NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	100		Excitement	3.7 [857]		MVP	Stephen Jackson (SAS): +9.5%
San Antonio Spurs	116		Comeback	1.0 [1026]		LVP	Luke Ridnour (MIN): -8.4%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Martell Webster	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	-0.00	8	69%	0.07	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Love	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	-0.01	13	49%	0.02	1	-0.00	9	67%	-0.01
Malcolm Lee	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	1	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wayne Ellington	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.07	-0.00	0.07	11	68%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jose Juan Barea	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.03	13	62%	0.03	4	-0.05	3	67%	-0.00
Derrick Williams	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.07	-0.01	-0.05	12	35%	-0.02	1	-0.00	2	50%	0.00
Anthony Tolliver	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.07	-0.01	0.10	10	67%	-0.00	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.00
Wesley Johnson	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.00	0.00	0.04	6	50%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Michael Beasley	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	7	29%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Luke Ridnour	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.10	-0.00	-0.01	7	25%	-0.05	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.00

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stephen Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.09	0.00	-0.00	9	80%	0.12	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Danny Green	0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	0.00	0.02	9	58%	0.05	0	0.00	6	100%	0.02
Kawhi Leonard	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.10	-0.00	0.07	10	67%	0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Tim Duncan	0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	-0.00	-0.01	19	48%	0.05	1	-0.02	6	50%	-0.03
James Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	64%	0.02	2	-0.00	3	100%	0.00
Manu Ginobili	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	-0.02	9	50%	0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Dawson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	1	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Parker	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gary Neal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	0.00	0.04	15	53%	-0.02	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Tiago Splitter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	0.02	9	50%	0.00	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00
DeJuan Blair	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.09	-0.01	-0.06	6	33%	-0.02	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.8	2.5	30.4	14.6	29.3	2.4	24.5	125.5
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +20.1%

SAS +4.5%

SAS +18.3%

SAS +5.4%

SAS +1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	SAS	NBA	MIN	SAS	NBA
this game	14.5	14.2	15.6	99.0	116.0	102.8
season	15.3	15.3		102.6	109.1
opponent	15.2	15.1		101.5	104.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	17.6	13.7	13.7	13.4	14.5
SAS	15.1	13.4	12.4	15.9	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Wayne Ellington	50	50	0.02	-0.52	0.53	-0.25	9	-25	34	12.9	16.1	-3.26	14.4	13.9	0.54
Malcolm Lee	6	7	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.18	6	-22	28	12.3	14.6	-2.31	18.9	13.8	5.06
Michael Beasley	24	23	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.02	-2	-14	12	14.6	14.5	0.10	13.2	14.4	-1.27
Anthony Tolliver	68	67	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.13	0	-16	16	13.7	16.1	-2.36	13.9	14.7	-0.82
Jose Juan Barea	69	66	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.05	-8	-8	0	14.0	15.7	-1.73	13.0	16.4	-3.43
Wesley Johnson	50	51	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.01	-11	-5	-6	15.0	14.0	0.98	15.7	12.6	3.10
Derrick Williams	75	76	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.06	-10	-6	-4	14.4	14.9	-0.51	14.8	12.2	2.55
Martell Webster	47	48	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.10	-17	1	-18	15.7	13.5	2.24	14.2	14.1	0.11
Luke Ridnour	52	50	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	0.16	-23	7	-30	16.0	12.9	3.08	13.9	14.4	-0.54
Kevin Love	64	62	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	0.18	-24	8	-32	15.0	13.6	1.48	13.5	15.3	-1.80

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gary Neal	60	61	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.03	11	5	6	13.8	14.7	-0.92	14.1	15.2	-1.11
Tiago Splitter	47	49	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.07	14	2	12	13.3	14.9	-1.65	14.6	14.4	0.13
Tim Duncan	51	50	0.33	0.17	0.17	-0.05	13	3	10	14.2	14.1	0.13	14.8	14.2	0.62
Kawhi Leonard	78	79	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.02	12	4	8	14.2	14.1	0.02	14.5	14.5	-0.05
Danny Green	60	61	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.06	7	9	-2	14.1	14.2	-0.04	14.8	14.1	0.63
Manu Ginobili	54	56	0.23	0.27	-0.05	-0.07	10	6	4	13.2	15.3	-2.10	14.1	15.0	-0.81
Stephen Jackson	47	46	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.08	5	11	-6	13.6	14.6	-1.01	14.8	14.2	0.59
DeJuan Blair	39	41	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.04	6	10	-4	15.4	13.4	2.02	15.2	14.0	1.16
Tony Parker	19	19	0.18	0.32	-0.15	-0.06	8	8	0	15.9	13.7	2.22	16.6	14.0	2.55
James Anderson	37	36	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.09	-2	18	-20	14.7	13.8	0.92	12.9	15.4	-2.51
Eric Dawson	8	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	20	-24	18.4	13.8	4.59	13.0	14.6	-1.62

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.65,0.67,0.76,0.8,0.79,0.81,0.75,0.75,0.76,0.75,0.73,0.76,0.76,0.72,0.79,0.75,0.71,0.86,0.87,0.85,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.92,0.89,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 85, MIN 103	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.7,0.72,0.76,0.74,0.73,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.76,0.74,0.76,0.77,0.78,0.75,0.71,0.8,0.89,0.91,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.9%
NYK 93, SAS 121	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.62,0.59,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.7,0.75,0.81,0.82,0.82,0.75,0.82,0.82,0.77,0.76,0.75,0.75,0.82,0.75,0.74,0.75,0.8,0.91,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.3%
LAL 95, HOU 134	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.62,0.66,0.68,0.68,0.66,0.73,0.8,0.81,0.85,0.79,0.75,0.76,0.79,0.75,0.66,0.74,0.77,0.78,0.82,0.84,0.88,0.89,0.83,0.93,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.2%