NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Bobcats	82		Excitement	2.7 [991]		MVP	Chris Bosh (MIA): +7.2%
Miami Heat	105		Comeback	1.0 [761]		LVP	Byron Mullens (CHA): -9.8%

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Reggie Williams	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.06	0.00	0.01	6	62%	0.04	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Kemba Walker	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	-0.00	0.03	8	61%	0.00	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Cory Higgins	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	5	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Henderson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	11	54%	0.02	2	-0.03	4	50%	-0.01
Bismack Biyombo	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.06	-0.01	0.06	6	83%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Matt Carroll	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
DJ White	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	4	25%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Brown	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.01	-0.00	0.06	15	52%	-0.02	2	-0.03	10	50%	-0.02
D.J. Augustin	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.14	-0.01	-0.06	7	25%	-0.02	4	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Byron Mullens	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.13	-0.00	-0.04	9	28%	-0.04	4	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Bosh	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.11	-0.00	0.03	11	75%	0.10	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Dexter Pittman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.09	0.00	0.05	11	67%	0.04	1	0.00	2	100%	-0.00
Shane Battier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	-0.00	3	100%	0.04	2	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Norris Cole	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.00	-0.02	8	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joel Anthony	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	-0.00	0.01	5	71%	0.06	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Juwan Howard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Jones	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	7	43%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
LeBron James	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	16	49%	0.04	2	-0.03	7	71%	-0.00
Mario Chalmers	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.00	5	60%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Eddy Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terrel Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.13	-0.00	-0.06	13	31%	-0.02	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	2.4	26.7	16.3	24.3	1.6	26.2	121.9
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIA +29.9%

MIA +4.7%

CHA -1.4%

MIA +15.9%

MIA +0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	MIA	NBA	CHA	MIA	NBA
this game	16.6	15.0	15.6	90.1	115.4	102.8
season	16.3	15.5		94.1	105.6
opponent	15.8	15.0		98.8	108.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	19.0	16.0	15.3	16.0	16.6
MIA	12.3	16.0	14.0	18.2	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cory Higgins	21	21	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	0.02	-1	-22	21	16.0	16.8	-0.72	18.2	14.1	4.15
Matt Carroll	23	23	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	0.18	-7	-16	9	15.2	17.1	-1.91	15.9	14.7	1.16
DJ White	18	18	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.04	-7	-16	9	16.8	16.5	0.29	12.4	15.7	-3.24
Kemba Walker	49	47	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.16	-13	-10	-3	16.2	17.1	-0.87	15.4	14.7	0.66
Reggie Williams	45	43	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.06	-7	-16	9	15.4	17.7	-2.29	14.4	15.6	-1.23
Derrick Brown	68	65	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	0.03	-12	-11	-1	16.9	15.8	1.04	14.4	16.6	-2.20
Gerald Henderson	55	58	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.23	-20	-3	-17	17.3	15.6	1.69	15.9	13.6	2.30
Byron Mullens	68	67	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.19	-19	-4	-15	17.1	15.3	1.80	15.1	14.7	0.40
Bismack Biyombo	62	64	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	0.02	-14	-9	-5	16.7	16.3	0.38	14.8	15.7	-0.94
D.J. Augustin	46	49	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	0.05	-15	-8	-7	17.0	16.2	0.84	14.6	15.6	-1.07

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Terrel Harris	66	66	0.45	0.05	0.41	-0.16	21	2	19	15.2	14.6	0.56	16.2	17.6	-1.43
LeBron James	56	56	0.40	0.10	0.29	-0.13	18	5	13	13.9	16.9	-3.09	17.0	16.0	0.98
Joel Anthony	47	46	0.32	0.18	0.15	-0.06	13	10	3	15.3	14.8	0.44	17.2	16.0	1.20
Chris Bosh	58	56	0.29	0.21	0.09	-0.21	17	6	11	14.8	15.5	-0.79	17.3	15.5	1.82
Mario Chalmers	38	37	0.26	0.24	0.03	-0.03	10	13	-3	15.3	14.8	0.47	16.8	16.5	0.26
Shane Battier	38	39	0.24	0.26	-0.03	-0.32	19	4	15	13.4	16.2	-2.83	16.8	16.5	0.33
Norris Cole	50	50	0.19	0.31	-0.11	-0.10	10	13	-3	14.8	15.3	-0.54	16.0	17.3	-1.34
Dexter Pittman	36	36	0.14	0.36	-0.22	-0.21	12	11	1	14.3	15.5	-1.22	16.1	16.9	-0.82
Juwan Howard	14	15	0.12	0.38	-0.27	0.06	2	21	-19	20.9	14.0	6.87	15.6	16.8	-1.20
James Jones	45	46	0.08	0.42	-0.33	0.17	-3	26	-29	16.2	13.9	2.29	16.6	16.6	-0.08
Eddy Curry	7	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	27	-31	18.0	14.8	3.20	15.4	16.7	-1.35

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.68,0.71,0.77,0.76,0.8,0.73,0.73,0.72,0.8,0.83,0.8,0.86,0.83,0.86,0.94,0.93,0.91,0.9,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 77, IND 106	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.57,0.58,0.61,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.67,0.71,0.75,0.77,0.74,0.75,0.73,0.73,0.8,0.77,0.76,0.84,0.83,0.89,0.96,0.94,0.91,0.91,0.95,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.9%
MIL 69, DET 114	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.71,0.75,0.76,0.8,0.77,0.69,0.73,0.84,0.84,0.8,0.84,0.88,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.2%
CHI 82, DET 110	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.65,0.67,0.68,0.7,0.72,0.72,0.75,0.73,0.76,0.82,0.79,0.82,0.84,0.87,0.86,0.84,0.89,0.88,0.92,0.91,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.2%