NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	109		Excitement	7.5 [322]		MVP	James Harden (HOU): +49.5%
Atlanta Hawks	102		Comeback	1.8 [331]		LVP	Omer Asik (HOU): -29.3%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
James Harden	0.50	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.24,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.26,0.26,0.47,0.47,0.48,0.5	0.32	0.23	0.06	19	82%	0.60	5	-0.10	17	88%	0.01
Marcus Morris	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.06	0.05	-0.01	14	61%	0.14	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Cole Aldrich	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Lin	0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0	0.00	-0.01	-0.01	16	52%	0.06	3	-0.06	8	87%	0.02
Chandler Parsons	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.05,-0.05	-0.11	0.06	-0.01	9	30%	0.02	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Toney Douglas	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Patterson	-0.12	0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.03,0.03,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.07	-0.04	0.00	11	41%	-0.05	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Delfino	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.06	-0.09	-0.01	8	39%	-0.03	2	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Omer Asik	-0.29	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29	-0.17	-0.13	-0.01	7	0%	-0.16	3	-0.13	0	0%	0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Zaza Pachulia	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.10	0.10	0.00	5	81%	0.20	0	0.00	6	83%	0.02
DeShawn Stevenson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.13	0.02	0.00	6	100%	0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Louis Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,-0.02,0	0.00	0.01	0.02	0.02	17	54%	0.09	3	-0.09	7	86%	0.04
Devin Harris	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	10	45%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Teague	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	0.02	10	64%	0.05	4	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Tolliver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al Horford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.03	-0.08	0.01	10	64%	0.05	2	-0.12	2	100%	0.01
Josh Smith	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.07,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	21	43%	0.00	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	1.7	30.0	14.8	25.5	1.8	37.3	134.1
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +3.8%

HOU +9.9%

HOU +55.1%

ATL -17.7%

ATL -1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	ATL	NBA	HOU	ATL	NBA
this game	15.2	13.4	15.4	107.9	102.0	104.1
season	14.2	15.1		107.9	102.6
opponent	15.5	15.4		102.8	105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	15.3	13.7	14.6	17.3	15.2
ATL	13.0	14.6	14.8	11.5	13.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
James Harden	83	82	0.79	-0.29	1.09	0.29	17	-10	27	15.6	13.2	2.42	13.1	14.8	-1.70
Patrick Patterson	64	62	0.77	-0.27	1.05	0.39	13	-6	19	15.4	14.9	0.41	12.4	15.2	-2.77
Omer Asik	72	72	0.76	-0.26	1.01	0.32	15	-8	23	15.9	13.6	2.27	13.6	13.0	0.61
Jeremy Lin	83	81	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.28	9	-2	11	15.6	13.6	1.94	13.8	11.8	2.04
Chandler Parsons	67	68	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.20	1	6	-5	14.1	17.5	-3.41	13.5	13.2	0.28
Carlos Delfino	53	51	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.16	-6	13	-19	15.9	14.5	1.43	13.7	13.2	0.46
Toney Douglas	18	19	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	0.01	-2	9	-11	13.6	15.6	-1.94	11.8	13.8	-2.04
Cole Aldrich	28	27	-0.26	0.76	-1.01	-0.08	-6	13	-19	13.7	15.8	-2.07	13.3	13.5	-0.25
Marcus Morris	37	38	-0.27	0.77	-1.05	-0.10	-6	13	-19	14.9	15.4	-0.41	15.2	12.4	2.77

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DeShawn Stevenson	59	60	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.01	2	-9	11	14.0	12.6	1.45	15.0	15.5	-0.55
Anthony Tolliver	37	36	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.03	1	-8	9	13.2	13.6	-0.36	12.9	16.5	-3.56
Devin Harris	46	46	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	0.00	-5	-2	-3	14.7	12.4	2.29	14.7	15.7	-1.02
Kyle Korver	34	33	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	0.01	-6	-1	-5	12.5	13.9	-1.38	15.2	15.2	0.01
Louis Williams	62	63	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.32	4	-11	15	13.4	13.5	-0.14	15.2	15.3	-0.13
Zaza Pachulia	42	44	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.21	-3	-4	1	14.3	12.8	1.42	15.8	14.8	1.00
Josh Smith	86	87	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.33	-7	0	-7	13.2	15.1	-1.90	15.7	12.4	3.23
Jeff Teague	57	57	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.30	-10	3	-13	12.8	14.2	-1.39	15.7	14.6	1.13
Al Horford	77	79	-0.61	0.11	-0.71	-0.28	-11	4	-15	13.1	14.6	-1.52	15.6	13.7	1.89

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.38,0.35,0.36,0.4,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.37,0.35,0.29,0.31,0.23,0.25,0.25,0.21,0.16,0.15,0.17,0.12,0.16,0.17,0.19,0.2,0.11,0.18,0.22,0.26,0.34,0.33,0.42,0.53,0.46,0.54,0.45,0.23,0.16,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 100, ATL 95	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.42,0.47,0.33,0.42,0.39,0.3,0.29,0.25,0.26,0.18,0.25,0.23,0.16,0.15,0.17,0.14,0.2,0.17,0.22,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.1,0.13,0.15,0.24,0.28,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.39,0.28,0.05,0.09,0	93.1%
CHI 84, NJN 73	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.61,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.3,0.29,0.36,0.39,0.36,0.27,0.3,0.26,0.29,0.22,0.15,0.12,0.13,0.12,0.16,0.18,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.22,0.15,0.2,0.32,0.31,0.41,0.46,0.45,0.22,0.04,0,0	92.2%
WAS 76, TOR 74	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.3,0.27,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.26,0.25,0.28,0.21,0.17,0.22,0.26,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.53,0.54,0.4,0.32,0.28,0.32,0.17,0	91.7%