NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	101		Excitement	7.5 [325]		MVP	Jrue Holiday (PHI): +38.7%
Philadelphia 76ers	104		Comeback	1.7 [770]		LVP	Shannon Brown (PHX): -10.9%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marcin Gortat	0.18	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.11,0.14,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.09	0.08	-0.01	11	67%	0.21	2	-0.03	5	80%	0.01
Sebastian Telfair	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.05	0.04	0.00	8	67%	0.14	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Markieff Morris	0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08	0.00	0.08	0.00	9	44%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jermaine O'Neal	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.04	0.00	9	52%	0.07	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.02
Luis Scola	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	9	45%	0.01	0	0.00	4	100%	0.04
Jared Dudley	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0	0.03	-0.03	0.00	6	58%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Beasley	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0	0.07	-0.06	0.01	13	68%	0.09	3	-0.10	5	100%	0.06
Goran Dragic	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	10	50%	0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
PJ Tucker	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Shannon Brown	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.09	-0.03	-0.01	7	27%	-0.05	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.01

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jrue Holiday	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.23,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.25,0.26,0.2,0.25,0.24,0.24,0.39	0.39	0.17	0.21	-0.01	21	66%	0.45	2	-0.06	8	75%	-0.02
Jason Richardson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.16	0.16	0.04	0.12	-0.00	7	57%	0.16	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lavoy Allen	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.06	0.08	0.00	9	58%	0.14	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Thaddeus Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.05	0.05	-0.02	7	62%	0.12	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.04
Dorell Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.06	0.04	-0.00	4	62%	0.10	0	0.00	5	100%	0.04
Maalik Wayns	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	-0.00	-0.01	7	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damien Wilkins	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Spencer Hawes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	5	60%	0.04	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Evan Turner	0,0,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.03,0,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	0.03	13	50%	0.04	2	-0.06	6	83%	0.01
Kwame Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	2	40%	0.02	1	-0.05	1	0%	-0.02
Arnett Moultrie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nick Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	4	37%	0.02	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.0	1.8	31.2	15.8	28.1	2.5	36.3	138.7
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +64.6%

PHX -14.8%

PHX -3.2%

PHI +6.3%

PHX -3.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	PHI	NBA	PHX	PHI	NBA
this game	16.0	15.1	15.4	111.0	110.6	104.1
season	15.2	15.5		99.7	100.5
opponent	15.7	15.1		104.2	106.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	14.3	19.8	16.3	14.2	16.0
PHI	16.2	14.8	13.1	16.5	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
PJ Tucker	29	28	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.18	4	-7	11	16.0	16.0	-0.03	16.0	14.8	1.21
Jared Dudley	47	46	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.32	5	-8	13	15.5	16.6	-1.15	15.9	14.4	1.47
Shannon Brown	43	47	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.02	-6	3	-9	16.8	15.3	1.55	14.4	15.8	-1.43
Luis Scola	41	40	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.20	-1	-2	1	16.1	16.0	0.09	16.0	14.4	1.62
Goran Dragic	57	61	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.18	-2	-1	-1	15.8	16.3	-0.48	14.5	16.3	-1.87
Jermaine O'Neal	42	42	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.39	5	-8	13	15.2	16.7	-1.46	16.3	14.2	2.07
Marcin Gortat	49	52	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.02	-8	5	-13	16.7	15.2	1.46	14.2	16.3	-2.07
Markieff Morris	50	54	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.21	-2	-1	-1	16.0	16.1	-0.09	14.4	16.0	-1.62
Sebastian Telfair	35	34	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.30	-3	0	-3	16.1	16.0	0.06	16.3	14.5	1.80
Michael Beasley	62	66	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.23	-7	4	-11	16.0	16.0	0.03	14.8	16.0	-1.21

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jrue Holiday	78	74	0.79	-0.29	1.08	0.47	11	-8	19	14.7	17.1	-2.42	15.9	16.6	-0.77
Thaddeus Young	72	68	0.76	-0.26	1.03	0.44	11	-8	19	14.6	16.8	-2.16	16.2	15.5	0.67
Jason Richardson	65	64	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.35	5	-2	7	14.7	16.0	-1.23	17.1	13.6	3.51
Evan Turner	63	62	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.31	2	1	1	14.8	15.7	-0.93	15.5	17.1	-1.59
Lavoy Allen	50	51	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.21	2	1	1	15.6	14.6	0.99	15.7	16.4	-0.63
Dorell Wright	41	39	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.13	-2	5	-7	14.7	15.4	-0.68	15.7	16.2	-0.53
Kwame Brown	11	12	0.04	0.46	-0.42	-0.02	2	1	1	14.5	15.2	-0.65	14.8	16.2	-1.37
Damien Wilkins	1	0	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	3	-3	2.0	15.3	-13.26	0.0	16.0	-16.02
Nick Young	25	24	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.06	-3	6	-9	16.7	14.6	2.13	13.6	16.9	-3.31
Spencer Hawes	39	37	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	0.05	-3	6	-9	15.6	14.7	0.90	17.0	15.4	1.60
Maalik Wayns	12	12	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.01	-4	7	-11	17.4	14.8	2.64	18.3	15.7	2.66
Arnett Moultrie	13	12	-0.13	0.63	-0.77	0.04	-6	9	-15	18.0	14.7	3.35	16.0	16.0	-0.03

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.55,0.61,0.58,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.57,0.49,0.47,0.58,0.54,0.57,0.51,0.44,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.37,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.55,0.61,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.63,0.6,0.79,0.7,0.57,0.52,0.48,0.77,0.7,0.85,0.87,0.81,0.93,0.9,0.73,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 92, BOS 98	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.57,0.59,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.57,0.55,0.49,0.4,0.38,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.52,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.74,0.72,0.58,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.77,0.78,0.84,0.78,0.93,0.96,0.99,0.95,1	92.6%
CHI 93, MIN 99	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.4,0.4,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.5,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.53,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.63,0.68,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.81,0.79,0.81,0.87,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.99,1	92.0%
SAS 81, SAC 86	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.61,0.61,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.46,0.49,0.41,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.62,0.58,0.55,0.42,0.58,0.58,0.48,0.52,0.59,0.67,0.64,0.74,0.62,0.52,0.72,0.77,0.69,0.76,0.73,0.68,0.78,0.9,0.91,1	92.0%