NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	100		Excitement	8.3 [165]		MVP	Brandon Knight (DET): +37.4%
Cleveland Cavaliers	101		Comeback	17.6 [62]		LVP	Tayshaun Prince (DET): -15.8%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brandon Knight	0.37	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.37,0.37	0.17	0.20	0.01	12	86%	0.41	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Ben Wallace	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben Gordon	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,0.08,-0.01	-0.02	0.05	0.03	17	47%	0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Greg Monroe	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.02	-0.00	16	53%	0.06	2	-0.07	4	75%	-0.01
Damien Wilkins	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jason Maxiell	-0.02	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	4	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Will Bynum	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	4	20%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jonas Jerebko	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.00	0.01	12	35%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Rodney Stuckey	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.07,0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.05	-0.02	13	47%	0.05	3	-0.12	8	75%	0.02
Tayshaun Prince	-0.16	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.12	-0.05	-0.01	15	22%	-0.16	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyrie Irving	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.1,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.16,0.23,0.22,0.32,0.25	0.25	0.04	0.21	0.00	15	69%	0.40	6	-0.15	6	100%	0.05
Antawn Jamison	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.10	0.08	0.01	22	55%	0.17	0	0.00	14	50%	-0.08
Alonzo Gee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.16,0.11,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14	0.14	0.06	0.08	0.00	11	59%	0.15	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.05
Daniel Gibson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	6	57%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Semih Erden	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	5	42%	-0.00	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Omri Casspi	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	6	57%	0.02	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Ryan Hollins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	4	25%	-0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Ramon Sessions	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.05	-0.04	0.01	4	56%	-0.01	3	-0.09	1	100%	0.01
Tristan Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.10	-0.06	-0.01	5	0%	-0.13	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	1.6	33.5	15.6	31.3	1.8	33.7	142.8
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +31.0%

CLE +1.0%

CLE +34.1%

DET -13.1%

DET -3.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	CLE	NBA	DET	CLE	NBA
this game	15.6	13.8	15.6	103.1	102.0	102.8
season	16.3	15.5		99.5	99.5
opponent	15.6	15.4		107.1	104.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	18.0	15.7	15.8	13.1	15.6
CLE	14.0	14.3	11.8	15.1	13.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jonas Jerebko	49	48	0.39	-0.89	1.27	0.00	13	-14	27	16.0	15.2	0.81	13.1	14.5	-1.33
Damien Wilkins	25	25	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.07	-5	4	-9	15.6	15.6	0.00	13.8	13.8	-0.01
Ben Wallace	27	26	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	0.06	-6	5	-11	15.1	15.8	-0.73	14.9	13.4	1.46
Will Bynum	18	18	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.05	-9	8	-17	14.2	15.9	-1.69	16.1	13.3	2.75
Rodney Stuckey	70	71	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.54	7	-8	15	15.4	16.0	-0.56	14.0	13.3	0.73
Tayshaun Prince	68	69	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.58	8	-9	17	15.4	16.0	-0.57	13.3	14.9	-1.52
Greg Monroe	70	73	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.53	5	-6	11	15.8	15.1	0.73	13.4	14.9	-1.46
Jason Maxiell	36	37	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.01	-14	13	-27	16.7	14.9	1.79	14.3	13.5	0.78
Brandon Knight	73	75	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.49	1	-2	3	15.8	15.1	0.63	13.3	15.5	-2.18
Ben Gordon	49	53	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	-0.39	-5	4	-9	15.1	16.1	-1.00	14.4	13.1	1.27

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Alonzo Gee	53	50	0.83	-0.33	1.16	0.42	14	-13	27	13.0	14.8	-1.82	15.7	15.5	0.25
Tristan Thompson	42	41	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.61	2	-1	3	15.7	12.4	3.23	14.2	16.6	-2.35
Kyrie Irving	80	79	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.60	-5	6	-11	14.4	11.4	2.95	14.8	18.9	-4.04
Daniel Gibson	77	75	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.47	-4	5	-9	13.3	15.7	-2.47	15.7	15.3	0.36
Antawn Jamison	82	81	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.46	-5	6	-11	13.3	16.4	-3.07	15.6	15.6	0.04
Ryan Hollins	40	38	0.22	0.28	-0.05	-0.13	12	-11	23	14.0	13.6	0.41	17.0	14.7	2.31
Ramon Sessions	41	40	0.19	0.31	-0.12	-0.13	11	-10	21	13.7	13.9	-0.13	16.9	14.7	2.26
Semih Erden	34	34	-0.21	0.71	-0.92	-0.00	-7	8	-15	12.5	14.5	-1.99	15.6	15.6	0.08
Omri Casspi	46	47	-0.33	0.83	-1.16	0.05	-13	14	-27	14.8	13.0	1.82	15.5	15.7	-0.25

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.46,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.37,0.34,0.36,0.26,0.23,0.22,0.2,0.14,0.16,0.15,0.24,0.21,0.18,0.09,0.08,0.14,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.13,0.15,0.29,0.23,0.26,0.41,0.47,0.61,0.89,0.96,0.59,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 102, SAC 107	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.46,0.37,0.4,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.36,0.39,0.31,0.31,0.25,0.27,0.29,0.23,0.22,0.24,0.19,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.14,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.15,0.2,0.28,0.31,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.72,0.78,0.74,1	92.3%
CHH 78, CHI 76	0.5,0.5,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.5,0.5,0.4,0.42,0.35,0.4,0.34,0.39,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.32,0.28,0.28,0.3,0.3,0.27,0.26,0.23,0.27,0.3,0.33,0.26,0.22,0.22,0.26,0.16,0.28,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.08,0.13,0.26,0.35,0.61,0.69,0.72,0.85,0.86,1	90.3%
HOU 100, VAN 102	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.43,0.37,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.34,0.42,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.54,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.34,0.33,0.27,0.27,0.16,0.14,0.17,0.22,0.12,0.08,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.29,0.28,0.36,0.46,0.73,0.86,0.84,0.84,0.98,1	90.2%