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.5,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.45,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.65,0.62,0.63,0.67,0.71,0.58,0.78,0.71,0.72,0.8,0.83,0.91,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.4%
CHI 85, MIA 96	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.55,0.56,0.57,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.54,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.62,0.69,0.73,0.74,0.75,0.62,0.62,0.75,0.71,0.77,0.79,0.85,0.99,0.98,1,0.99,1,1	94.2%
MIL 81, PHX 86	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.58,0.6,0.52,0.48,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.55,0.66,0.6,0.68,0.66,0.74,0.75,0.79,0.68,0.79,0.85,0.91,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.98,1	94.0%