NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Bobcats	91		Excitement	7.7 [306]		MVP	Ben Gordon (CHA): +37.8%
Atlanta Hawks	94		Comeback	2.2 [633]		LVP	Ramon Sessions (CHA): -21.1%

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ben Gordon	0.38	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.19,0.26,0.27,0.27,0.25,0.27,0.22,0.38	0.24	0.16	0.02	11	96%	0.45	2	-0.07	5	100%	0.03
Jeff Taylor	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	4	75%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Williams	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Byron Mullens	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.04	-0.06	9	45%	-0.02	2	-0.01	4	75%	-0.01
DeSagana Diop	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brendan Haywood	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	3	67%	0.01	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Bismack Biyombo	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	6	40%	0.00	2	-0.07	3	67%	0.00
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.00	9	33%	-0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Kemba Walker	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	15	42%	-0.02	2	-0.06	6	83%	0.01
Ramon Sessions	-0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.21	-0.04	-0.17	-0.00	17	46%	0.03	3	-0.24	5	80%	-0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Louis Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.15	0.15	0.06	0.09	-0.00	16	53%	0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al Horford	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09	0.09	0.01	0.08	-0.01	15	52%	0.13	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.04
Josh Smith	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.07	0.07	-0.01	0.07	-0.01	15	49%	0.11	2	-0.04	5	60%	-0.01
Anthony Morrow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.02	5	67%	0.05	1	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jeff Teague	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.03	-0.03	10	55%	0.07	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Devin Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	7	44%	0.03	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Zaza Pachulia	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.12,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.01	0.00	7	35%	-0.01	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Kyle Korver	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	10	40%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeShawn Stevenson	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	5	30%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.7	1.6	25.5	15.3	29.1	1.4	41.5	137.0
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +6.6%

CHA -5.8%

ATL +5.2%

ATL +41.4%

ATL +2.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	ATL	NBA	CHA	ATL	NBA
this game	15.4	16.3	15.4	100.0	103.3	104.1
season	15.6	15.1		99.9	102.6
opponent	15.5	15.4		102.8	109.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	17.2	15.8	14.9	13.6	15.4
ATL	15.5	18.6	13.9	17.5	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	45	42	0.19	-0.69	0.88	0.01	6	-9	15	16.2	14.6	1.61	16.7	16.0	0.71
DeSagana Diop	11	11	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.01	-2	-1	-1	16.2	15.2	0.93	17.1	16.2	0.92
Reggie Williams	1	1	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.06	-2	-1	-1	4.0	15.5	-11.49	0.0	16.5	-16.47
Bismack Biyombo	49	50	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.42	7	-10	17	15.1	15.7	-0.65	16.4	16.1	0.25
Brendan Haywood	64	64	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.22	-2	-1	-1	16.2	13.4	2.73	16.6	15.5	1.09
Byron Mullens	57	56	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.12	-7	4	-11	14.8	16.4	-1.63	15.9	16.8	-0.88
Ben Gordon	50	50	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.47	5	-8	13	14.2	16.8	-2.54	16.8	15.6	1.23
Jeff Taylor	41	43	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	0.05	-16	13	-29	17.4	13.7	3.65	15.7	16.8	-1.11
Kemba Walker	72	73	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.32	-5	2	-7	15.3	15.7	-0.41	15.6	18.9	-3.31
Ramon Sessions	65	65	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.50	1	-4	5	14.5	17.5	-2.99	16.7	15.2	1.58

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Devin Harris	46	45	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.49	1	2	-1	16.7	15.8	0.92	14.3	16.4	-2.08
Al Horford	78	78	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.36	5	-2	7	16.5	15.2	1.32	15.9	11.8	4.10
Louis Williams	57	57	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.35	5	-2	7	16.1	16.6	-0.44	14.5	16.8	-2.24
Jeff Teague	53	52	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.28	4	-1	5	16.4	16.1	0.26	15.8	14.8	0.95
Josh Smith	73	72	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.31	2	1	1	15.3	20.3	-4.98	15.1	16.3	-1.20
Zaza Pachulia	38	39	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.28	0	3	-3	17.4	15.5	1.90	14.6	15.9	-1.26
Kyle Korver	42	43	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.01	8	-5	13	15.7	16.8	-1.02	17.2	13.7	3.41
Anthony Morrow	30	30	0.05	0.45	-0.41	0.07	-1	4	-5	17.3	15.8	1.46	14.6	15.7	-1.14
DeShawn Stevenson	38	39	-0.33	0.83	-1.16	-0.06	-9	12	-21	16.1	16.5	-0.40	15.9	15.0	0.89

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.59,0.57,0.61,0.62,0.6,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.67,0.58,0.56,0.49,0.41,0.38,0.42,0.41,0.49,0.42,0.46,0.37,0.36,0.52,0.68,0.65,0.76,0.63,0.63,0.75,0.74,0.66,0.7,0.86,0.85,0.89,0.85,0.91,0.93,0.97,0.86,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 75, PHI 82	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.59,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.6,0.56,0.49,0.41,0.41,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.34,0.37,0.48,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.68,0.66,0.7,0.7,0.83,0.91,0.92,0.88,0.91,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.99,1	93.5%
CLE 83, ATL 94	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.56,0.59,0.64,0.68,0.69,0.64,0.56,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.46,0.46,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.69,0.73,0.71,0.75,0.78,0.74,0.66,0.76,0.77,0.89,0.94,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1	93.1%
PHI 86, SAS 102	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.6,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.56,0.44,0.51,0.41,0.37,0.38,0.37,0.36,0.39,0.45,0.48,0.65,0.69,0.63,0.74,0.75,0.74,0.7,0.79,0.84,0.93,0.92,0.92,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	92.9%