NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	77		Excitement	3.3 [1155]		MVP	Tayshaun Prince (DET): +8.7%
Detroit Pistons	117		Comeback	1.3 [862]		LVP	Michael Beasley (PHX): -15.1%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Markieff Morris	0.01	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.03	11	45%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Johnson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	8	44%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luis Scola	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	12	41%	0.00	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Luke Zeller	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	40%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kendall Marshall	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	6	58%	0.00	3	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shannon Brown	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	0.01	4	45%	-0.00	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.02
Sebastian Telfair	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
PJ Tucker	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.07	-0.00	-0.05	3	20%	-0.02	1	0.00	4	50%	0.00
Jermaine O'Neal	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Goran Dragic	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	0.03	7	56%	-0.01	2	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Jared Dudley	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	7	44%	-0.01	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.00
Marcin Gortat	-0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.01	0.01	6	37%	-0.03	3	-0.07	4	100%	0.02
Michael Beasley	-0.15	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.14	-0.02	-0.01	6	17%	-0.07	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tayshaun Prince	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.09	0.01	0.01	5	75%	0.09	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Corey Maggette	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.00	0.00	5	80%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charlie Villanueva	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.19	0.00	0.12	8	100%	0.06	1	0.00	3	33%	-0.03
Rodney Stuckey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.10	0.00	0.05	8	67%	0.05	0	0.00	11	91%	0.01
Jason Maxiell	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	-0.01	6	64%	0.05	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Andre Drummond	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.05	7	37%	0.02	1	0.00	2	0%	-0.00
Kim English	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	3	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Austin Daye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	4	25%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Will Bynum	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Singler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	0.03	12	46%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Brandon Knight	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.04	-0.00	0.09	11	66%	0.00	3	-0.05	7	86%	0.01
Greg Monroe	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.01	0.03	7	56%	-0.02	4	-0.08	2	50%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	1.8	30.3	17.6	31.1	2.7	26.2	133.9
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +36.9%

DET +1.2%

PHX -5.7%

DET +14.8%

DET +2.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	DET	NBA	PHX	DET	NBA
this game	15.5	15.0	15.4	81.9	123.2	104.1
season	15.2	15.7		99.7	102.3
opponent	15.5	15.1		106.6	106.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	15.5	19.0	16.2	12.0	15.5
DET	16.5	14.5	13.3	15.7	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luke Zeller	20	20	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.50	-17	-23	6	10.9	16.7	-5.78	15.1	14.9	0.15
Wesley Johnson	35	35	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.43	-15	-25	10	12.5	17.3	-4.71	15.3	14.8	0.53
Kendall Marshall	35	34	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.40	-14	-26	12	12.9	17.0	-4.07	15.5	14.7	0.81
Jared Dudley	35	36	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.14	-7	-33	26	14.4	16.1	-1.71	16.6	14.0	2.54
Jermaine O'Neal	28	30	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	0.04	-5	-35	30	17.2	14.8	2.39	15.2	14.9	0.37
PJ Tucker	53	54	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.62	-28	-12	-16	14.8	16.4	-1.58	15.0	15.0	0.01
Luis Scola	37	38	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.17	-13	-27	14	17.3	14.3	2.96	16.0	14.3	1.66
Sebastian Telfair	26	27	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	0.18	-14	-26	12	17.9	14.6	3.35	14.9	15.0	-0.13
Goran Dragic	32	32	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	0.07	-11	-29	18	16.5	15.0	1.52	14.4	15.3	-0.86
Markieff Morris	53	53	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	0.58	-30	-10	-20	15.7	15.2	0.54	14.2	16.0	-1.83
Shannon Brown	41	41	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.05	-12	-28	16	16.4	14.8	1.58	15.0	15.0	-0.01
Marcin Gortat	40	39	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	0.08	-16	-24	8	16.6	14.7	1.91	14.3	15.4	-1.14
Michael Beasley	35	36	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.11	-18	-22	4	17.1	14.5	2.57	13.7	15.7	-1.98

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tayshaun Prince	57	58	0.39	0.11	0.29	-0.28	23	17	6	14.7	15.4	-0.69	17.2	12.7	4.46
Kyle Singler	62	61	0.37	0.13	0.23	-0.19	19	21	-2	14.6	15.7	-1.05	16.3	14.0	2.26
Greg Monroe	54	53	0.32	0.18	0.15	-0.12	15	25	-10	15.0	15.0	0.01	16.4	14.3	2.10
Charlie Villanueva	42	42	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.62	32	8	24	15.2	14.8	0.38	14.6	16.2	-1.68
Rodney Stuckey	46	45	0.31	0.19	0.13	-0.33	22	18	4	15.4	14.6	0.80	17.4	13.7	3.73
Corey Maggette	28	27	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.03	11	29	-18	15.6	14.7	0.84	17.9	14.5	3.35
Jason Maxiell	44	43	0.25	0.25	-0.01	-0.11	12	28	-16	14.6	15.3	-0.64	16.6	14.6	1.95
Brandon Knight	47	49	0.14	0.36	-0.23	-0.57	24	16	8	14.4	15.6	-1.18	15.3	15.8	-0.49
Andre Drummond	50	50	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.51	21	19	2	15.1	14.8	0.26	14.4	16.7	-2.35
Kim English	12	11	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	40	-40	17.0	14.7	2.31	7.8	16.5	-8.70
Austin Daye	17	16	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.32	11	29	-18	15.2	14.9	0.24	9.2	16.8	-7.61
Will Bynum	16	15	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.29	10	30	-20	15.2	14.9	0.25	8.7	16.8	-8.13

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.43,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.7,0.7,0.78,0.79,0.79,0.78,0.8,0.79,0.86,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 65, NYK 89	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.63,0.68,0.74,0.74,0.77,0.75,0.8,0.86,0.9,0.92,0.89,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.3%
DAL 99, GSW 108	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.45,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.5,0.45,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.68,0.73,0.78,0.84,0.81,0.78,0.8,0.86,0.88,0.87,0.91,0.9,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.1%
CHI 71, SAC 105	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.48,0.49,0.58,0.62,0.58,0.59,0.66,0.69,0.78,0.82,0.81,0.84,0.88,0.91,0.91,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.8%