NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	95		Excitement	6.4 [511]		MVP	Wesley Matthews (POR): +23.4%
Portland Trail Blazers	103		Comeback	3.4 [430]		LVP	Jose Juan Barea (MIN): -13.1%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Love	0.12	0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.12	0.04	0.05	-0.03	15	52%	0.15	1	-0.03	16	75%	-0.02
Luke Ridnour	0.05	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05	0.06	0.00	0.02	10	61%	0.05	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.04
Malcolm Lee	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	4	87%	0.08	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Josh Howard	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.02	0.00	8	62%	0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Dante Cunningham	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Andrei Kirilenko	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	9	45%	0.02	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Lou Amundson	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.03	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Alexey Shved	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	5	33%	-0.05	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Nikola Pekovic	-0.12	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12	-0.05	-0.05	0.02	13	47%	-0.02	3	-0.10	12	83%	0.01
Jose Juan Barea	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.10	-0.04	-0.01	7	29%	-0.04	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wesley Matthews	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.24,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.22	0.02	-0.00	17	83%	0.31	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.02
Damian Lillard	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.13,0.16,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.21	0.07	0.05	17	74%	0.22	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Ronnie Price	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.04	0.00	3	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sasha Pavlovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	1	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jared Jeffries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00	1	40%	0.01	0	0.00	3	0%	-0.06
LaMarcus Aldridge	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	13	45%	0.02	2	-0.04	3	33%	-0.02
Luke Babbitt	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
JJ Hickson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	0.02	10	58%	0.02	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.03
Meyers Leonard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Nicolas Batum	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.1,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.09	0.03	-0.03	10	41%	0.07	4	-0.11	2	100%	0.02
Will Barton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.4	2.6	26.2	14.7	32.1	1.7	28.2	127.9
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +66.9%

MIN -17.9%

MIN -13.8%

POR +14.6%

POR +0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	POR	NBA	MIN	POR	NBA
this game	14.9	16.5	15.4	103.3	113.2	104.1
season	15.6	15.8		101.3	104.3
opponent	15.3	14.9		107.6	103.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	14.1	16.2	14.8	14.7	14.9
POR	17.2	15.8	14.6	18.7	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Malcolm Lee	35	36	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.03	3	-11	14	15.5	14.6	0.83	16.2	16.7	-0.52
Luke Ridnour	62	62	0.00	-0.50	0.51	-0.17	6	-14	20	14.5	15.8	-1.22	17.4	14.8	2.56
Lou Amundson	15	16	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.08	-1	-7	6	17.1	14.5	2.61	15.6	16.7	-1.18
Andrei Kirilenko	66	66	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.14	0	-8	8	14.6	15.8	-1.26	17.4	14.3	3.06
Nikola Pekovic	61	62	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.16	0	-8	8	15.4	14.1	1.23	16.8	15.9	0.94
Kevin Love	69	68	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.17	-2	-6	4	14.2	17.2	-3.03	16.9	15.4	1.48
Alexey Shved	35	32	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.08	-8	0	-8	15.0	14.9	0.13	14.9	17.4	-2.52
Dante Cunningham	39	36	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.12	-13	5	-18	14.8	15.1	-0.26	15.7	17.1	-1.30
Jose Juan Barea	35	34	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	-0.22	-10	2	-12	15.3	14.7	0.59	16.2	16.8	-0.58
Josh Howard	43	43	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.15	-15	7	-22	15.3	14.7	0.63	15.8	17.2	-1.33

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Wesley Matthews	75	75	0.54	-0.04	0.59	0.10	15	-7	22	16.3	17.5	-1.17	15.3	13.5	1.81
Sasha Pavlovic	22	22	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.19	10	-2	12	15.9	16.7	-0.83	14.5	15.1	-0.59
Damian Lillard	71	72	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.15	10	-2	12	16.6	16.3	0.24	14.5	16.5	-2.05
JJ Hickson	59	59	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.16	9	-1	10	15.9	17.7	-1.77	16.0	13.0	3.03
Jared Jeffries	38	38	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.05	8	0	8	16.9	16.3	0.57	13.1	16.2	-3.09
Ronnie Price	35	35	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.26	-1	9	-10	16.4	16.6	-0.18	15.8	14.4	1.33
Nicolas Batum	68	70	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.17	1	7	-6	16.9	15.5	1.42	14.3	16.9	-2.52
LaMarcus Aldridge	50	52	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.15	-2	10	-12	16.4	16.7	-0.22	16.1	13.4	2.65
Meyers Leonard	19	17	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	9	-10	18.2	16.1	2.05	12.8	15.4	-2.68
Will Barton	11	11	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.06	-5	13	-18	15.5	16.7	-1.13	16.5	14.7	1.82
Luke Babbitt	7	9	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.01	-4	12	-16	18.6	16.4	2.20	14.3	15.0	-0.68

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.46,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.38,0.34,0.25,0.25,0.26,0.25,0.34,0.24,0.28,0.3,0.33,0.37,0.34,0.37,0.39,0.4,0.45,0.39,0.41,0.44,0.52,0.44,0.44,0.62,0.62,0.82,0.89,0.88,0.83,0.95,0.96,0.93,0.95,0.97,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 89, MIA 103	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.46,0.41,0.43,0.43,0.49,0.47,0.36,0.35,0.34,0.31,0.29,0.27,0.33,0.3,0.36,0.23,0.29,0.41,0.41,0.46,0.4,0.31,0.31,0.39,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.48,0.7,0.74,0.74,0.8,0.77,0.9,0.96,1,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.1%
CLE 69, DET 81	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.41,0.36,0.32,0.37,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.44,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.33,0.28,0.29,0.27,0.31,0.3,0.39,0.22,0.29,0.31,0.28,0.33,0.42,0.39,0.45,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.55,0.7,0.78,0.78,0.9,0.91,0.89,0.91,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1	93.6%
SEA 101, UTA 115	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.53,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.34,0.28,0.28,0.29,0.29,0.33,0.32,0.28,0.31,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.33,0.25,0.37,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.38,0.41,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.66,0.81,0.85,0.92,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	93.6%