NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	94		Excitement	5.7 [529]		MVP	Avery Bradley (BOS): +23.5%
Charlotte Bobcats	82		Comeback	1.4 [423]		LVP	Rajon Rondo (BOS): -20.7%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Avery Bradley	0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.24,0.24,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.14	0.09	-0.00	14	73%	0.26	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Brandon Bass	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	-0.01	0.00	19	51%	0.08	1	-0.04	5	80%	0.01
Greg Stiemsma	0.03	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.06	0.01	0.04	4	100%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marquis Daniels	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
E'Twaun Moore	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keyon Dooling	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.02	-0.01	4	25%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sasha Pavlovic	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	-0.00	-0.03	1	25%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
JaJuan Johnson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mickael Pietrus	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	15	37%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Hollins	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	1	67%	0.02	2	-0.07	1	0%	-0.01
Rajon Rondo	-0.21	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.15	-0.07	-0.01	17	49%	-0.01	8	-0.20	7	57%	-0.02

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derrick Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.1,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.07	0.02	-0.03	10	68%	0.16	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Gerald Henderson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.03	-0.02	0.01	19	55%	0.03	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Reggie Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	4	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyrus Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	5	40%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jamario Moon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
D.J. Augustin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	5	20%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Byron Mullens	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.03	-0.04	0.01	6	50%	0.02	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Kemba Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	9	35%	-0.05	1	-0.03	5	60%	-0.01
DJ White	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	0.02	-0.08	0.02	9	57%	-0.01	2	-0.07	5	60%	-0.01
Bismack Biyombo	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.09	-0.06	-0.01	10	35%	-0.08	2	-0.05	6	83%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.4	2.5	28.0	15.5	25.3	2.5	25.4	121.6
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +50.3%

CHA -2.5%

BOS +2.9%

CHA -2.1%

BOS +1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	CHA	NBA	BOS	CHA	NBA
this game	15.7	16.9	15.6	105.6	93.2	102.8
season	15.5	16.3		99.4	94.1
opponent	15.0	16.2		108.9	97.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	14.8	14.5	16.9	16.8	15.7
CHA	16.5	14.3	19.1	18.4	16.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brandon Bass	67	66	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.05	14	-2	16	16.0	14.7	1.24	16.9	16.8	0.15
Mickael Pietrus	65	64	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.04	14	-2	16	15.8	15.2	0.68	16.2	18.7	-2.45
Rajon Rondo	80	81	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.11	11	1	10	15.4	17.7	-2.23	16.7	18.9	-2.14
Avery Bradley	64	62	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.17	8	4	4	16.2	14.4	1.81	17.1	16.3	0.77
Ryan Hollins	37	36	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.14	6	6	0	15.5	15.7	-0.21	18.2	16.0	2.26
Greg Stiemsma	52	52	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.03	6	6	0	15.7	15.5	0.21	16.0	18.2	-2.26
Sasha Pavlovic	28	28	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.05	5	7	-2	14.9	16.0	-1.18	18.3	16.2	2.10
Marquis Daniels	11	11	0.02	0.48	-0.45	0.05	-1	13	-14	15.2	15.7	-0.55	13.5	17.4	-3.82
JaJuan Johnson	11	11	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.05	-1	13	-14	14.3	15.9	-1.59	20.0	16.4	3.56
Keyon Dooling	27	27	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	14	-16	15.1	15.9	-0.79	17.5	16.6	0.91
E'Twaun Moore	3	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	12	-12	19.3	15.5	3.80	9.5	17.1	-7.56

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bismack Biyombo	57	56	0.02	-0.52	0.55	-0.15	6	-18	24	15.7	19.0	-3.31	15.5	16.0	-0.49
Kemba Walker	46	46	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	-0.12	2	-14	16	16.1	17.7	-1.63	15.5	15.8	-0.25
Reggie Williams	26	27	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.15	1	-13	14	18.0	16.4	1.53	16.6	15.3	1.33
Tyrus Thomas	21	22	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.13	0	-12	12	18.1	16.5	1.59	14.7	16.0	-1.30
Jamario Moon	25	24	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.03	-7	-5	-2	17.6	16.6	1.00	14.2	16.2	-1.99
Derrick Brown	63	65	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.12	-5	-7	2	16.6	17.6	-1.00	16.2	14.2	1.99
Gerald Henderson	66	66	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.02	-12	0	-12	16.3	18.5	-2.15	15.3	16.8	-1.57
DJ White	52	52	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.05	-15	3	-18	16.9	16.8	0.14	15.7	15.7	-0.02
D.J. Augustin	46	48	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.02	-14	2	-16	17.3	16.4	0.92	16.3	14.9	1.36
Byron Mullens	38	39	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.06	-16	4	-20	18.5	15.7	2.84	15.9	15.5	0.42

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.34,0.28,0.28,0.29,0.25,0.31,0.26,0.32,0.27,0.36,0.34,0.28,0.36,0.46,0.38,0.34,0.39,0.3,0.24,0.26,0.29,0.24,0.24,0.19,0.29,0.26,0.22,0.18,0.17,0.19,0.21,0.29,0.07,0.01,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 108, TOR 100	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.51,0.45,0.39,0.39,0.34,0.3,0.32,0.3,0.27,0.29,0.33,0.37,0.42,0.39,0.41,0.44,0.39,0.33,0.37,0.31,0.26,0.3,0.33,0.24,0.21,0.25,0.25,0.18,0.19,0.21,0.34,0.26,0.25,0.11,0.15,0.14,0.15,0.17,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0	93.9%
PHI 98, BOS 83	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.36,0.29,0.25,0.25,0.29,0.26,0.23,0.34,0.34,0.3,0.36,0.3,0.29,0.23,0.3,0.33,0.33,0.21,0.23,0.21,0.15,0.19,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.17,0.15,0.21,0.19,0.14,0.05,0.02,0.01,0,0	93.2%
DET 93, MIL 84	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.37,0.35,0.35,0.34,0.4,0.36,0.31,0.36,0.35,0.33,0.35,0.31,0.36,0.33,0.31,0.29,0.37,0.34,0.37,0.3,0.33,0.3,0.38,0.41,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.32,0.26,0.26,0.18,0.17,0.19,0.21,0.29,0.13,0.07,0.02,0.01,0,0	93.2%