NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	105		Excitement	9.2 [96]		MVP	Gerald Wallace (NJN): +33.7%
New Jersey Nets	100		Comeback	3.7 [195]		LVP	Deron Williams (NJN): -21.0%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tristan Thompson	0.33	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.33,0.33	0.15	0.18	0.00	16	75%	0.38	2	-0.04	4	75%	0.01
Donald Sloan	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.09	0.08	0.00	6	79%	0.17	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Samardo Samuels	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	5	77%	0.11	2	-0.06	3	0%	-0.05
Omri Casspi	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.03	-0.00	5	20%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Daniel Gibson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	5	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kyrie Irving	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0.03,0.18,0.18,-0.09,-0.04	0.01	-0.04	0.02	20	54%	0.23	4	-0.27	8	87%	0.02
Antawn Jamison	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.18,-0.14,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.12	0.02	-0.02	20	31%	-0.05	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Alonzo Gee	-0.08	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	6	50%	0.01	2	-0.09	4	50%	-0.06
Anthony Parker	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.04	-0.11	0.00	6	29%	-0.15	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gerald Wallace	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.2,0.15,0.25,0.39,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.34	0.34	0.19	0.14	-0.01	14	69%	0.38	1	-0.05	11	91%	0.08
Shelden Williams	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.03	0.00	5	75%	0.09	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Johan Petro	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerry Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kris Humphries	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.2,0.12,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.04	-0.09	-0.01	10	57%	0.12	1	-0.16	3	100%	0.02
Anthony Morrow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.17,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	10	30%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
MarShon Brooks	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.05	-0.02	10	38%	-0.06	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.01
Gerald Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12	-0.12	-0.04	-0.07	0.01	6	42%	-0.07	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Deron Williams	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.05,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.21	-0.21	0.00	-0.18	0.03	23	51%	-0.01	5	-0.20	9	89%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.9	1.7	26.7	15.6	25.0	2.0	35.0	132.8
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +62.8%

NJN -37.0%

CLE +20.3%

CLE +4.6%

NJN -0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	NJN	NBA	CLE	NJN	NBA
this game	16.3	15.2	15.6	114.1	109.9	102.8
season	15.5	16.2		99.5	101.3
opponent	15.2	15.6		107.6	107.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	15.9	19.3	18.2	12.5	16.3
NJN	15.4	13.5	16.0	15.8	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Parker	64	61	0.74	-0.24	0.98	0.45	10	-5	15	15.7	17.6	-1.99	15.0	15.6	-0.53
Antawn Jamison	77	75	0.68	-0.18	0.86	0.36	11	-6	17	15.7	19.3	-3.67	15.3	14.7	0.56
Omri Casspi	31	31	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.45	2	3	-1	15.5	16.7	-1.17	14.7	15.4	-0.71
Kyrie Irving	62	62	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.41	-2	7	-9	15.8	17.2	-1.44	14.9	15.8	-0.91
Samardo Samuels	34	34	0.19	0.31	-0.13	-0.02	7	-2	9	18.1	15.2	2.85	15.5	15.0	0.46
Tristan Thompson	73	73	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.37	-8	13	-21	16.1	17.1	-1.00	15.0	16.2	-1.19
Donald Sloan	36	35	0.03	0.47	-0.45	-0.18	7	-2	9	17.0	15.8	1.21	15.5	15.0	0.50
Daniel Gibson	31	31	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.01	0	5	-5	17.6	15.6	1.99	15.5	15.1	0.42
Alonzo Gee	52	53	-0.15	0.65	-0.79	-0.09	-2	7	-9	16.7	15.6	1.08	15.7	14.6	1.08

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Johan Petro	29	29	0.38	-0.88	1.26	0.12	9	-14	23	14.0	15.8	-1.72	18.2	15.3	2.89
Jerry Smith	19	19	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.19	-9	4	-13	17.1	14.7	2.33	14.8	16.6	-1.79
Anthony Morrow	38	39	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.14	-2	-3	1	15.1	15.3	-0.13	14.8	17.3	-2.50
Gerald Green	52	52	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.14	-7	2	-9	15.2	15.3	-0.08	16.2	16.3	-0.02
MarShon Brooks	55	57	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.32	-2	-3	1	15.5	14.8	0.67	16.7	15.6	1.11
Deron Williams	72	73	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.54	4	-9	13	14.7	17.1	-2.33	16.6	14.8	1.79
Gerald Wallace	75	77	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.30	-5	0	-5	15.2	15.2	-0.05	16.4	15.5	0.87
Kris Humphries	65	64	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.27	-8	3	-11	15.8	13.8	1.91	15.4	18.3	-2.91
Shelden Williams	50	50	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.37	-5	0	-5	15.0	15.5	-0.46	16.7	15.8	0.92

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.43,0.37,0.32,0.3,0.27,0.22,0.25,0.24,0.3,0.23,0.23,0.24,0.24,0.32,0.34,0.39,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.65,0.48,0.37,0.33,0.36,0.42,0.52,0.47,0.57,0.77,0.79,0.65,0.61,0.55,0.71,0.32,0.28,0
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 105, DAL 101	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.38,0.33,0.37,0.38,0.37,0.39,0.33,0.27,0.3,0.34,0.3,0.29,0.25,0.33,0.26,0.28,0.36,0.31,0.36,0.33,0.44,0.5,0.43,0.37,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.31,0.34,0.3,0.28,0.46,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.64,0.71,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.15,0.13,0	91.1%
MIL 90, MIA 85	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.41,0.41,0.35,0.35,0.34,0.27,0.3,0.24,0.24,0.22,0.31,0.37,0.35,0.39,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.36,0.37,0.4,0.43,0.36,0.39,0.48,0.45,0.28,0.35,0.4,0.44,0.48,0.5,0.57,0.62,0.59,0.58,0.64,0.71,0.6,0.69,0.64,0.22,0.28,0	90.5%
TOR 100, HOU 99	0.5,0.49,0.43,0.48,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.37,0.34,0.32,0.28,0.29,0.29,0.26,0.28,0.31,0.34,0.33,0.28,0.3,0.32,0.34,0.31,0.3,0.33,0.5,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.43,0.35,0.38,0.45,0.34,0.37,0.48,0.58,0.57,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.67,0.67,0.62,0.64,0.57,0.58,0	89.9%