NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	89		Excitement	4.0 [1034]		MVP	Jason Terry (BOS): +22.4%
Boston Celtics	107		Comeback	1.0 [1183]		LVP	Andrea Bargnani (TOR): -8.1%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Lucas III	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.04	0.02	-0.04	11	62%	0.11	2	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
DeMar DeRozan	0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	-0.01	10	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ed Davis	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	3	58%	0.01	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.05
Quincy Acy	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.06	0.00	0.06	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	4	100%	0.00
Aaron Gray	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jose Calderon	0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	7	59%	0.03	3	-0.03	3	67%	-0.00
Amir Johnson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	25%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Dominic McGuire	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	4	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Linas Kleiza	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	9	40%	-0.03	1	-0.03	7	57%	-0.02
Jonas Valanciunas	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	4	33%	-0.06	2	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Terrence Ross	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	0.03	-0.01	0.08	6	77%	0.01	3	-0.07	1	0%	0.00
Andrea Bargnani	-0.08	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.01,0.04,-0.03,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	14	45%	0.05	4	-0.13	5	80%	0.02

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Terry	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.19	0.05	0.02	10	91%	0.22	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.12	0.02	0.01	7	83%	0.13	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Paul Pierce	0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.02	0.00	15	53%	0.09	1	-0.01	6	100%	0.04
Jared Sullinger	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.07	0.01	0.03	8	67%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Jeff Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	6	64%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Leandro Barbosa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	0.00	0.03	6	57%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Chris Wilcox	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	8	47%	0.03	2	-0.05	1	0%	0.00
Brandon Bass	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	7	43%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Courtney Lee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.07	0.00	-0.04	5	40%	0.01	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Rajon Rondo	0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	4	75%	0.06	5	-0.12	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.7	1.7	30.0	15.4	29.5	2.4	29.3	134.0
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +45.7%

BOS +4.2%

TOR -1.9%

BOS +1.6%

BOS +0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	BOS	NBA	TOR	BOS	NBA
this game	16.4	16.3	15.4	101.1	121.6	104.1
season	16.1	14.9		104.4	101.2
opponent	16.2	15.3		101.7	105.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	16.4	15.0	18.0	16.2	16.4
BOS	14.9	17.8	13.9	18.8	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Quincy Acy	21	22	0.03	-0.53	0.57	-0.11	5	-23	28	15.2	16.8	-1.62	17.4	15.9	1.47
Jonas Valanciunas	34	35	0.01	-0.51	0.52	0.22	-7	-11	4	16.6	16.3	0.37	17.5	15.5	1.91
Aaron Gray	3	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-22	26	15.7	16.4	-0.78	14.0	16.4	-2.39
John Lucas III	48	47	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.07	-4	-14	10	14.9	18.2	-3.31	17.5	14.9	2.63
DeMar DeRozan	45	45	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	0.02	-5	-13	8	18.0	14.8	3.19	14.4	18.3	-3.86
Amir Johnson	27	27	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.05	-5	-13	8	16.4	16.4	0.03	19.3	15.0	4.37
Dominic McGuire	32	32	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.01	-8	-10	2	17.8	15.6	2.19	15.0	17.0	-2.00
Ed Davis	39	38	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	0.06	-11	-7	-4	16.3	16.6	-0.29	16.2	16.4	-0.22
Jose Calderon	53	54	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.10	-15	-3	-12	17.4	14.9	2.55	14.6	19.0	-4.44
Terrence Ross	43	43	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	0.01	-13	-5	-8	14.8	18.0	-3.19	18.3	14.4	3.86
Linas Kleiza	43	43	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.12	-9	-9	0	15.8	17.0	-1.19	18.1	14.6	3.45
Andrea Bargnani	52	51	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	0.07	-22	4	-26	16.9	15.7	1.23	13.7	19.9	-6.28

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rajon Rondo	62	61	0.41	0.09	0.33	-0.14	19	-1	20	14.8	20.0	-5.24	16.8	15.6	1.25
Jared Sullinger	49	48	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.12	9	9	0	17.1	15.3	1.89	15.3	17.8	-2.48
Jeff Green	49	49	0.38	0.12	0.27	-0.06	15	3	12	16.6	16.0	0.60	15.3	17.9	-2.61
Chris Wilcox	45	45	0.34	0.16	0.19	-0.15	17	1	16	15.9	16.7	-0.81	16.9	15.9	0.96
Jason Terry	58	57	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.01	10	8	2	14.8	19.2	-4.39	16.4	16.5	-0.15
Courtney Lee	30	31	0.19	0.31	-0.11	-0.04	8	10	-2	19.2	14.8	4.39	16.5	16.4	0.15
Kevin Garnett	31	31	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.02	5	13	-8	17.4	15.7	1.67	17.0	16.1	0.89
Paul Pierce	47	47	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.02	4	14	-10	14.9	18.0	-3.12	17.4	15.3	2.11
Brandon Bass	43	44	0.09	0.41	-0.32	-0.03	4	14	-10	16.3	16.3	-0.05	17.0	15.8	1.16
Leandro Barbosa	26	27	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.12	-1	19	-20	20.0	14.8	5.24	15.6	16.8	-1.25

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.7,0.71,0.76,0.75,0.78,0.82,0.81,0.73,0.71,0.76,0.73,0.69,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.63,0.68,0.74,0.64,0.67,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.59,0.66,0.81,0.9,0.96,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
OKC 81, WAS 96	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.6,0.66,0.65,0.62,0.64,0.68,0.62,0.65,0.69,0.74,0.76,0.76,0.79,0.79,0.78,0.82,0.73,0.64,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.58,0.65,0.75,0.69,0.7,0.67,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.79,0.81,0.82,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1	95.4%
IND 92, OKC 105	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.63,0.71,0.71,0.7,0.74,0.7,0.76,0.81,0.83,0.82,0.81,0.72,0.69,0.73,0.77,0.67,0.59,0.6,0.72,0.7,0.73,0.62,0.59,0.62,0.69,0.8,0.85,0.9,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.6%
PHX 92, DEN 109	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.67,0.69,0.73,0.74,0.81,0.78,0.71,0.67,0.76,0.74,0.73,0.69,0.74,0.79,0.78,0.7,0.65,0.69,0.59,0.52,0.67,0.65,0.71,0.76,0.79,0.84,0.88,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.3%